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Fantoms SpiritSwap V2 is LIVE — UI & protocol upgrades

Users can now enjoy V2 via the following link: beta.spiritswap.finance

SpiritSwap has come a long way since its inception on the Fantom network one year ago. This past year has been full of highs and lows but at the end of the day the Spirit team has loved sharing every minute of this journey with you all! To celebrate our continued ingenuity and drive to consistently add value to the Fantom ecosystem, SpiritSwap is pleased to present V2 and subsequent protocol upgrades.

This project in itself has been a monumental effort by our development team, all coordinated by our core team members in their respective fields. This product is a result from months of blood, sweat, tears and a severe lack of sleep. To start, SpiritSwap would like to thank everyone involved in the development of this major overhaul.

This article explains our reasons for the V2 upgrade, what the upgrade entails, the key differences between V1 & V2, along with the architectural upgrades to the AMM infrastructure and the underlying updates to some of the contracts.

The work doesn’t stop here. Upon deploying V2, the team will be getting straight to work on V2.1 upgrades, which consist of functionality upgrades that would have taken too long to implement in the V2 rollout, balance is key.

V2 TLDR 1 minute ;
>New AMMs in the mix

>Protocol Fees: Giving back to the protocols, whenever a protocol lists with us, SpiritSwap rebates protocols` 25% of the fees their pools generate

>Implementation of a master router. This means we can add new AMMs (like balancer weighted and linear or concentrated AMMs) without having to upgrade our UI or contracts.

>Fee reduction from 0.3% to 0.18% for Classic AMM (customizable fees down to 0.01%)

>Stable AMM introduced at 0.04% fees (customizable fees down to 0.01%)

>More fees for inSPIRIT holders from 0.05% — 0.135% (Includes both base fee and vote fee)

>Non-dilutive tokenomics for inSPIRIT holders through ve(3,3) model

>Making the inSPIRIT model more sustainable: Using a mix of solidly voting models

>Introduction of Permissionless Spirit farms

> In-built bribe UI

> Gauge proxy divided into 3 isolated gauge proxies for greater balance of emissions

V2.1 TLDR;
>Introduction of weighted pools

>Introduction of linear pools — better capital efficiency by feeding to lending network

>Introduction of Permissionless Ecosystem farms

> Upgrades to bribes (% based bribes, limit bribes)

V2 will be released in two stages. The first being a public beta, which is live as of today. This gives the public the ability to switch between V1 and V2 at their leisure. The current plan is for V2 beta to be live for 2 weeks, allowing the team to receive feedback and bug reports from the community. Over this time, the development team will dedicate 95 % of development resources to remedy any reported bugs from the community. Upon this round of community testing being complete, the team will redeploy our URL to face our V2 product thus making V2 our official application moving forward.

V2 TLDR 5 minutes :
Huge overhaul of fee structure with the aim to pass as much value back to inSPIRIT holders and protocols who support SpiritSwap.
Notably our vAMM fee has been reduced from 0.3% — 0.18%. This provides a positive feedback loop between aggregator traffic, volume and fees. The introduction of the new Vote Fee further rewards inSPIRIT holders who vote on gauges that have the ecosystem’s best interest at heart. The introduction of the Protocol Fee further incentivizes protocols to add liquidity with SpiritSwap, establishing a pool of deep liquidity for more optimal trade pricing.

Bridge swap upgrade:
SpiritSwap’s bridge aggregator will pave the way for a myriad of other chains to be added to the bridge. As a part of this upgrade, people will now be able to simultaneously swap while they bridge. For example, users can now send BNB from Binance Smart Chain to Fantom Opera, but in the same process, convert this BNB to FTM with one click.

We have 2 options — cheaper fees or faster transactions.

Bribe UI:
Isolated gauge proxies:
What was a “singular gauge proxy” for boosted farms, has now been segregated into 3 isolated gauge proxies for greater control over emissions on pairs that are crucial to the SpiritSwap ecosystem.

Running snapshots and facilitating airdrops for bribes is cumbersome and laborious. It’s not a good use of developer time. As such, the bribe process has been simplified for both developers and the community. Developers of projects who have gauges can now offer a bribe and set this up directly within our inSPIRIT UI. Subsequently, inSPIRIT holders who vote on farms with active bribes can also collect their voting fees directly within the inSPIRIT page, along with their inSPIRIT weekly rewards.

Isolated gauge proxies:

What was a “singular gauge proxy” for boosted farms, has now been segregated into 3 isolated gauge proxies for greater control over emissions on pairs that are crucial to the SpiritSwap ecosystem.

Real Yield — Anti dilution for inSPIRIT holders:
This aims to further stimulate the adoption of inSPIRIT for new and existing participants in our ecosystem. The Real Yield model sees emissions redirected to ensure loyal inSPIRIT holders are never diluted by farmers.

In depth overview 20 minutes
UI and codebase upgrades.
Soully has undergone some cosmetic surgery, SOME being an understatement. As you will notice, the entire layout of the SpiritSwap application has changed for a more simplified, crisp, clean and professional look. On top of this, we have rebuilt the ENTIRE code base from scratch, which is why V2 has been such a long drawn process.

In layman’s terms, by building this code ourselves (rather than relying on forked code) we understand the mechanics of this code much better, thus are able to execute a rapid turnaround time on fixing bugs and expediting deployment of new features. Needless to say the functionality of our DEX will now be much quicker than V1.

Offering a user interface that embodies the playful nature of Soully, while highlighting the key elements users expect from a DEX, is where inspiration came from. We wanted to keep things as minimalistic as possible, meanwhile offering the layers of detail that more seasoned DeFi users have come to expect from an aspiring tier 1 DEX.

The layout of the application was given careful consideration, specifically focusing on the flow of interaction. As users will notice, their journey within the application begins where all DeFi users would expect, their portfolio. Our home page now doubles as a portfolio page, which gives a detailed overview of all user positions including single held assets, LP positions, farm, winSPIRIT, lending and borrowing, as well as eventual ApeMode positions. This will offer all users a more enhanced overview of their positions on SpiritSwap and all key components / features that are offered as a protocol.

The new landing page will feature an overview of ALL key components that SpiritSwap brings to market. Included in these key components is user education, as a lot of users are new to defi. Ensuring users who arrive at our landing page have immediate access to information they need to make informed decisions is of immense importance. As such, when new users initially arrive at the landing page before entering the application, they are offered a myriad of information that details each individual feature via the ability to click on pop up infographic cards explaining the intricacy of each feature.

Basic AMM features like Swap, Bridge, Liquidity and Farms, still retain their standard functionality but with a new look and feel to the design. The focus was to keep as much of this functionality as familiar as possible for our existing users.

However you will notice that there are some new feature additions to farms and liquidity, which aligns with some of our new AMM architecture. These will be covered in a separate paragraph related to AMM upgrades.

The inSPIRIT page has also undergone a huge facelift, now offering far greater user experience. Users can now toggle between locking more SPIRIT or increasing their delegation period to eliminate any confusion. The process of locking inSPIRIT has now also been broken down into a simple 3 step process, replicating a walkthrough type approach for users participating in our inSPIRIT model. This makes the process seamless, easy to understand and eliminates any confusion for those who are new to the ecosystem or struggle to comprehend the process.

The farm voting panel has also been updated to offer improved UX via farm voting rebalance exclusion. Currently users must exclude farms they don’t want to vote for, otherwise vote percentages will automatically be rebalanced accordingly. This has led to a cumbersome and frustrating experience for V1 users and has been something we have strived to improve since the initial inSPIRIT deployment.

My farms toggle function: This allows users to automatically flip a switch that only displays their active farms in the voting panel. This improves UX as users no longer need to scroll through endless farms picking out the ones that are pertinent to their investment strategies, but rather streamline this approach by only displaying their active positions. This also helps users easily identify the most lucrative farms to vote for in order to capture the largest amount of voting fees.

AMM upgrades.
SpiritV2 will launch with two AMMs. A variable AMM (vAMM) for variable liquidity pairs (vLP) and a stable AMM (sAMM) for stable liquidity pairs (sLP). This AMM is a modified version of Solidly with an upgrade to the fee structure.

Our AMM architecture is preceded with a master router for swaps on SpiritV2. This means we can add new AMMs (like balancer weighted/linear pools or new types of AMMs) without having to upgrade our UI or contracts. They can just be added in the master router.

In this new AMM format, swap fees now accumulate outside of LP tokens in an LP Fee contract. This is unlike our old (UniV2) AMM in which fees are compounded directly into the LP tokens themselves. In this architecture each LP Pair contract has an associated LP Fee contract to handle this logic. Breaking out the accumulated swap fees from the LPs themselves allows us to implement our LP voting logic into the gauge system (more on that later).

The sAMM will allow for the ability to set different fees than the vAMM which Solidly didn't allow for. We see this as an opportunity to fix a broken system, which is why the SpiritSwap AMM’s offers variable fee functionality. The thought process here is that by utilizing the (X²+Y²)(XY)/2=K formula, we achieve a higher concentration of liquidity resulting in tighter spreads and lower impermanent loss. This means we can offer a far better execution on swaps (fees/slippage).

Further to this, SpiritSwap also achieves the ability to offer peg support, meaning SpiritSwap can now offer more effective pricing on stable trades, but also the ability to offer a more targeted solution to tokens that require peg maintenance. With this integration, winSPIRIT pairs will achieve more effective peg maintenance. This will now entice winSPIRIT pairs to stay where they belong and retain profitability on these pairs being traded, meaning inSPIRIT holders won’t miss out on the fees captured by any trading of inSPIRIT pairs that are currently based on other AMM’s.

By offering a more competitive pricing delivery on certain stable pairs, SpiritSwap will subsequently be more competitive in the aggregator space, meaning fees we were missing out on via DEX aggregation, will be a thing of the past.

Better pricing = more fees captured by proxy of DEX aggregation.

Further to this AMM architecture upgrade, SpiritSwap intends to add another layer of architecture to the mix in V2.1 that will allow for more enhanced trading functionality, offering the ability for us to bootstrap enhanced trader UI onto our front end. For now that update will remain as a surprise for a later day.

Fee structure:
The fee structure for SpiritSwap has also undergone some upgrades. The upgraded AMM has variable fees that can be updated by governance and can go as low as 0.01%. This will help us remain competitive with fees and we won’t have to redeploy even if our competitors lower their fees. Unlike Solidly, the vAMM and sAMM can have different fees, this makes sense because stable swaps should have lower fees than variable swaps because they incur less IL.

Moving forward, SpiritSwap will be reducing fees from 0.3% to 0.18% for our classic vAMM while establishing the ability to have an even more competitive fee for our new sAMM at a respectable 0.01%.

The reason for this stems from the realization that it’s better to capture a smaller slice of a bigger pie rather than trying to take the entire pie for ourselves. This update will see a more optimal pricing on trades, meaning that we capture a larger amount of aggregator traffic (fees that are currently being missed out on).

The distribution of fees has also undergone a change. The current model sees fees allocated as follows:

5 / 6 of fees are currently given back to LP’s

1 / 6 of fees are currently used to buy back SPIRIT at market rate and distribute to inSPIRIT holders during our weekly reward distribution.
vAMM & sAMM fee restructure:

Moving forward, Fees accumulate outside of LP token (unlike uniV2 which compounds fees directly into LP). Fees will be allocated as follows:

25 % will go to our base fee:
The base fee is exactly the same as the current inSPIRIT distribution. These are the SPIRIT rewards that all inSPIRIT holders collect at the end of each distribution epoch. It is pertinent to note that with the reduction in fee we are hopeful our routers will collect a higher volume of trade traffic from aggregators. Due to increased volume by virtue of a reduced fee, this increase in volume is expected to capture a higher distribution for inSPIRIT holders each week.

25% of fees will go to the new Protocol Fee model:

The protocol reward fee model is a rebate to protocols who list LP’s with us, for example Liquid Driver.

Out of all fees collected on Liquid Drivers liquidity pools, 25% of these will be given back to the protocol who lists with us (in this example Liquid Driver).

Read more at: https://spiritswap.medium.com/spiritswap-v2-is-live-ui-protocol-upgrades-bec064ebba61

Interested? Want to learn more about the community?
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Abolish The IRS?

I have been saying for YEARS that taxes have been 💯 % VOLUNTARY since WWII. DYOR, they started as VOLUNTARY DONATIONS for the war effort. They need this to look legit, if the people realized that the government has been lying to them for all these years, it would be instant chaos and a new civil war and revolution.

With President DonaldTrump Installing Scott Bessent as IRS Commissioner & Dan Scavino calling to Abolish the IRS on the same day, here's 1 minute, 17 seconds of clips of Trump & Crew hinting the IRS will be abolished....

Enjoy the show... 🍿

00:01:17
THIS IS HUGE!🗣️

🧬 New research explores DNA as an electromagnetic fractal cavity resonator—suggesting it may act like a fractal antenna capable of universal sensing.

🔑Key idea:

🔹DNA’s fractal geometry could allow it to interact with electromagnetic fields across multiple scales.

🔹This means it might function not just as a biochemical data store, but also as a signal receiver/transmitter within biological systems.

🔹Potential implications for bio-communication, energy transfer, and even novel sensing technologies.

If true, this reframes DNA as bio-hardware—not just code, but a physical interface with the EM spectrum.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321294432_DNA_as_an_Electromagnetic_Fractal_Cavity_Resonator_Its_Universal_Sensing_and_Fractal_Antenna_Behavior

00:03:01
🚨 COINBASE UNLOCKS MILLIONS OF ASSETS WITH DEX TRADING 🚨

👉Dinarian Note: This could be their attempt at fixing their crashes during altseasons. Time will tell right?⌛It can't hurt to be prepared! I still use this for 99% of my trades, it's like the "Tripadvisor" of crypto, finding the cheapest and fastest routes around. 🔗https://rebrand.ly/wk2aq8r

========================

Coinbase has launched decentralized exchange (DEX) trading within its main app for U.S. users (excluding New York), allowing direct onchain trading of millions of assets, initially focusing on tokens from its Base Layer 2 network. This move significantly expands access to newly created tokens, enabling immediate trading moments after they go live onchain without waiting for traditional centralized listings.

🔑 Key Points

🔹 Massive Asset Availability: Users can trade millions of Base-native tokens instantly after they are indexed onchain. This includes projects like Virtuals AI Agents, Reserve Protocol Decentralized Tokenized Funds (DTFs), SoSo Value Indices, Auki Labs, ...

00:00:27
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

What a Working Trading Strategy Consists Of... 📚

When a trader hears the word “strategy,” many imagine a complex formula or dozens of charts with various lines. In reality, it’s much simpler.

📌 A working strategy includes just a few essential elements:

1️⃣ Timeframe — the time interval you trade on, from 1 minute to a week. Everyone chooses according to their style and available time.

2️⃣ Instrument — a currency pair, cryptocurrency, or any other asset. It’s impossible to trade everything equally well — it’s better to focus on 1–3 instruments.

3️⃣Entry conditions — a clear signal that tells you when to open a trade. This could be a breakout, a bounce, an indicator, or a combination of factors.

4️⃣Exit conditions — where to take profit and where to cut losses. It’s important not to guess here but to know in advance what to do in any market scenario.

5️⃣ Risk management — position size, acceptable risk per trade, and total account risk.

⚠️ ...

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BULL Awakes as Bitcoin Hits $122,000, Ethereum Blasts $4,000, Altcoin Market and XRP Bull Structure

HARMONIX PRICE ORACLE POWERED BY PYTH NETWORK

Harmonix relies on @PythNetwork for low-latency, secure price feeds across all vaults and pools on HyperEVM.

With Pyth, our sophisticated strategies run with pinpoint on-chain precision.

The newly live $haHYPE/ $HYPE price feed unlocks collateralized lending and borrowing for $haHYPE, driving deeper liquidity for @HyperliquidX-native assets.

Stronger liquidity means smoother, more sustainable yield generation for every Harmonix user.

https://x.com/harmonixfi/status/1954847247025512672?s=19

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Understanding the Crypto Alt Season

The next altcoin season is poised to ignite the crypto market, promising to turn savvy investors' portfolios into goldmines. As Bitcoin's dominance wanes, a new era of blockchain innovation is dawning—are you ready to ride the wave?

Market behavior often exhibits distinct patterns and cycles. One such phenomenon that has captured the attention of traders and investors alike is the "Alt Season"—a period when alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins," outperform Bitcoin and experience significant price surges.

The concept of market cycles and seasonality is not unique to crypto; it's a well-established principle in traditional financial markets. However, in volatile crypto space, these cycles can be more pronounced and occur with greater frequency.  

In this article, we’ll try to cover these and other topics: 

  1. The nature and characteristics of Alt Seasons
  2. The importance of recognizing market cycles in cryptocurrency trading
  3. Alt Season indicators and how to interpret them
  4. Predictions and speculatins about the next potential Alt Season

What Is Crypto Alt Season?

Crypto Alt Season, short for "Alternative Cryptocurrency Season," refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation. During an Alt Season:

  1. Many altcoins experience rapid price increases.
  2. The market share of altcoins grows relative to Bitcoin.
  3. Trading volume for altcoins typically increases.
  4. Investor attention shifts from Bitcoin to various altcoin projects.

An Alt Season can last anywhere from a few weeks to several months. It's often characterized by increased risk appetite among investors, who are willing to allocate more capital to smaller, potentially higher-risk crypto projects in search of higher returns.

Is Crypto Season the Same As Crypto Alt Season?

While related, Crypto Season and Crypto Alt Season are not exactly the same:

  1. Crypto Season:
    • Refers to a broader bullish period in the entire cryptocurrency market.
    • Typically includes price appreciation for both Bitcoin and altcoins.
    • Can be longer in duration, sometimes lasting for many months or even a year or more.
    • Often starts with a Bitcoin rally, followed by increased interest in the broader crypto market.
  2. Crypto Alt Season:
    • Specifically focuses on the outperformance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
    • Can occur within a broader Crypto Season but is more narrowly defined.
    • Generally shorter in duration than a full Crypto Season.
    • May happen towards the latter part of a broader Crypto Season, as investors seek higher returns in smaller cap coins.

Key Differences:

  • Scope: Crypto Season encompasses the entire market, while Alt Season focuses on altcoins.
  • Duration: Crypto Seasons are generally longer than Alt Seasons.
  • Market Dynamics: In a Crypto Season, Bitcoin often leads the rally, while in an Alt Season, altcoins outperform Bitcoin.

It's important to note that these terms are not officially defined and can be subject to different interpretations within the cryptocurrency community. However, understanding the distinction can help investors and traders better analyze market trends and potential opportunities in different segments of the crypto market.

What Is Alt Season Indicator?

The Alt Season Indicator is a tool used by cryptocurrency traders and investors to gauge whether the market is entering or currently in an "Alt Season" — a period when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. While there isn't a single, universally accepted Alt Season Indicator, several metrics and tools are commonly used to assess the likelihood of an Alt Season. Here are some key aspects of Alt Season Indicators:

Bitcoin Dominance

One of the most widely used indicators is Bitcoin Dominance, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap.

  • Calculation: (Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Crypto Market Cap) * 100
  • Interpretation: A declining Bitcoin Dominance often signals a potential Alt Season, as it indicates that capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
  • Threshold: Some traders consider Bitcoin Dominance below 50% as a potential indicator of an Alt Season.

Altcoin Market Cap Ratio

This indicator compares the total market capitalization of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Market Cap / Bitcoin Market Cap
  • Interpretation: An increasing ratio suggests growing strength in the altcoin market relative to Bitcoin.

Top 10 Altcoins Performance

This indicator tracks the performance of the top 10 altcoins by market cap (excluding Bitcoin) compared to Bitcoin over a specific period.

  • Calculation: Average percentage gain of top 10 altcoins vs. Bitcoin's percentage gain
  • Interpretation: When a majority of top altcoins consistently outperform Bitcoin, it may indicate an Alt Season.

Alt Season Index

Some crypto data platforms offer a proprietary Alt Season Index, which combines various metrics to provide a single score indicating the likelihood of an Alt Season.

  • Scale: Often presented as a percentage or a 0-100 score
  • Interpretation: Higher scores (e.g., above 75%) suggest a higher probability of an ongoing Alt Season

Trading Volume Ratios

This indicator compares the trading volumes of altcoins to Bitcoin's trading volume.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Trading Volume / Bitcoin Trading Volume
  • Interpretation: An increase in this ratio may indicate growing interest in altcoins, potentially signaling an Alt Season.

Important Considerations:

  1. No single indicator is foolproof. Traders often use a combination of indicators for a more comprehensive analysis.
  2. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past patterns don't guarantee future results.
  3. Different traders may use different thresholds or interpretations of these indicators.
  4. The crypto market's evolving nature means that indicators may need to be adjusted over time to remain relevant.

Understanding and effectively using Alt Season Indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about allocating their resources between Bitcoin and altcoins. However, it's crucial to combine these indicators with broader market analysis and risk management strategies.

Alt Seasons: Historical Perspective, Current Situation, and Future Predictions

Previous Altcoin Seasons

In crypto, two periods stand out as particularly significant for altcoins. These "alt seasons" saw unprecedented growth and interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin, reshaping the landscape of digital assets.

The 2017-2018 Alt Season

Duration: December 2017 to January 2018

Context:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) experienced its most remarkable bull run to date, reaching nearly $20,000 in December 2017.
  • This surge in Bitcoin's price and public interest created a ripple effect throughout the crypto market.

Key Developments:

  1. Proliferation of New Coins: The success of Bitcoin catalyzed the launch of numerous new cryptocurrencies.
  2. Investor Frenzy: Buoyed by Bitcoin's success, investors eagerly sought the "next Bitcoin," pouring capital into various altcoins.
  3. ICO Boom: This period saw a surge in Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), with many projects raising millions in a matter of hours or days.
  4. Market Expansion: The total cryptocurrency market cap reached unprecedented levels, briefly surpassing $800 billion in January 2018.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC) saw significant price increases during this period.

The 2020-2021 Alt Season

Duration: December 2020 to April 2021

Context:

  • Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high, surpassing $60,000 in March 2021.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated digital adoption and increased interest in alternative investments.

Key Developments:

  1. DeFi Explosion: Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects gained massive traction, with many tokens seeing exponential growth.
  2. NFT Boom: Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) entered the mainstream, driving interest in blockchain-based digital assets.
  3. Institutional Adoption: Major companies and institutional investors began adding cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets.
  4. Technological Advancements: Many altcoins introduced innovative features, scaling solutions, and use cases.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) reached new highs, while projects like Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), and Polkadot (DOT) saw remarkable growth.

Comparative Analysis: Both alt seasons shared some common characteristics:

  • They were preceded by significant Bitcoin price rallies.
  • New projects and tokens gained rapid popularity and valuation.
  • Retail investor participation increased dramatically.
  • The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization reached new heights.

However, the 2020-2021 alt season was marked by greater institutional involvement and a broader range of technological innovations, particularly in DeFi and NFTs.

Is It Alt Season?

Based on the indicators discussed above, it's not currently an altcoin season. The Altcoin Season Index at 41 and Bitcoin's market dominance at 61.3% both suggest that Bitcoin is still the dominant force in the crypto market at this time.

When Is Alt Season?

Based on the information we could gather from various experts, we can analyze the predictions for the next altcoin season as follows:

  • Based on the latest analysis from experts and on-chain data, here’s what we know about the next altcoin season:

     

    Current Status (August 2025):

     

    • The altcoin season index—a metric that signals how many altcoins outperform Bitcoin—currently sits around 37. For a “full-blown” alt season, it typically needs to rise above 75.

    • Bitcoin dominance is approximately 61-62%. Historically, dropping below 60% often coincides with a rapid rotation into altcoins and the start of alt season.

     

    Key Indicators to Watch:

     

    • Altcoin Season Index (ASI): Above 75 signals a true altcoin season.

    • Bitcoin Dominance: A move below 60% usually marks the transition; sub-50% dominance is associated with peak alt season inflows.

    • Market Activity: Increasing volumes in major altcoins and Layer 1s, meme coin rallies, and spikes in DeFi activity are early warning signs.

    • Ethereum Outperformance: When ETH surges relative to BTC, this historically precedes broader altcoin rallies.

     

    Expert Predictions for 2025:

     

    • Analysts point to a pivotal window for alt season starting as early as August 2025 and extending through the fall, with many expecting true acceleration of altcoin gains if Bitcoin’s price consolidates and capital rotates further into alts.

    • There is strong consensus that macroeconomic catalysts, such as potential U.S. interest rate cuts and ongoing Bitcoin ETF momentum, could fuel a major altcoin rally in late 2025 if positive conditions persist.

    Summary Table: Key Factors & Targets

    SignalAlt Season TriggerStatus (Aug 2025)
    Altcoin Season Index (ASI)>75 ~37
    Bitcoin dominance<60% ~61–62% (near trigger)
    Altcoin trading volumeSustained surge across many alts Rising, but not explosive
    Ethereum outperformanceETH/ BTC breakout, >$3,700 Near, ETH ~$3,500
    Market narrativesAI, DeFi, meme coins, new L1 inflows Strengthening
     

    Bottom Line:
    Most analysts agree the groundwork for altcoin season in 2025 is building. We are currently in a transition phase: if Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and the Altcoin Season Index rises above 75, a full-fledged alt season could ignite during the second half of 2025. Monitor these key indicators to stay ahead as market momentum shifts from Bitcoin into a broader range of altltcoins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Technology: Look for coins with innovative solutions to existing blockchain challenges.
  • Adoption: Consider projects with growing partnerships and real-world use cases.
  • Market Position: Established coins with room for growth may offer a balance of stability and potential returns.
  • Tokenomics: Understanding supply dynamics can help predict potential price movements.

It's crucial to conduct thorough research before investing. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always invest responsibly and within your risk tolerance.

How to Win in Next Alt Season?

Capitalizing on the next altcoin season requires a strategic approach. Here's how to maximize potential gains:

  • Research and Diversification: Thoroughly research potential investments, analyzing both fundamentals and technical aspects to identify promising altcoins. Diversify your holdings across different projects to mitigate risk and maximize potential returns. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
  • Strategic Timing: Utilize technical analysis tools like support/resistance levels and RSI to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Monitor market sentiment and price trends to make informed decisions. A clear entry and exit strategy is crucial for managing risk and maximizing profits during volatile periods.
  • Newer Projects: Consider participating in newer altcoin projects. This provides early access to potentially high-growth projects at discounted prices. Research upcoming defi projects with use cases, focusing on innovative projects with strong potential. Investing early can yield substantial returns as the project develops.

Conclusion

In summary, an altcoin season, marked by significant price increases in non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies, may be on the horizon.  This potential surge could be driven by investors seeking higher returns in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, technological advancements in altcoin projects, increased blockchain adoption, and the transition of projects from speculative ventures to real-world applications

Remember, while the potential for significant gains exists during an altcoin season, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Always invest responsibly.

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PYTH: We'll Always Have Coldplay

Welcome back to The Epicenter, where crypto chaos meets corporate cringe.

But surprisingly, crypto has not been the most chaotic corner of the internet as of late.

That honor goes to the startup Astronomer, whose CEO’s cheating scandal broke the web in a glorious meme-fueled media frenzy. The company’s damage control? Hiring Gwyneth Paltrow as a “temporary spokesperson.” Do we think they’re grasping at straws or setting a new standard for PR?

Meanwhile, the markets didn’t blink. BTC is still flexing near its all-time highs. Michael Saylor’s bringing a bitcoin-adjacent money-market product to Wall Street. A pharma company just earmarked $700M to stack BNB, and analysts are calling time of death on the four-year crypto cycle. It’s a steady boom now, kittens.

A few things that are also worth noting: Winklevoss vs. JPMorgan, Visa’s take on stablecoins, and Robinhood’s Euro drama that defies the chillness of eurosummer.

Let’s get into it 👇

⛓️ The On-Chain Pulse: What’s Happening on the Front Lines of Finance

This week’s biggest news in crypto and all things digital assets

🗣️ Word on the Street: What the Experts are Saying

Stuff you should repost (or maybe even cough reword and take credit for)

Meme of the Week

🏦 Kiss my SaaS: What’s Changing the Game for Fintech

Things you should care about if you want to impress your coworkers

Closing Thoughts

From meme-fueled PR stunts to Bitcoin-backed money-market funds, this week reminded us that markets move fast—and headlines move faster. With Wall Street automating itself, fintechs beefing with banks, and even your smartphone becoming a miner, anything is possible. Stay curious, stay cynical, and as always—stay sharp and stay liquid. We’ll see you back here in two weeks.

— The Epicenter, powered by Pyth Network

 

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4 Fintech Companies 💸& Things To Know About 🤔

The fintech revolution is reshaping the way we manage, invest, and move money, breaking down traditional barriers and empowering individuals worldwide. As financial technology continues to evolve at a rapid pace, a select group of innovative companies are leading the charge by offering groundbreaking solutions that redefine banking, payments, and digital assets. Whether you’re a savvy investor, an industry professional, or simply curious about the future of finance, discovering these trailblazing fintech companies is essential to understanding today’s dynamic financial landscape.

 

  1.  Alina Invest - The AI Wealth Manager for GenZ Women

Alina is aimed at women under 25 who identify as beginner investors. They're an SEC-registered investment advisor that charges $120/year for membership. The service "buys and sells for you" and gives up notification updates of recent transactions like a wealth manager would.

👉 Getting people to invest early is crucial to building long-term wealth. One thing that holds them back is a lack of confidence and experience. Being targetted "for beginners" and people who live on TikTok should appeal. I love the sense of "we're buying and selling for you." Funds always do that, but making it an engagement mechanic is very smart. The risk here is that building a wealth business will take decades for the AUM to compound. But the next generations, Wealthfront or Betterment, will look something like Alina.

2. Blue layer - The Carbon project funding platform

Bluelayer allows Carbon project developers to take from feasibility studies to issuing credits, tracking inventory, and managing orders. Developers of reforestation, conservation, direct air capture, and other projects can also directly report to industry registries. 

👉 Carbon investing and tax credits are heavily incentivized but need transparent data. By focusing on the developers, Bluelayer can ensure the data, reporting, and credits lifecycle is all managed at the source. This is smart.

3. Akirolabs - Modern Procurement for enterprise

Akiro is a "strategic" procurement platform aiming to help enterprise customers identify risks, value drivers, and strategic levers before issuing an RFP. It aims to bring in multiple stakeholders for complex purchasing decisions at multinationals. 

👉 Procurement is a great wedge for multinational corporate transformation. Buying anything in an enterprise that uses large-scale ERPs is a nightmare of committees and spreadsheets. Turning an oil tanker-sized organization around is difficult, but the right suppliers can have a meaningful impact in the short term. That only works if you can buy from them. Getting people on the same page with a single platform is a great start.

4. NeoTax - Automated Tax R&D Credits

NeoTax allows companies to connect their engineering tools to calculate available tax advantages automatically. Once calculated, the tax fillings are clearly labeled with supporting evidence for the IRS.

👉 AWS and GCP log files and data are a goldmine. Last week, I covered Bilanc, which uses log files to figure out per-account unit economics. Now, we calculate R&D tax credits. The unlock here is LLM's ability to understand unstructured data. The hard part is understanding the moat, but time will tell.

In an era where technology and finance are increasingly intertwined, these four fintech companies stand out as catalysts for positive change. By driving progress in digital payments, asset management, lending, and decentralized finance, they are not only making financial services more accessible and efficient—they are also paving the way for a more inclusive and empowered global economy. Staying informed about their innovations can help you seize new opportunities and take part in the future of finance.

 

👀Things to know 👀

 

PayPal issued low guidance and warned of a “transition year.” The stock is down 8% in extended trading despite PayPal reporting a 9% growth in revenue and 23% EBITDA. Gross profit is down 4% YoY. PayPal's total revenues were $29Bn for the year

Adyen reported 22% revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of 46% for the full year. Adyen's total revenues were $1.75bn for the full year. The margin was down from 55% the previous year, impacted by hiring ahead of growth.

🤔 PayPal’s Braintree (unbranded) is losing market share in the US, while Adyen is winning it. eCommerce is growing ~9 to 10% YoY, and PayPal’s transaction revenue grew by 6.7%. The higher interest rate environment meant interest on balances dragged up the total revenue figure. Their core business is losing market share. Adyen is outgrowing the market by ~12%.

🤔 The PayPal button (branded) is losing to SHOP Pay and Apple Pay. The branded experience from Apple and Shopify is delightful for users; it’s fast and helps with small details like delivery tracking. That experience translates to higher conversion (and more revenue) for merchants.

🤔 The lack of a single global platform hurts PayPal, but it helps Adyen. In the earnings call, the new CEO admitted their mix of platforms like Venmo, PayPal, and Braintree are holding them back. They aim to combine and simplify, but that’s easier said than done.

🤔 Making a single platform from PayPal, Venmo, and Braintree won’t be easy. There’s a graveyard of payment company CEOs who tried to make “one platform” from things they acquired years ago. It’s crucial if they’re going to grow that they get their innovation edge back. Adyen has one platform in every market.

🤔 PayPal’s UK and European acquiring business is a bright spot. The UK and EU delivered 20% of overall revenue, growing 11% YoY. Square and Toast don’t have market share here, while iZettle, which PayPal acquired in 2018, is a strong market player. Overall though, it’s yet another tech stack and business that’s not part of a single global platform.

The two banks provided accounts to UK front companies secretly owned by an Iranian petrochemicals company. PCC has used these entities to receive funds from Iranian entities in China, concealed with trustee agreements and nominee directors. 

🤔 This is the headline every bank CEO fears. Oof. Shares of both banks have been down since the news broke, but this will no doubt involve crisis calls, committees, appearing in front of the regulator, and, finally, some sort of fine.

🤔 The "risk-based approach" has been arbitraged. A UK company with relatively low annual revenue would look "low risk" at onboarding. One business the FT covered looked like a small company at a residential address to compliance staff. They'd likely apply branch-level controls instead of the enterprise-grade controls you'd see for a large corporation. 

🤔 Hiring more staff won't fix this problem; it's a mindset and technology challenge. In theory, all of the skill and technology that exists to manage risks with large corporate customers (in the transaction banking divisions) are available to the other parts of a bank. In practice, they're not. Most banks lack a single data set and the ability for compliance officers in one team to see data from another part of the org. Getting the basics right with data and tooling is incredibly hard and will involve a multi-year effort. 

🤔 These things are rarely the failure of an individual or department; the issue is systemic. While two banks are named in this headline, the issue is everywhere. Banks need more data and better data to train better AI and machine learning. That all needs to happen in real-time as a compliment to the human staff. Throwing bodies at this won't solve the visibility issue teams have.

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If you find value in my content, consider showing your support via:

💳 PayPal: 

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