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The Other Option - By Clif High

Clearly Cogitating: Who are you going to call?

“They tried to kill each other”, the driver shouted over the din of clanging and banging as the Humvee lurched slowly over the uneven surface. He turned slightly toward the two passengers in the back to try to make himself heard, “all of them. They went fucking crazy.”

The old man in the back seat looks to his companions, his bushy eyebrows arched and bristling.

“You say they went fucking crazy. How did it manifest?”, the woman passenger queried the driver.

“I don’t know”, the driver yelled back over the noise. “First Sargent said that they were all shooting and hitting at each other...it was a real brawl in there. I don’t know much more than that...just that they were there only minutes, and tried to kill each other.”

“Did any succeed?” asked the old man, holding onto his case as the Humvee rose, fell, and bounced slowly forward into the deepening dark of the in-creeping night.

“Yes. Some of them were killed.” The driver responded before turning his attention back to his task.

Somewhere, in the receding distance of the dark, damp night, dogs were howling at the long convoy of heavy vehicles slowly moving through the forest.

The Humvee rolled over the last of the logs acting as a bridge over the small creek, its armor giving the impression of a hippo trying to walk a tightrope as the thick tires dropped down, displacing the gravel on the hastily created road and sinking into the rain softened, sandy soil. As it bounced down off the log bridge, the Humvee’s headlights flash across the small and large stumps littering the area, piled into dark, tall lumps of twisted black masses, the gnarly roots holding each other like hands desperately gripping each other.

The driver had his face up against the window of the Humvee, squinting into the deepening darkness as the last of the day’s light faded behind him. There was a steady, misty rain filling the air that the locals called ‘hanging dew’. The vehicle he drove seemed to cut a tunnel through the fog of the dew as the lights from the convoy behind him flashed as each vehicle in turn dropped the 6 inches off the end of the log bridge onto the road, hastily cut through the forest late that afternoon as the Engineers were preparing the site chosen for Operation Response.

The Humvee leveled out as all the tires came down on the gravel road. The driver increased speed slightly as his passengers sorted out their bags and cases of gear.

The trio were a surprising group, not only to their assigned driver, but to all the military people along the way of their transport to the Operation Rescue site. The helicopter pilots were certain that only the old man had been in a Chinook before. His two companions, though younger, were still middle aged, parent figures to the two young pilots who were both taken aback, and somewhat charmed by their VIP passengers’ excitement over the flight. The two ‘younger’ passengers were nearly giddy as they stored & lashed their equipment under the old man’s direction.

When the Humvee driver had collected his three VIP passengers at the hastily created helipad field about 20 miles down beach from the Operation Response site, he was surprised to find that they were in uniform. Unlike the first batch of VIPs that had been brought in, four of whom he had driven who were dressed in suits, this new group was all in uniform. True, they were uniforms unlike anything he had seen in his Army career, but they were clearly uniforms. Tactical pants and shirts, field jackets, though these looked like Navy issue, and hard fabric, tactical caps. The old man’s jacket had Captain on his center patch, while the woman was identified by her patch as Commander, and the younger man was a Lieutenant. Their unit patch said Field Team, while their organization was identified as Human Contact Foundation.

The driver was relieved to see the uniforms descending off the Chinook. Even more relieved to see the old man jump off the helicopter and start pointing out a few small boxes to the flight crew to be moved to the Humvee. The few boxes only would fill the Humvee, leaving the two 6 ton trucks empty.

“Sir,” the driver said, addressing the Captain with a sharp salute, “is there more gear to be moved? Both trucks are here with crews at your disposal.”

The Captain looked around, waved in the general direction of the trucks with a quizzical look on his face. “No, this is it. All our gear. Should fit in your rig there.” he said. “Why did they send trucks?”

The driver responded as he offered the Captain a sealed, bulging, mission packet envelope. “The previous group had lots of stuff. They brought maybe 10 tons of equipment. It took us hours to get loaded. The General thought maybe you, too, had lots of stuff.”

It took nearly an hour for the Humvee to cover the 20 miles of rural oceanfront roadway to the take off road rudely carved out of the buffering forest and head down the steep foothill terrain toward the dunes on the other side of an inconvenient creek. Once the log bridge had been traversed, it was barely five more minutes of groaning engine pushing the Humvee through soft salt marsh before they arrived at their destination, the prep site for Operation Response.

The three HCF personnel were rapidly moved into the tent where they greedily accepted proffered coffee, and met the General in charge of the operation.

The General had barely begun to introduce himself when the HCF Captain spoke up from slurping coffee. “General. What happened to the previous group?”

The General, annoyed at being preempted, waved at a Major down the table who jumped up and spat out, “Three dead on site. Three died on the way to the medics. Three were ‘retrieved’ alive.” the Major intoned, then continued, “we don’t know where the other 10 are. No sign of them. And of course we can’t ask.” This last was met with a passing snarly face from the General.

The old man, the HCF Captain, clearly older than the General, held up his left hand as the General started to speak. He went back to drinking down the rest, then passed the coffee cup back to the mess attendant for a refill, before looking up at the assembled mass of worried faces across the table.

“Has The Effect altered? Stopped? Reduced? Has there been any changes while we traveled?” asked the HCF Captain.

“No sir. No changes.” the General responded. “We have it under direct, and electronic observation. Those screens over there are the various IR, and other cams. No movement since the initial contact.”

“And the field?” asked the HCF Commander.

The General again waved to the Major.

“Yes, Ma’am.” Said the Major. “The field is still visible. The object is still there, still floating about 20 feet up off grade. It still does that wobble every 21 seconds. “

“No reaction from the object when the other team went batshit?” The HCF Captain asked the Major.

“No sir. It just sat there the whole time.” The Major said, reaching for large photos on the table and sliding them down to the HCF team. “Even when we sent the bomb disposal drones into retrieve the bodies and the wounded...no reaction. It just sits there.”

The Major continued, pointing at one of the photographs, “the object wobbled just as the team’s truck was entering the field, but no way to know if it was a catalyst. The science team just went crazy within minutes of getting in to the field. They had barely started to set up their gear when they started attacking each other.”

A long silence followed carried on the shuffling of papers and clang of metal coffee cups.

“Ok, Captain.” The General spoke the rank with a sarcastic sharp edge, “what now?”.

“Well, General”, replied the HCF Captain, “we three will get to work...”

“..and do what? Exactly?” The General’s tone rose with him as he stood up, leaning his bulk on the table. “You people were forced on me by chain of command. What the fuck are you going to do that the best science team in the world could not?! Those 19 people were from the top universities and government think tanks on this planet. And you? Who the fuck ever heard of Human Contact Foundation?”

“No one.” responded the HCF Commander. Standing up as well, and moving her hands in sweeping gesture indicating the whole of the planet outside the confines of the tent. “We work as we work. You are not supposed to know about us. We emerge with need. Which is now.”

The HCF Captain waved them both to sit. “General, if I had been allowed to continue…”, he picks up the coffee cup, empty again, waving it around until taken for a refill. “General, the power structure of this planet is freaking out. Right now. All around the world. They have a situation that they put YOU in charge of handling, and it is not going well! The Powers That Be had a hand picked team collected from all over this planet, brought here to deal with this situation, and they just shat themselves mentally, and died.”

A slurp of the new coffee, and he continued. “Guys, this is the point where you listen to me. Not only hear me, but listen…. We…”, the HCF Captain gestured at his companions, “….are The Other Option.”

“That previous team was sent by the WEF. That is the World Economic Forum. They were the top dogs of academia and NGO-world, personally selected by the top power of the world. They were published scientists. They were at the top of their game, and at the top of the social order’s organizations devoted to the politics of science.” The HCF Captain looked around for understanding on the faces of the attendees before continuing. “We, on the other hand, are just some people who like to think. We think a lot. We think deeply, and we think clearly. We thought up the Human Contact Foundation BECAUSE we can think clearly about a subject, and its ripples, and ramifications in our reality. We knew that a need would arise, so the HCF was set up to provide us a vehicle to interact with ‘normie-world’, where, as you may have observed, not many people think, or think well.”

“The previous team, the WEFfers, did not think clearly about things. They cannot think clearly about our reality because of their basic approach to Life, Universe, and Everything.” The HCF Captain said, nodding to the HCF Lieutenant, who produced a file folder from his case, handing it over to the General.

“As you can see General, from those notes made over 4 years ago, we had anticipated something very close to this situation developing, and have thought about what to do.” Stated the HCF Captain. “It must be obvious from the results, that the first team, the WEFfers, did not...think that is. And now a bunch are dead, and the rest missing, or ….what? Probably something close to catatonic, would be my guess..?”

“Correct.” The Major spouted off rapidly, surprising everyone.

“Our thinking is based from a different approach to Universe than the WEFfers. Here’s your history lesson for today”, said the HCF Captain, looking around the room, then settling his gaze on the General. “There have only, ever, been two theories about reality devised; the quantum mechanics view of reality as being composed of atoms randomly bumping into each other, and the understanding of universe as arising from the field dynamics of the Aether.”

The HCF Captain stood up, and said, “the WEF team were atomists. Plus being mainly administrators, corrupt fuckers, and not actual scientists….not actual thinkers. They were blind to the field dynamics of reality, even though they were here to investigate the field holding that object up off the ground with no apparent means of support. We are Aetherists. We grok fields. Simple as that. Plus we have had a lot of time to think about it, while waiting for this development.”

“So, you ask what next…, well, what we are going to do is to put on some special clothing we had made, anticipating just this form of field appearance, such as our copper, conductive boots, and go have a look at this object. Maybe have a conversation with whomever sent it.” Said the HCF Captain. “They are probably thinkers too. Now, let us get to work!”

As the HCF team rose to follow the Captain, the Lieutenant put a stack of cards on the table. On one side was written:

Space Aliens!

Who are you going to call when your contact attempts go sideways?

While on the other was a telephone number, and

The Human Contact Foundation.

We think clearly.

###End###

The WEFfers are evil bastards!

No doubt about it. The members of the World Economic Forum gang are fuckers at a global level. The WEF is the face of the alpha dog of evil conspiracy on this planet. The WEF members are politicians, NGO founders, corporate functionaries, and other high profile people.

The WEF is the face of the global conspiracy to rule the world which came pretty close to actually manifesting. It won’t, but not for lack of the WEF members working for it.

As a conspiracy, the WEF plan was pretty slick. It has many vulnerabilities which are being exploited now, as it is falling apart, but the plan itself was clever. One of its major flaws was the reliance on politicians, another on using blackmail and murder as tools for coercion. Politicians, not known for their intelligence, are, at best, a very unreliable tool, especially in an age of corrupt institutions. The WEF plan required both corrupt politicians, and corrupt institutions. The implementation by the WEF of infiltration, and subversion via individual corruption did work, sort of, but it has the effect of segregating the population by susceptibility to corruption, which, turns out is highly correlated with intelligence. So, in essence, the WEF plan has naturally built a global crew of incompetents and stupid people.

Stated another way for comprehension, the entire power structure, reinforced over time by the WEF, as a side effect of its design, aggregates, and collects, and supports stupidity, and provides it with power to replicate.

Do you really want to leave THE MOST IMPORTANT CONTACT ever for Humanity in the hands of the WEFfers? They are assuming that they are in charge of this, as well as all other aspects of YOUR life.

The Human Contact Foundation does not.

It’s real.

They are out there…. thinking.

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2016/03/these-planets-could-host-alien-life/

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thedinarian@thedinarian
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Understanding the Crypto Alt Season

The next altcoin season is poised to ignite the crypto market, promising to turn savvy investors' portfolios into goldmines. As Bitcoin's dominance wanes, a new era of blockchain innovation is dawning—are you ready to ride the wave?

Market behavior often exhibits distinct patterns and cycles. One such phenomenon that has captured the attention of traders and investors alike is the "Alt Season"—a period when alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins," outperform Bitcoin and experience significant price surges.

The concept of market cycles and seasonality is not unique to crypto; it's a well-established principle in traditional financial markets. However, in volatile crypto space, these cycles can be more pronounced and occur with greater frequency.  

In this article, we’ll try to cover these and other topics: 

  1. The nature and characteristics of Alt Seasons
  2. The importance of recognizing market cycles in cryptocurrency trading
  3. Alt Season indicators and how to interpret them
  4. Predictions and speculatins about the next potential Alt Season

What Is Crypto Alt Season?

Crypto Alt Season, short for "Alternative Cryptocurrency Season," refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation. During an Alt Season:

  1. Many altcoins experience rapid price increases.
  2. The market share of altcoins grows relative to Bitcoin.
  3. Trading volume for altcoins typically increases.
  4. Investor attention shifts from Bitcoin to various altcoin projects.

An Alt Season can last anywhere from a few weeks to several months. It's often characterized by increased risk appetite among investors, who are willing to allocate more capital to smaller, potentially higher-risk crypto projects in search of higher returns.

Is Crypto Season the Same As Crypto Alt Season?

While related, Crypto Season and Crypto Alt Season are not exactly the same:

  1. Crypto Season:
    • Refers to a broader bullish period in the entire cryptocurrency market.
    • Typically includes price appreciation for both Bitcoin and altcoins.
    • Can be longer in duration, sometimes lasting for many months or even a year or more.
    • Often starts with a Bitcoin rally, followed by increased interest in the broader crypto market.
  2. Crypto Alt Season:
    • Specifically focuses on the outperformance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
    • Can occur within a broader Crypto Season but is more narrowly defined.
    • Generally shorter in duration than a full Crypto Season.
    • May happen towards the latter part of a broader Crypto Season, as investors seek higher returns in smaller cap coins.

Key Differences:

  • Scope: Crypto Season encompasses the entire market, while Alt Season focuses on altcoins.
  • Duration: Crypto Seasons are generally longer than Alt Seasons.
  • Market Dynamics: In a Crypto Season, Bitcoin often leads the rally, while in an Alt Season, altcoins outperform Bitcoin.

It's important to note that these terms are not officially defined and can be subject to different interpretations within the cryptocurrency community. However, understanding the distinction can help investors and traders better analyze market trends and potential opportunities in different segments of the crypto market.

What Is Alt Season Indicator?

The Alt Season Indicator is a tool used by cryptocurrency traders and investors to gauge whether the market is entering or currently in an "Alt Season" — a period when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. While there isn't a single, universally accepted Alt Season Indicator, several metrics and tools are commonly used to assess the likelihood of an Alt Season. Here are some key aspects of Alt Season Indicators:

Bitcoin Dominance

One of the most widely used indicators is Bitcoin Dominance, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap.

  • Calculation: (Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Crypto Market Cap) * 100
  • Interpretation: A declining Bitcoin Dominance often signals a potential Alt Season, as it indicates that capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
  • Threshold: Some traders consider Bitcoin Dominance below 50% as a potential indicator of an Alt Season.

Altcoin Market Cap Ratio

This indicator compares the total market capitalization of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Market Cap / Bitcoin Market Cap
  • Interpretation: An increasing ratio suggests growing strength in the altcoin market relative to Bitcoin.

Top 10 Altcoins Performance

This indicator tracks the performance of the top 10 altcoins by market cap (excluding Bitcoin) compared to Bitcoin over a specific period.

  • Calculation: Average percentage gain of top 10 altcoins vs. Bitcoin's percentage gain
  • Interpretation: When a majority of top altcoins consistently outperform Bitcoin, it may indicate an Alt Season.

Alt Season Index

Some crypto data platforms offer a proprietary Alt Season Index, which combines various metrics to provide a single score indicating the likelihood of an Alt Season.

  • Scale: Often presented as a percentage or a 0-100 score
  • Interpretation: Higher scores (e.g., above 75%) suggest a higher probability of an ongoing Alt Season

Trading Volume Ratios

This indicator compares the trading volumes of altcoins to Bitcoin's trading volume.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Trading Volume / Bitcoin Trading Volume
  • Interpretation: An increase in this ratio may indicate growing interest in altcoins, potentially signaling an Alt Season.

Important Considerations:

  1. No single indicator is foolproof. Traders often use a combination of indicators for a more comprehensive analysis.
  2. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past patterns don't guarantee future results.
  3. Different traders may use different thresholds or interpretations of these indicators.
  4. The crypto market's evolving nature means that indicators may need to be adjusted over time to remain relevant.

Understanding and effectively using Alt Season Indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about allocating their resources between Bitcoin and altcoins. However, it's crucial to combine these indicators with broader market analysis and risk management strategies.

Alt Seasons: Historical Perspective, Current Situation, and Future Predictions

Previous Altcoin Seasons

In crypto, two periods stand out as particularly significant for altcoins. These "alt seasons" saw unprecedented growth and interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin, reshaping the landscape of digital assets.

The 2017-2018 Alt Season

Duration: December 2017 to January 2018

Context:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) experienced its most remarkable bull run to date, reaching nearly $20,000 in December 2017.
  • This surge in Bitcoin's price and public interest created a ripple effect throughout the crypto market.

Key Developments:

  1. Proliferation of New Coins: The success of Bitcoin catalyzed the launch of numerous new cryptocurrencies.
  2. Investor Frenzy: Buoyed by Bitcoin's success, investors eagerly sought the "next Bitcoin," pouring capital into various altcoins.
  3. ICO Boom: This period saw a surge in Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), with many projects raising millions in a matter of hours or days.
  4. Market Expansion: The total cryptocurrency market cap reached unprecedented levels, briefly surpassing $800 billion in January 2018.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC) saw significant price increases during this period.

The 2020-2021 Alt Season

Duration: December 2020 to April 2021

Context:

  • Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high, surpassing $60,000 in March 2021.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated digital adoption and increased interest in alternative investments.

Key Developments:

  1. DeFi Explosion: Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects gained massive traction, with many tokens seeing exponential growth.
  2. NFT Boom: Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) entered the mainstream, driving interest in blockchain-based digital assets.
  3. Institutional Adoption: Major companies and institutional investors began adding cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets.
  4. Technological Advancements: Many altcoins introduced innovative features, scaling solutions, and use cases.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) reached new highs, while projects like Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), and Polkadot (DOT) saw remarkable growth.

Comparative Analysis: Both alt seasons shared some common characteristics:

  • They were preceded by significant Bitcoin price rallies.
  • New projects and tokens gained rapid popularity and valuation.
  • Retail investor participation increased dramatically.
  • The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization reached new heights.

However, the 2020-2021 alt season was marked by greater institutional involvement and a broader range of technological innovations, particularly in DeFi and NFTs.

Is It Alt Season?

Based on the indicators discussed above, it's not currently an altcoin season. The Altcoin Season Index at 41 and Bitcoin's market dominance at 61.3% both suggest that Bitcoin is still the dominant force in the crypto market at this time.

When Is Alt Season?

Based on the information we could gather from various experts, we can analyze the predictions for the next altcoin season as follows:

  • Based on the latest analysis from experts and on-chain data, here’s what we know about the next altcoin season:

     

    Current Status (August 2025):

     

    • The altcoin season index—a metric that signals how many altcoins outperform Bitcoin—currently sits around 37. For a “full-blown” alt season, it typically needs to rise above 75.

    • Bitcoin dominance is approximately 61-62%. Historically, dropping below 60% often coincides with a rapid rotation into altcoins and the start of alt season.

     

    Key Indicators to Watch:

     

    • Altcoin Season Index (ASI): Above 75 signals a true altcoin season.

    • Bitcoin Dominance: A move below 60% usually marks the transition; sub-50% dominance is associated with peak alt season inflows.

    • Market Activity: Increasing volumes in major altcoins and Layer 1s, meme coin rallies, and spikes in DeFi activity are early warning signs.

    • Ethereum Outperformance: When ETH surges relative to BTC, this historically precedes broader altcoin rallies.

     

    Expert Predictions for 2025:

     

    • Analysts point to a pivotal window for alt season starting as early as August 2025 and extending through the fall, with many expecting true acceleration of altcoin gains if Bitcoin’s price consolidates and capital rotates further into alts.

    • There is strong consensus that macroeconomic catalysts, such as potential U.S. interest rate cuts and ongoing Bitcoin ETF momentum, could fuel a major altcoin rally in late 2025 if positive conditions persist.

    Summary Table: Key Factors & Targets

    SignalAlt Season TriggerStatus (Aug 2025)
    Altcoin Season Index (ASI)>75 ~37
    Bitcoin dominance<60% ~61–62% (near trigger)
    Altcoin trading volumeSustained surge across many alts Rising, but not explosive
    Ethereum outperformanceETH/ BTC breakout, >$3,700 Near, ETH ~$3,500
    Market narrativesAI, DeFi, meme coins, new L1 inflows Strengthening
     

    Bottom Line:
    Most analysts agree the groundwork for altcoin season in 2025 is building. We are currently in a transition phase: if Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and the Altcoin Season Index rises above 75, a full-fledged alt season could ignite during the second half of 2025. Monitor these key indicators to stay ahead as market momentum shifts from Bitcoin into a broader range of altltcoins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Technology: Look for coins with innovative solutions to existing blockchain challenges.
  • Adoption: Consider projects with growing partnerships and real-world use cases.
  • Market Position: Established coins with room for growth may offer a balance of stability and potential returns.
  • Tokenomics: Understanding supply dynamics can help predict potential price movements.

It's crucial to conduct thorough research before investing. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always invest responsibly and within your risk tolerance.

How to Win in Next Alt Season?

Capitalizing on the next altcoin season requires a strategic approach. Here's how to maximize potential gains:

  • Research and Diversification: Thoroughly research potential investments, analyzing both fundamentals and technical aspects to identify promising altcoins. Diversify your holdings across different projects to mitigate risk and maximize potential returns. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
  • Strategic Timing: Utilize technical analysis tools like support/resistance levels and RSI to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Monitor market sentiment and price trends to make informed decisions. A clear entry and exit strategy is crucial for managing risk and maximizing profits during volatile periods.
  • Newer Projects: Consider participating in newer altcoin projects. This provides early access to potentially high-growth projects at discounted prices. Research upcoming defi projects with use cases, focusing on innovative projects with strong potential. Investing early can yield substantial returns as the project develops.

Conclusion

In summary, an altcoin season, marked by significant price increases in non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies, may be on the horizon.  This potential surge could be driven by investors seeking higher returns in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, technological advancements in altcoin projects, increased blockchain adoption, and the transition of projects from speculative ventures to real-world applications. 

Remember, while the potential for significant gains exists during an altcoin season, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Always invest responsibly.

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thedinarian@thedinarian
July 28, 2025
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PYTH: We'll Always Have Coldplay

Welcome back to The Epicenter, where crypto chaos meets corporate cringe.

But surprisingly, crypto has not been the most chaotic corner of the internet as of late.

That honor goes to the startup Astronomer, whose CEO’s cheating scandal broke the web in a glorious meme-fueled media frenzy. The company’s damage control? Hiring Gwyneth Paltrow as a “temporary spokesperson.” Do we think they’re grasping at straws or setting a new standard for PR?

Meanwhile, the markets didn’t blink. BTC is still flexing near its all-time highs. Michael Saylor’s bringing a bitcoin-adjacent money-market product to Wall Street. A pharma company just earmarked $700M to stack BNB, and analysts are calling time of death on the four-year crypto cycle. It’s a steady boom now, kittens.

A few things that are also worth noting: Winklevoss vs. JPMorgan, Visa’s take on stablecoins, and Robinhood’s Euro drama that defies the chillness of eurosummer.

Let’s get into it 👇

⛓️ The On-Chain Pulse: What’s Happening on the Front Lines of Finance

This week’s biggest news in crypto and all things digital assets

🗣️ Word on the Street: What the Experts are Saying

Stuff you should repost (or maybe even cough reword and take credit for)

Meme of the Week

🏦 Kiss my SaaS: What’s Changing the Game for Fintech

Things you should care about if you want to impress your coworkers

Closing Thoughts

From meme-fueled PR stunts to Bitcoin-backed money-market funds, this week reminded us that markets move fast—and headlines move faster. With Wall Street automating itself, fintechs beefing with banks, and even your smartphone becoming a miner, anything is possible. Stay curious, stay cynical, and as always—stay sharp and stay liquid. We’ll see you back here in two weeks.

— The Epicenter, powered by Pyth Network

 

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thedinarian@thedinarian
July 27, 2025
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4 Fintech Companies 💸& Things To Know About 🤔

The fintech revolution is reshaping the way we manage, invest, and move money, breaking down traditional barriers and empowering individuals worldwide. As financial technology continues to evolve at a rapid pace, a select group of innovative companies are leading the charge by offering groundbreaking solutions that redefine banking, payments, and digital assets. Whether you’re a savvy investor, an industry professional, or simply curious about the future of finance, discovering these trailblazing fintech companies is essential to understanding today’s dynamic financial landscape.

 

  1.  Alina Invest - The AI Wealth Manager for GenZ Women

Alina is aimed at women under 25 who identify as beginner investors. They're an SEC-registered investment advisor that charges $120/year for membership. The service "buys and sells for you" and gives up notification updates of recent transactions like a wealth manager would.

👉 Getting people to invest early is crucial to building long-term wealth. One thing that holds them back is a lack of confidence and experience. Being targetted "for beginners" and people who live on TikTok should appeal. I love the sense of "we're buying and selling for you." Funds always do that, but making it an engagement mechanic is very smart. The risk here is that building a wealth business will take decades for the AUM to compound. But the next generations, Wealthfront or Betterment, will look something like Alina.

2. Blue layer - The Carbon project funding platform

Bluelayer allows Carbon project developers to take from feasibility studies to issuing credits, tracking inventory, and managing orders. Developers of reforestation, conservation, direct air capture, and other projects can also directly report to industry registries. 

👉 Carbon investing and tax credits are heavily incentivized but need transparent data. By focusing on the developers, Bluelayer can ensure the data, reporting, and credits lifecycle is all managed at the source. This is smart.

3. Akirolabs - Modern Procurement for enterprise

Akiro is a "strategic" procurement platform aiming to help enterprise customers identify risks, value drivers, and strategic levers before issuing an RFP. It aims to bring in multiple stakeholders for complex purchasing decisions at multinationals. 

👉 Procurement is a great wedge for multinational corporate transformation. Buying anything in an enterprise that uses large-scale ERPs is a nightmare of committees and spreadsheets. Turning an oil tanker-sized organization around is difficult, but the right suppliers can have a meaningful impact in the short term. That only works if you can buy from them. Getting people on the same page with a single platform is a great start.

4. NeoTax - Automated Tax R&D Credits

NeoTax allows companies to connect their engineering tools to calculate available tax advantages automatically. Once calculated, the tax fillings are clearly labeled with supporting evidence for the IRS.

👉 AWS and GCP log files and data are a goldmine. Last week, I covered Bilanc, which uses log files to figure out per-account unit economics. Now, we calculate R&D tax credits. The unlock here is LLM's ability to understand unstructured data. The hard part is understanding the moat, but time will tell.

In an era where technology and finance are increasingly intertwined, these four fintech companies stand out as catalysts for positive change. By driving progress in digital payments, asset management, lending, and decentralized finance, they are not only making financial services more accessible and efficient—they are also paving the way for a more inclusive and empowered global economy. Staying informed about their innovations can help you seize new opportunities and take part in the future of finance.

 

👀Things to know 👀

 

PayPal issued low guidance and warned of a “transition year.” The stock is down 8% in extended trading despite PayPal reporting a 9% growth in revenue and 23% EBITDA. Gross profit is down 4% YoY. PayPal's total revenues were $29Bn for the year

Adyen reported 22% revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of 46% for the full year. Adyen's total revenues were $1.75bn for the full year. The margin was down from 55% the previous year, impacted by hiring ahead of growth.

🤔 PayPal’s Braintree (unbranded) is losing market share in the US, while Adyen is winning it. eCommerce is growing ~9 to 10% YoY, and PayPal’s transaction revenue grew by 6.7%. The higher interest rate environment meant interest on balances dragged up the total revenue figure. Their core business is losing market share. Adyen is outgrowing the market by ~12%.

🤔 The PayPal button (branded) is losing to SHOP Pay and Apple Pay. The branded experience from Apple and Shopify is delightful for users; it’s fast and helps with small details like delivery tracking. That experience translates to higher conversion (and more revenue) for merchants.

🤔 The lack of a single global platform hurts PayPal, but it helps Adyen. In the earnings call, the new CEO admitted their mix of platforms like Venmo, PayPal, and Braintree are holding them back. They aim to combine and simplify, but that’s easier said than done.

🤔 Making a single platform from PayPal, Venmo, and Braintree won’t be easy. There’s a graveyard of payment company CEOs who tried to make “one platform” from things they acquired years ago. It’s crucial if they’re going to grow that they get their innovation edge back. Adyen has one platform in every market.

🤔 PayPal’s UK and European acquiring business is a bright spot. The UK and EU delivered 20% of overall revenue, growing 11% YoY. Square and Toast don’t have market share here, while iZettle, which PayPal acquired in 2018, is a strong market player. Overall though, it’s yet another tech stack and business that’s not part of a single global platform.

The two banks provided accounts to UK front companies secretly owned by an Iranian petrochemicals company. PCC has used these entities to receive funds from Iranian entities in China, concealed with trustee agreements and nominee directors. 

🤔 This is the headline every bank CEO fears. Oof. Shares of both banks have been down since the news broke, but this will no doubt involve crisis calls, committees, appearing in front of the regulator, and, finally, some sort of fine.

🤔 The "risk-based approach" has been arbitraged. A UK company with relatively low annual revenue would look "low risk" at onboarding. One business the FT covered looked like a small company at a residential address to compliance staff. They'd likely apply branch-level controls instead of the enterprise-grade controls you'd see for a large corporation. 

🤔 Hiring more staff won't fix this problem; it's a mindset and technology challenge. In theory, all of the skill and technology that exists to manage risks with large corporate customers (in the transaction banking divisions) are available to the other parts of a bank. In practice, they're not. Most banks lack a single data set and the ability for compliance officers in one team to see data from another part of the org. Getting the basics right with data and tooling is incredibly hard and will involve a multi-year effort. 

🤔 These things are rarely the failure of an individual or department; the issue is systemic. While two banks are named in this headline, the issue is everywhere. Banks need more data and better data to train better AI and machine learning. That all needs to happen in real-time as a compliment to the human staff. Throwing bodies at this won't solve the visibility issue teams have.

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