TheDinarian
News • Business • Investing & Finance
đŸ’„The US Dollar: An Advanced ObituaryđŸ’„
December 11, 2022
post photo preview

Compliments of the Lifschultz Organization founded in 1899

An ounce of gold in dollars was worth in 1833 $18.93, in 1900 $18.96, in 1920 $20.68, in 1934 $34.69, in 1971 $40.62, in 1974 $154.00, in 2005 $444.74, in 2016 $1250.74, today it is $1769.50. See footnote two for a chart. The depreciation of the dollar against gold is a demonstration that the dollar is dying. đŸ’„It will eventually be worth nothing.đŸ’„ If the inflation were accurately measured the dollar would have lost over 99% of its 1920 value. This is covered in detail in the report below.

How did this happen? The western financial system was founded on interest or usury. If there are 244,000 tons of gold in the world and the interest rate were 5% a year on the loan due in one year for the principal and interest, then at the end of the year you would have a default as there would not be the 5% gold in the world for the interest plus the principal. This is the fallacy that Aristotle treats saying the usury system was against nature as gold could not procreate the interest and of course the Bible forbids it for the same reason (Deuteronomy 23:19).

Making money from money, according to Aristotle, is “unnatural” because money, unlike an orchard, cannot produce additional value.

Aristot. Pol. 1.1258b
[1258b] [1] Usury is not in accordance with nature, but involves men’s taking things from one another. As this is so, usury is most reasonably hated, because its gain comes from money itself and not from that for the sake of which money was invented. For money was brought into existence for the purpose of exchange, but interest increases the amount of the money itself and this is the actual origin of the Greek word: offspring resembles parent, and interest is money born of money; consequently this form of the business of getting wealth is of all forms the most contrary to nature.  

What the modern man did to circumvent this scientific fact that the interest could not be paid back with the principal was let the currency outrun its gold base until it could no longer be convertible into gold as there was no longer enough of a gold cover which was when Nixon took the US out of the gold system to a fiat system in August of 1971.

Once the convertibility ends the dollar or any other currency it becomes a fiat money.

Paper money eventually returns to its intrinsic value: zero. – Voltaire

Usury or interest works scientifically in this sense that in the end there will be debt defaults as the gold will not be in existence to repay the debt with interest as demonstrated above so that it will end as in the English economy under King Edward the Pious when all the property in England that secured the debt ended in the end in the hands of the usurers based on defaults as the gold was not available to pay the interest in a relatively closed system as demonstrated in the previous paragraphs. 

In a sense the usury became a control mechanism as it is to this day.  When Edward the Pious witnessed this he realized that either the usurer would be King or he would be King only by ending this evil practice whereby he confiscated all the ill gotten gold of the usurers who were violating the Bible and expelled them from England (July 18, 1290). In other words, King Edward the Pious saw usury as a control mechanism and the new rulers were the usurers.  He was pious believing in God and was not going to tolerate this or give up his rule a the vicegerent of Heaven. Monarchy is sanctioned by the Bible. This was the essential meaning of Shakespeare’s “Merchant of Venice” where the usurer, Shylock, was waiving his usury for the death of Signor Antonio who was threatening his control mechanism by the Christian concept that usury is a sin. This would outlaw the control mechanism. Today it is the usurer who rules the world as explained by Benjamin Disraeli in his novel “Coningsby”. Benjamin Disraeli in his novel “Coningsby” explained this control mechanism to us and we quote:

The world is governed by very different personages from what is imagined by those who are not behind the scenes. (Coningsby)

Benjamin Disraeli

This gives some of the recent history of the control mechanism where the personages are identified.

The gold convertibility of the dollar was ended when the gold cover was insufficient to support the created dollars. đŸ’„The US dollar will die as all fiat currencies will eventually do.đŸ’„ The dollar system was systemically flawed and doomed from the from the first day it was created when the dollar incorporated the usury or interest rate system as a hybrid of a gold dollar system as the gold cannot create its own liquidity to pay the interest.

Now let’s turn to the dollar system or the SWIFT-CHIPS payment system as the mechanism of the central bank system. This is denominated in fiat money called the dollar. There is nothing behind it and this is why the cryptos thought that they could do the same if anyone would accept their crypto currency even though it was as worthless as the dollar neither of which has any intrinsic value. The collapse of the cryptos portends the end of the dollar.

The first symptom of a coming FTX wreckage of the dollar was when the US and others seized the gold and dollar reserves of Russia. This was a fatal error in the sense that if China or any other nation were sanctioned by the US they could lose their reserves also to such confiscation. A precedent has been set. The banking system is based on trust even if the trust is in nothing (fiat money) and this breach of trust is starting the first great schism in the international financial system as major powers are shifting to another system. See footnote one. In a theological sense this is what happened to the Catholic Church when there arose a Protestant Schism. This Schism was sponsored and created by the usurers as part of their effort to gain complete mastery over western civilization. It was a fatal mistake of the Council of Trent not to follow the recommendations of the Holy Roman Emperor Charles V to permit priests to marry which was the main issue used against the Church by the usurers and this would have prevented the Schism. Marriage is commanded by the Bible:

Genesis 2:24 Therefore shall a man leave his father and his mother, and shall cleave unto his wife: and they shall be one flesh.

It was a fatal mistake by the US to confiscate Russian assets in the international central banks system (SWIFT:CHIPS) as the US incurs each year a $821.4 billion dollar current account deficit on its foreign account, and if half the participants leave the dollar system the US will not be able to sustain this purchasing power as they may not accept dollars. đŸ’„The US will not be able to pay for its imports in the fiat dollar that has no intrinsic value.đŸ’„ There are good aspects about this in that nations as individuals should live within their means. Now this is not so bad theoretically đŸ’„but the adjustment for the US may be catastrophic as it may not be able to pay for half its imports as half the world will be out of the dollar system.đŸ’„

Now my good friend Sergei Glaziev of Russia is creating the new currency system outside the dollar system using a basket of fiat currencies and perhaps some gold to create an alternative international financial system to compete with the dollar. I have advised him if he wants to end the dollar suzerainty he need merely create a gold ruble or Klondike system convertible into gold and this unlike the cryptos would wipe out the dollar system as good money historically drives out the bad money. Of course, he could join hands with China, Brazil, India creating a new currency called the Klondike based on complete gold backing for the new international media of exchange. That is the only one that could work but usury cannot be concluded. The Stalinists of Russia told me that Stalin socialized the usury thereby neutralizing it as a control mechanism separated from the government.

In the absence of effectively enforced legal tender laws, Gresham’s law tends to operate in reverse; good money drives bad money out of circulation because people can decline to accept the less valuable money as a means of payment in transactions.

Below is the fatal error.

Elvira Nabiullina said plans were being made to launch lawsuits after governments including the US, UK and EU froze the Russian central bank’s foreign currency reserves held within their jurisdictions.

“This freezing of gold and foreign exchange reserves was unprecedented, so we are going to work on legal claims, and we are getting ready to put them forward,” Nabiullina was quoted as saying by the Kremlin-backed Tass news agency.

P. S. Alfred Marshall at Cambridge tried to solve the fallacy of the gold standard that it was unworkable according to Aristotle and failed to do so. He was the mentor of John Maynard Keynes when he was at Cambridge. It might be said that Keynes was the father of inflation and fiat money which was as against nature as his homosexual’s life style.

Next is a report from the 1930s by Arnold Deutsch who was Stalin’s NKVD Resident Spy in London in his communication to the center read by Stalin on their British spy Anthony Burgess which demonstrates the moral collapse of the leadership of Great Britain that preceded their collapse as a world power as they are directly connected. It also comments on the John Maynard Keynes perversion.

“Many features of his character can be explained by the fact that he is a homosexual. He became one at Eton, where he grew up in an atmosphere of cynicism, opulence, hypocrisy and superficiality. As he is very clever and well educated, the (Communist) Party was for him a saviour. It gave him above all an opportunity to satisfy his intellectual needs. Therefore, he took to party work with great enthusiasm. Part of his private life is led in a circle of homosexual friends whom he recruited among a wide variety of people, ranging from the famous liberal economist Keynes and extending to the very trash of society down to male prostitutes. His personal degradation, drunkenness, irregular way of life and the feeling of being outside society was connected with this kind of life, but on the other hand his abhorrence of bourgeois morality came from this. This kind of life did not satisfy him. His homosexuality he describes as not inborn because he can also live with women. He learned it at Eton because everyone is engaged in homosexuality there, so he simply joined in. The pupils there lived several to a room and the class masters use their superior position to seduce young boys.”

Footnote One:

The Global South births a new game-changing payment system

Footnote Two:

Footnote Three:

THE US DOLLAR: AN ADVANCED OBITUARY BY FRANZ PICK

A BOOK REVIEW

Compliments of the Lifschultz Organization founded in 1899

The 9-15-1931 to 9-16-1931 Invergordon Naval Mutiny caused a panic on the London Stock Exchange and a run on the pound, bringing Britain’s economic troubles to a head and forcing it off the Gold Standard on 21 September 1931. Since 1588 Britain ruled the seas and this was the beginning of the end of British power.

The British pound was the leading international currency and reserve currency at the time. Its 9-21-1931 devaluation was a shock that led directly to many echo devaluations worldwide. By the end of 1931, 23 countries had left the gold standard.

President Richard Nixon’s actions in 1971 to end dollar convertibility to gold and implement wage/price controls were intended to address the international dilemma of a looming gold run and the domestic problem of inflation. The new economic policy marked the beginning of the end of the Bretton Woods international monetary system and temporarily halted inflation.

The OPEC oil embargo was a decision to stop exporting oil to the United States. On October 19, 1973, the 12 OPEC members agreed to the embargo. Over the next six months, oil prices quadrupled. Prices remained at higher levels even after the embargo ended in March 1974. 

Click here to download the book in its entirety

There is a direct connection to the British and Americans going off the gold standard as reflected above and the decline of their military and economic power of Britain and the US as I wrote in the piece below entitled “Goethe, Faust and the Euro”.

Dr. Franz Pick, the author of this book, “The US Dollar: An Advanced Obituary”, began his meteoric rise selling the pound short on the day the Invergordon Naval Strike took place that made him a fortune.  

During World War Two he was part of the OSS system as the paymaster of the French Resistance.  When one of their key OSS agents was arrested in Rome in a drunken state, Franz was assigned to go to Italy to bribe with gold the jailor to release him. He drove him to France where the agent said he had to obey the call of nature and took a walk into the bushes, and never returned going back to his OSS work. The Italians did not know how important an intelligent agent they had in their prison.  

Since the heroin distribution was the largest business in the world, Franz would give the quote in Harlem of the daily fix.  The Mafia had come to him for “financial advice” offering him a huge amount of money but he instead swapped the advice for the daily heroin quote in Harlem.   During the Vietnam War he would quote the prostitution rates for the American Military in Saigon for what Senator Fulbright called the American Military’s whorehouse. Mothers of America were very, very upset at how Fulbright talked about their precious ones but they should have inquired what their husbands were doing in World War Two when the military passed out tens of millions of condoms for what Eisenhower named his book “Crusade” in Europe.  His monthly currency report was purchased by just about every central bank in the world and even our GAO Office used it in their studies as the information on blocked currencies was not available in the standard books or articles of reference.

This worthy study can be summarized in this two sentence quote from Dr. Pick:

“Each year I send a copy of the inflation chart to French President Valery d’Estaing who asked me to. When he first saw it, about five years ago, he said, ‘But my dear friend, since 1965 there has been no progress in the United States.'”  In other words, if we take the true inflation out of the GDP figures there has been no growth in the US as half our industries have been destroyed replaced by a growth through inflation figures that are imaginary. This sleight of hand is discussed in the book but what happens in the CPI index is if the price of a product rises too fast they exchange it with a cheaper substitute thereby biasing the index downward.

I came across Franz in the 1970s seeing him often quoted on the front page of the Wall Street Journal. I wrote him that he was a buffoon and did not know what he was talking about. He invited me to his apartment for a meeting in which he said that part of my critique that stated that the usury gold system does not work based on the fact that gold was barren was true and understood by almost no one. (This is explained in detail in the study “Goethe, Faust and the Euro” below.) Briefly, if there are 200,000 tons of gold in the world and it is lent at 10% to be paid at the end of the year in principal and interest, the interest cannot be paid as it does not exist in gold. That is why Aristotle described the usury system as against nature and unworkable on all the gold is lent out and in the end the lender will control everything.

In 1979 he asked me to write for the new Federal Reserve Chairman Paul Volcker his famous anti-inflation plan which I did, and we sent it to Volcker his being ordered by Franz to implement it which he did on October 6, 1979 at a Saturday night press conference exactly paralleling what I wrote point by point in the press conference.  I later told him when to ease rates at a three hour discussion on the Delta Shuttle between New York and Washington which was delayed. Franz was number one of the deep state in the United States and the three branches of government were under him.

Volcker’s Announcement of Anti-Inflation Measures

Ted Truman (1) used to tell me that Paul required him to answer him on my correspondence within 24 hours. During the 1987 crash Ted was the internal point man in reversing the 1987 cash settlement manipulation while number one in the deep state gave out the order to the Wall Street Giants to reverse their cash settlement positions ending the crash.  

None disobeyed orders. Dr. Pick was not alive to see it but he would have been happy that we prevented a 1929 as we did in 2008. Truman was about the only one there who understood anything as Greenspan was totally incompetent. See study below on the use then in the manipulation of stochastic control theory. In 2008 we did the same but with revisions as can be found in the Goethe analysis below.

See under subtitle Stochastic Control Theory in the next link for a description of this manipulation.

The Straits of Hormuz as a Trigger to World Depression

(1) From 1977 to 1998 Edwin M. Truman directed the Division of International Finance at the Federal Reserve System

Link

community logo
Join the TheDinarian Community
To read more articles like this, sign up and join my community today
0
What else you may like

Videos
Podcasts
Posts
Articles
Abolish The IRS?

I have been saying for YEARS that taxes have been 💯 % VOLUNTARY since WWII. DYOR, they started as VOLUNTARY DONATIONS for the war effort. They need this to look legit, if the people realized that the government has been lying to them for all these years, it would be instant chaos and a new civil war and revolution.

With President DonaldTrump Installing Scott Bessent as IRS Commissioner & Dan Scavino calling to Abolish the IRS on the same day, here's 1 minute, 17 seconds of clips of Trump & Crew hinting the IRS will be abolished....

Enjoy the show... 🍿

00:01:17
THIS IS HUGE!đŸ—Łïž

🧬 New research explores DNA as an electromagnetic fractal cavity resonator—suggesting it may act like a fractal antenna capable of universal sensing.

🔑Key idea:

đŸ”čDNA’s fractal geometry could allow it to interact with electromagnetic fields across multiple scales.

đŸ”čThis means it might function not just as a biochemical data store, but also as a signal receiver/transmitter within biological systems.

đŸ”čPotential implications for bio-communication, energy transfer, and even novel sensing technologies.

If true, this reframes DNA as bio-hardware—not just code, but a physical interface with the EM spectrum.

https://www.researchgate.net/publication/321294432_DNA_as_an_Electromagnetic_Fractal_Cavity_Resonator_Its_Universal_Sensing_and_Fractal_Antenna_Behavior

00:03:01
🚹 COINBASE UNLOCKS MILLIONS OF ASSETS WITH DEX TRADING 🚹

👉Dinarian Note: This could be their attempt at fixing their crashes during altseasons. Time will tell right?⌛It can't hurt to be prepared! I still use this for 99% of my trades, it's like the "Tripadvisor" of crypto, finding the cheapest and fastest routes around. 🔗https://rebrand.ly/wk2aq8r

========================

Coinbase has launched decentralized exchange (DEX) trading within its main app for U.S. users (excluding New York), allowing direct onchain trading of millions of assets, initially focusing on tokens from its Base Layer 2 network. This move significantly expands access to newly created tokens, enabling immediate trading moments after they go live onchain without waiting for traditional centralized listings.

🔑 Key Points

đŸ”č Massive Asset Availability: Users can trade millions of Base-native tokens instantly after they are indexed onchain. This includes projects like Virtuals AI Agents, Reserve Protocol Decentralized Tokenized Funds (DTFs), SoSo Value Indices, Auki Labs, ...

00:00:27
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚹 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading
Whats Coming For Veritaseum And Its Smart Metal Technology?

🚹 VERITASEUM AGENT2AGENT SMARTMETAL PLATFORM BRINGS AUTONOMOUS, ONCHAIN BARTER AND PHYSICAL–DIGITAL FUSION TO CRYPTO 🚹

Reggie Middleton’s #Agent2Agent #Smartmetal platform is pioneering a new, decentralized value exchange model that empowers autonomous blockchain agents to swap assets directly—across both crypto and physical realms—without traditional centralized orderbooks, custodians, or counterparty risk. The platform’s first proof-of-concept showcases programmable swaps (e.g., $BTC for $USDC or $VERI on Ethereum’s Base L2) and sets the stage for full multi-asset, on/off-chain trading.

🔑 Key Points

đŸ”č Direct Autonomous Value Swaps:
Agent2Agent is designed to let autonomous bots initiate and complete onchain swaps of digital assets peer-to-peer, backed by encrypted messaging and hash-timelocked escrows that enforce true atomic settlement—if either party fails, both sides are auto-refunded.

đŸ”č Physical–Digital Crypto Fusion: Every agent is cryptographically tied to a Veritaseum ...

🚹UPDATE: Coinbase has completed the acquisition of Deribit, the world's largest crypto options trading platform by volume for $2.9B.

🚹 LOST YOUR CRYPTO PASSWORD OR SEED PHRASE? HERE’S WHAT ACTUALLY WORKS IN 2025 🚹

Losing access to a crypto wallet—whether you’ve forgotten a password, lost a seed phrase, or both—remains a common headache in 2025. But depending on your situation and wallet type, recovery may still be possible if you act quickly and avoid scams.

🔑 Key Points

đŸ”č Non-Custodial Wallets: Password Lost, Seed Phrase Intact: If you forget your password but still have your seed phrase (for wallets like MetaMask, Exodus, or Trust Wallet), simply restore or import your wallet using the seed phrase, then set a new password. This process works for both hardware and software wallets that use seed phrases as master keys.

đŸ”č Custodial Wallets: Password Recovery Possible: For exchange-based (custodial) wallets like Binance or Coinbase, lost passwords can usually be reset via email, phone number, or KYC verification—similar to mainstream banking.

đŸ”č **Non-Custodial Wallets: Both Lost =Almost Always Permanent ...

post photo preview
Understanding the Crypto Alt Season

The next altcoin season is poised to ignite the crypto market, promising to turn savvy investors' portfolios into goldmines. As Bitcoin's dominance wanes, a new era of blockchain innovation is dawning—are you ready to ride the wave?

Market behavior often exhibits distinct patterns and cycles. One such phenomenon that has captured the attention of traders and investors alike is the "Alt Season"—a period when alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins," outperform Bitcoin and experience significant price surges.

The concept of market cycles and seasonality is not unique to crypto; it's a well-established principle in traditional financial markets. However, in volatile crypto space, these cycles can be more pronounced and occur with greater frequency.  

In this article, we’ll try to cover these and other topics: 

  1. The nature and characteristics of Alt Seasons
  2. The importance of recognizing market cycles in cryptocurrency trading
  3. Alt Season indicators and how to interpret them
  4. Predictions and speculatins about the next potential Alt Season

What Is Crypto Alt Season?

Crypto Alt Season, short for "Alternative Cryptocurrency Season," refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation. During an Alt Season:

  1. Many altcoins experience rapid price increases.
  2. The market share of altcoins grows relative to Bitcoin.
  3. Trading volume for altcoins typically increases.
  4. Investor attention shifts from Bitcoin to various altcoin projects.

An Alt Season can last anywhere from a few weeks to several months. It's often characterized by increased risk appetite among investors, who are willing to allocate more capital to smaller, potentially higher-risk crypto projects in search of higher returns.

Is Crypto Season the Same As Crypto Alt Season?

While related, Crypto Season and Crypto Alt Season are not exactly the same:

  1. Crypto Season:
    • Refers to a broader bullish period in the entire cryptocurrency market.
    • Typically includes price appreciation for both Bitcoin and altcoins.
    • Can be longer in duration, sometimes lasting for many months or even a year or more.
    • Often starts with a Bitcoin rally, followed by increased interest in the broader crypto market.
  2. Crypto Alt Season:
    • Specifically focuses on the outperformance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
    • Can occur within a broader Crypto Season but is more narrowly defined.
    • Generally shorter in duration than a full Crypto Season.
    • May happen towards the latter part of a broader Crypto Season, as investors seek higher returns in smaller cap coins.

Key Differences:

  • Scope: Crypto Season encompasses the entire market, while Alt Season focuses on altcoins.
  • Duration: Crypto Seasons are generally longer than Alt Seasons.
  • Market Dynamics: In a Crypto Season, Bitcoin often leads the rally, while in an Alt Season, altcoins outperform Bitcoin.

It's important to note that these terms are not officially defined and can be subject to different interpretations within the cryptocurrency community. However, understanding the distinction can help investors and traders better analyze market trends and potential opportunities in different segments of the crypto market.

What Is Alt Season Indicator?

The Alt Season Indicator is a tool used by cryptocurrency traders and investors to gauge whether the market is entering or currently in an "Alt Season" — a period when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. While there isn't a single, universally accepted Alt Season Indicator, several metrics and tools are commonly used to assess the likelihood of an Alt Season. Here are some key aspects of Alt Season Indicators:

Bitcoin Dominance

One of the most widely used indicators is Bitcoin Dominance, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap.

  • Calculation: (Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Crypto Market Cap) * 100
  • Interpretation: A declining Bitcoin Dominance often signals a potential Alt Season, as it indicates that capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
  • Threshold: Some traders consider Bitcoin Dominance below 50% as a potential indicator of an Alt Season.

Altcoin Market Cap Ratio

This indicator compares the total market capitalization of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Market Cap / Bitcoin Market Cap
  • Interpretation: An increasing ratio suggests growing strength in the altcoin market relative to Bitcoin.

Top 10 Altcoins Performance

This indicator tracks the performance of the top 10 altcoins by market cap (excluding Bitcoin) compared to Bitcoin over a specific period.

  • Calculation: Average percentage gain of top 10 altcoins vs. Bitcoin's percentage gain
  • Interpretation: When a majority of top altcoins consistently outperform Bitcoin, it may indicate an Alt Season.

Alt Season Index

Some crypto data platforms offer a proprietary Alt Season Index, which combines various metrics to provide a single score indicating the likelihood of an Alt Season.

  • Scale: Often presented as a percentage or a 0-100 score
  • Interpretation: Higher scores (e.g., above 75%) suggest a higher probability of an ongoing Alt Season

Trading Volume Ratios

This indicator compares the trading volumes of altcoins to Bitcoin's trading volume.

  • Calculation: Total Altcoin Trading Volume / Bitcoin Trading Volume
  • Interpretation: An increase in this ratio may indicate growing interest in altcoins, potentially signaling an Alt Season.

Important Considerations:

  1. No single indicator is foolproof. Traders often use a combination of indicators for a more comprehensive analysis.
  2. Market conditions can change rapidly, and past patterns don't guarantee future results.
  3. Different traders may use different thresholds or interpretations of these indicators.
  4. The crypto market's evolving nature means that indicators may need to be adjusted over time to remain relevant.

Understanding and effectively using Alt Season Indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about allocating their resources between Bitcoin and altcoins. However, it's crucial to combine these indicators with broader market analysis and risk management strategies.

Alt Seasons: Historical Perspective, Current Situation, and Future Predictions

Previous Altcoin Seasons

In crypto, two periods stand out as particularly significant for altcoins. These "alt seasons" saw unprecedented growth and interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin, reshaping the landscape of digital assets.

The 2017-2018 Alt Season

Duration: December 2017 to January 2018

Context:

  • Bitcoin (BTC) experienced its most remarkable bull run to date, reaching nearly $20,000 in December 2017.
  • This surge in Bitcoin's price and public interest created a ripple effect throughout the crypto market.

Key Developments:

  1. Proliferation of New Coins: The success of Bitcoin catalyzed the launch of numerous new cryptocurrencies.
  2. Investor Frenzy: Buoyed by Bitcoin's success, investors eagerly sought the "next Bitcoin," pouring capital into various altcoins.
  3. ICO Boom: This period saw a surge in Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), with many projects raising millions in a matter of hours or days.
  4. Market Expansion: The total cryptocurrency market cap reached unprecedented levels, briefly surpassing $800 billion in January 2018.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC) saw significant price increases during this period.

The 2020-2021 Alt Season

Duration: December 2020 to April 2021

Context:

  • Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high, surpassing $60,000 in March 2021.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated digital adoption and increased interest in alternative investments.

Key Developments:

  1. DeFi Explosion: Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects gained massive traction, with many tokens seeing exponential growth.
  2. NFT Boom: Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) entered the mainstream, driving interest in blockchain-based digital assets.
  3. Institutional Adoption: Major companies and institutional investors began adding cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets.
  4. Technological Advancements: Many altcoins introduced innovative features, scaling solutions, and use cases.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) reached new highs, while projects like Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), and Polkadot (DOT) saw remarkable growth.

Comparative Analysis: Both alt seasons shared some common characteristics:

  • They were preceded by significant Bitcoin price rallies.
  • New projects and tokens gained rapid popularity and valuation.
  • Retail investor participation increased dramatically.
  • The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization reached new heights.

However, the 2020-2021 alt season was marked by greater institutional involvement and a broader range of technological innovations, particularly in DeFi and NFTs.

Is It Alt Season?

Based on the indicators discussed above, it's not currently an altcoin season. The Altcoin Season Index at 41 and Bitcoin's market dominance at 61.3% both suggest that Bitcoin is still the dominant force in the crypto market at this time.

When Is Alt Season?

Based on the information we could gather from various experts, we can analyze the predictions for the next altcoin season as follows:

  • Based on the latest analysis from experts and on-chain data, here’s what we know about the next altcoin season:

     

    Current Status (August 2025):

     

    • The altcoin season index—a metric that signals how many altcoins outperform Bitcoin—currently sits around 37. For a “full-blown” alt season, it typically needs to rise above 75.

    • Bitcoin dominance is approximately 61-62%. Historically, dropping below 60% often coincides with a rapid rotation into altcoins and the start of alt season.

     

    Key Indicators to Watch:

     

    • Altcoin Season Index (ASI): Above 75 signals a true altcoin season.

    • Bitcoin Dominance: A move below 60% usually marks the transition; sub-50% dominance is associated with peak alt season inflows.

    • Market Activity: Increasing volumes in major altcoins and Layer 1s, meme coin rallies, and spikes in DeFi activity are early warning signs.

    • Ethereum Outperformance: When ETH surges relative to BTC, this historically precedes broader altcoin rallies.

     

    Expert Predictions for 2025:

     

    • Analysts point to a pivotal window for alt season starting as early as August 2025 and extending through the fall, with many expecting true acceleration of altcoin gains if Bitcoin’s price consolidates and capital rotates further into alts.

    • There is strong consensus that macroeconomic catalysts, such as potential U.S. interest rate cuts and ongoing Bitcoin ETF momentum, could fuel a major altcoin rally in late 2025 if positive conditions persist.

    Summary Table: Key Factors & Targets

    SignalAlt Season TriggerStatus (Aug 2025)
    Altcoin Season Index (ASI)>75 ~37
    Bitcoin dominance<60% ~61–62% (near trigger)
    Altcoin trading volumeSustained surge across many alts Rising, but not explosive
    Ethereum outperformanceETH/ BTC breakout, >$3,700 Near, ETH ~$3,500
    Market narrativesAI, DeFi, meme coins, new L1 inflows Strengthening
     

    Bottom Line:
    Most analysts agree the groundwork for altcoin season in 2025 is building. We are currently in a transition phase: if Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and the Altcoin Season Index rises above 75, a full-fledged alt season could ignite during the second half of 2025. Monitor these key indicators to stay ahead as market momentum shifts from Bitcoin into a broader range of altltcoins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Technology: Look for coins with innovative solutions to existing blockchain challenges.
  • Adoption: Consider projects with growing partnerships and real-world use cases.
  • Market Position: Established coins with room for growth may offer a balance of stability and potential returns.
  • Tokenomics: Understanding supply dynamics can help predict potential price movements.

It's crucial to conduct thorough research before investing. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always invest responsibly and within your risk tolerance.

How to Win in Next Alt Season?

Capitalizing on the next altcoin season requires a strategic approach. Here's how to maximize potential gains:

  • Research and Diversification: Thoroughly research potential investments, analyzing both fundamentals and technical aspects to identify promising altcoins. Diversify your holdings across different projects to mitigate risk and maximize potential returns. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
  • Strategic Timing: Utilize technical analysis tools like support/resistance levels and RSI to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Monitor market sentiment and price trends to make informed decisions. A clear entry and exit strategy is crucial for managing risk and maximizing profits during volatile periods.
  • Newer Projects: Consider participating in newer altcoin projects. This provides early access to potentially high-growth projects at discounted prices. Research upcoming defi projects with use cases, focusing on innovative projects with strong potential. Investing early can yield substantial returns as the project develops.

Conclusion

In summary, an altcoin season, marked by significant price increases in non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies, may be on the horizon.  This potential surge could be driven by investors seeking higher returns in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, technological advancements in altcoin projects, increased blockchain adoption, and the transition of projects from speculative ventures to real-world applications. 

Remember, while the potential for significant gains exists during an altcoin season, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Always invest responsibly.

Source

🙏 Donations Accepted 🙏

If you find value in my content, consider showing your support via:

💳 PayPal: 
1) Simply scan the QR code below đŸ“Č
2) or visit https://www.paypal.me/thedinarian

🔗 Crypto – Support via Coinbase Wallet to: [email protected]

Read full Article
post photo preview
PYTH: We'll Always Have Coldplay

Welcome back to The Epicenter, where crypto chaos meets corporate cringe.

But surprisingly, crypto has not been the most chaotic corner of the internet as of late.

That honor goes to the startup Astronomer, whose CEO’s cheating scandal broke the web in a glorious meme-fueled media frenzy. The company’s damage control? Hiring Gwyneth Paltrow as a “temporary spokesperson.” Do we think they’re grasping at straws or setting a new standard for PR?

Meanwhile, the markets didn’t blink. BTC is still flexing near its all-time highs. Michael Saylor’s bringing a bitcoin-adjacent money-market product to Wall Street. A pharma company just earmarked $700M to stack BNB, and analysts are calling time of death on the four-year crypto cycle. It’s a steady boom now, kittens.

A few things that are also worth noting: Winklevoss vs. JPMorgan, Visa’s take on stablecoins, and Robinhood’s Euro drama that defies the chillness of eurosummer.

Let’s get into it 👇

⛓ The On-Chain Pulse: What’s Happening on the Front Lines of Finance

This week’s biggest news in crypto and all things digital assets

đŸ—Łïž Word on the Street: What the Experts are Saying

Stuff you should repost (or maybe even cough reword and take credit for)

Meme of the Week

🏩 Kiss my SaaS: What’s Changing the Game for Fintech

Things you should care about if you want to impress your coworkers

Closing Thoughts

From meme-fueled PR stunts to Bitcoin-backed money-market funds, this week reminded us that markets move fast—and headlines move faster. With Wall Street automating itself, fintechs beefing with banks, and even your smartphone becoming a miner, anything is possible. Stay curious, stay cynical, and as always—stay sharp and stay liquid. We’ll see you back here in two weeks.

— The Epicenter, powered by Pyth Network

 

🙏 Donations Accepted 🙏

If you find value in my content, consider showing your support via:

💳 PayPal: 
1) Simply scan the QR code below đŸ“Č
2) or visit https://www.paypal.me/thedinarian

🔗 Crypto – Support via Coinbase Wallet to: [email protected]

 

Read full Article
post photo preview
4 Fintech Companies 💾& Things To Know About đŸ€”

The fintech revolution is reshaping the way we manage, invest, and move money, breaking down traditional barriers and empowering individuals worldwide. As financial technology continues to evolve at a rapid pace, a select group of innovative companies are leading the charge by offering groundbreaking solutions that redefine banking, payments, and digital assets. Whether you’re a savvy investor, an industry professional, or simply curious about the future of finance, discovering these trailblazing fintech companies is essential to understanding today’s dynamic financial landscape.

 

  1.  Alina Invest - The AI Wealth Manager for GenZ Women

Alina is aimed at women under 25 who identify as beginner investors. They're an SEC-registered investment advisor that charges $120/year for membership. The service "buys and sells for you" and gives up notification updates of recent transactions like a wealth manager would.

👉 Getting people to invest early is crucial to building long-term wealth. One thing that holds them back is a lack of confidence and experience. Being targetted "for beginners" and people who live on TikTok should appeal. I love the sense of "we're buying and selling for you." Funds always do that, but making it an engagement mechanic is very smart. The risk here is that building a wealth business will take decades for the AUM to compound. But the next generations, Wealthfront or Betterment, will look something like Alina.

2. Blue layer - The Carbon project funding platform

Bluelayer allows Carbon project developers to take from feasibility studies to issuing credits, tracking inventory, and managing orders. Developers of reforestation, conservation, direct air capture, and other projects can also directly report to industry registries. 

👉 Carbon investing and tax credits are heavily incentivized but need transparent data. By focusing on the developers, Bluelayer can ensure the data, reporting, and credits lifecycle is all managed at the source. This is smart.

3. Akirolabs - Modern Procurement for enterprise

Akiro is a "strategic" procurement platform aiming to help enterprise customers identify risks, value drivers, and strategic levers before issuing an RFP. It aims to bring in multiple stakeholders for complex purchasing decisions at multinationals. 

👉 Procurement is a great wedge for multinational corporate transformation. Buying anything in an enterprise that uses large-scale ERPs is a nightmare of committees and spreadsheets. Turning an oil tanker-sized organization around is difficult, but the right suppliers can have a meaningful impact in the short term. That only works if you can buy from them. Getting people on the same page with a single platform is a great start.

4. NeoTax - Automated Tax R&D Credits

NeoTax allows companies to connect their engineering tools to calculate available tax advantages automatically. Once calculated, the tax fillings are clearly labeled with supporting evidence for the IRS.

👉 AWS and GCP log files and data are a goldmine. Last week, I covered Bilanc, which uses log files to figure out per-account unit economics. Now, we calculate R&D tax credits. The unlock here is LLM's ability to understand unstructured data. The hard part is understanding the moat, but time will tell.

In an era where technology and finance are increasingly intertwined, these four fintech companies stand out as catalysts for positive change. By driving progress in digital payments, asset management, lending, and decentralized finance, they are not only making financial services more accessible and efficient—they are also paving the way for a more inclusive and empowered global economy. Staying informed about their innovations can help you seize new opportunities and take part in the future of finance.

 

👀Things to know 👀

 

PayPal issued low guidance and warned of a “transition year.” The stock is down 8% in extended trading despite PayPal reporting a 9% growth in revenue and 23% EBITDA. Gross profit is down 4% YoY. PayPal's total revenues were $29Bn for the year

Adyen reported 22% revenue growth and an EBITDA margin of 46% for the full year. Adyen's total revenues were $1.75bn for the full year. The margin was down from 55% the previous year, impacted by hiring ahead of growth.

đŸ€”Â PayPal’s Braintree (unbranded) is losing market share in the US, while Adyen is winning it. eCommerce is growing ~9 to 10% YoY, and PayPal’s transaction revenue grew by 6.7%. The higher interest rate environment meant interest on balances dragged up the total revenue figure. Their core business is losing market share. Adyen is outgrowing the market by ~12%.

đŸ€”Â The PayPal button (branded) is losing to SHOP Pay and Apple Pay. The branded experience from Apple and Shopify is delightful for users; it’s fast and helps with small details like delivery tracking. That experience translates to higher conversion (and more revenue) for merchants.

đŸ€”Â The lack of a single global platform hurts PayPal, but it helps Adyen. In the earnings call, the new CEO admitted their mix of platforms like Venmo, PayPal, and Braintree are holding them back. They aim to combine and simplify, but that’s easier said than done.

đŸ€”Â Making a single platform from PayPal, Venmo, and Braintree won’t be easy. There’s a graveyard of payment company CEOs who tried to make “one platform” from things they acquired years ago. It’s crucial if they’re going to grow that they get their innovation edge back. Adyen has one platform in every market.

đŸ€”Â PayPal’s UK and European acquiring business is a bright spot. The UK and EU delivered 20% of overall revenue, growing 11% YoY. Square and Toast don’t have market share here, while iZettle, which PayPal acquired in 2018, is a strong market player. Overall though, it’s yet another tech stack and business that’s not part of a single global platform.

The two banks provided accounts to UK front companies secretly owned by an Iranian petrochemicals company. PCC has used these entities to receive funds from Iranian entities in China, concealed with trustee agreements and nominee directors. 

đŸ€”Â This is the headline every bank CEO fears. Oof. Shares of both banks have been down since the news broke, but this will no doubt involve crisis calls, committees, appearing in front of the regulator, and, finally, some sort of fine.

đŸ€”Â The "risk-based approach" has been arbitraged. A UK company with relatively low annual revenue would look "low risk" at onboarding. One business the FT covered looked like a small company at a residential address to compliance staff. They'd likely apply branch-level controls instead of the enterprise-grade controls you'd see for a large corporation. 

đŸ€”Â Hiring more staff won't fix this problem; it's a mindset and technology challenge. In theory, all of the skill and technology that exists to manage risks with large corporate customers (in the transaction banking divisions) are available to the other parts of a bank. In practice, they're not. Most banks lack a single data set and the ability for compliance officers in one team to see data from another part of the org. Getting the basics right with data and tooling is incredibly hard and will involve a multi-year effort. 

đŸ€”Â These things are rarely the failure of an individual or department; the issue is systemic. While two banks are named in this headline, the issue is everywhere. Banks need more data and better data to train better AI and machine learning. That all needs to happen in real-time as a compliment to the human staff. Throwing bodies at this won't solve the visibility issue teams have.

 🙏 Donations Accepted 🙏

If you find value in my content, consider showing your support via:

💳 PayPal: 

1) Simply scan the QR code below đŸ“Č
2) or visit https://www.paypal.me/thedinarian

🔗 Crypto – Support via Coinbase Wallet to: [email protected]

Or Buy me a coffee: https://buymeacoffee.com/thedinarian

Your generosity keeps this mission alive, for all! NamastĂ© 🙏 Crypto Michael ⚡  The Dinarian

 

Read full Article
See More
Available on mobile and TV devices
google store google store app store app store
google store google store app tv store app tv store amazon store amazon store roku store roku store
Powered by Locals