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Why the SEC Crackdown is Good for Staking
March 18, 2023
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Key Takeaways

  • Kraken shutting down its Staking Program and being charged by the SEC for offering and selling unregistered staking-as-a-service securities could set a precedent for other crypto platforms operating in the same manner
  • SEC’s charges against Kraken weren’t a strike against staking but rather against business practices of platforms offering modified staking products, which are considered securities
  • Expanding Qualified Custodial requirements to include crypto drastically reduces the number of crypto platforms that can legally operate, further centralizing power amongst select crypto platforms that become Qualified Custodians
  • Custodial requirements add additional layers of safety for crypto investors as it requires custodial platforms to segregate funds, provide yearly disclosures and public audits, and ensure customer funds are accessible in case of bankruptcy
  • Custodial requirements are likely to reduce the number of custodial crypto platforms operating and adversely push retail and institutions on-chain via non-custodial solutions or running validators, ultimately improving decentralization

Introduction

The SEC has recently implemented a multitude of initiatives regarding staking and stablecoins. It claims its actions shield consumers while enforcing regulatory requirements. Regulatory bodies, including the SEC, hope their new initiatives prevent future crypto frauds. However, many in the crypto sphere worry that regulatory intervention will cause harmful adverse effects. Namely, regulatory red tape will centralize power amongst governments and financial institutions – directly contradicting the decentralized nature of blockchain technology.

SEC’s view and planned actions on staking will have a paramount impact on the industry outlook. Fortunately, Gary Gensler has recognized staking as a legitimate practice to achieve blockchain consensus. However, there are dissenting opinions on crypto platforms’ handling of staking programs, not staking itself. Although Kraken was the first to be charged, other platforms with similar products and operations are likely at risk of being charged.

ETH staking flows initially reacted negatively to SEC’s charges against Kraken but quickly recovered and surged to a weekly high when the Qualified Custodian rule was proposed to include crypto.

Let’s dig into what happened and what it means for staking. In our view, the recent developments are positive for the staking industry.

Kraken Shuts Down its Staking Program

Why did the SEC order Kraken’s Staking Program to be shut down?

The SEC deemed Kraken’s Staking Program as an illegal offering of unregistered securities due to Kraken’s ability to give customers an advantage and higher returns than independent staking.

Several factors about Kraken’s Staking Program led to SEC’s conclusions, including

  • Staking on Kraken was passive for participants; no action required
  • Kraken set staking yields, determined by opaque criteria. Instead, in legitimate staking, software determines yields.
  • A partial portion of customers’ crypto was held as reserve, not staked, to ensure withdrawals.
  • Kraken sent regular investment payouts, whereas legitimate staking does not follow a set schedule.
  • No staking minimums

Can Kraken challenge SEC’s conclusions?

Kraken paid a $30M fine to settle SEC charges, ceasing its Staking Program rather than choosing to fight it in court.

Was the SEC after staking or after Kraken’s business practices?

The SEC complaint did not allege that staking is an offer or sale of securities. Instead, it claimed that Kraken’s Staking Program practices altered the nature of staking and touted features such as easy-to-use platforms, investment returns and payouts.

Staking directly on-chain is unaffected by the SEC’s charges, yet this event could set a precedent for potential action against similarly configured custodial crypto platforms. On-chain staking vs custodial staking is an important distinction that the media seems to skip over.

Staking isn’t a security because:

  • Token owners remain in full ownership of their assets when staking, and can unstake them following the underlying protocol.
  • Stakers are not connected by a common enterprise but by decentralized blockchain networks, hence failing to meet the “common enterprise” element of the Howey test.
  • It’s argued staking services don’t meet the “reasonable expectation of profits” element of the Howey test, which examines whether an asset is purchased for investment returns or personal use. Staking rewards are payments for validating transactions on the blockchain network, not investment returns.
  • Staking services don’t involve rewards based on the “efforts of others” under the Howey test. Service providers are not entrepreneurs, managers, or key contributors to determining customer rewards or the number of rewards received. Instead, the blockchain protocol governs which validator nodes receive rewards and how many, regardless of service providers.

What does this mean for staking providers in the future?

Regulatory scrutiny on centralized staking operations may vary based on the degree of centralization. Recent events have likely increased such scrutiny, though decentralized staking remains unaffected and may see higher demand for a non-custodial approach.

What does this mean for decentralization in the future?

The staking industry’s recent developments reinforce the resilience of decentralized operations, a positive sign for decentralization and the need to reach a decentralized future. On the other hand, Custodial crypto platforms may experience more centralization among less players as the SEC continues its crackdown and suggests extending the Qualified Custodian rule to digital assets.

Expanding the Qualified Custodian Requirements to Include Digital Assets

What are the new proposed rules for Qualified Custodian requirements?

Gary Gensler proposes to enhance the role of Qualified Custodians. The proposal affects registered investment advisers who custody assets (now including digital assets) on behalf of their investors. Ultimately, custodial requirements aim to remove the ability of an investment adviser to pay the proceeds that new investors invested to old investors (aka Ponzi schemes) and guarantee customers access to funds during bankruptcy proceedings. The rule requires advisers and Qualified Custodians to segregate all client assets, including crypto, and forbid advisers from relying on non-Qualified Custodial crypto platforms. By expanding the custody rule to crypto assets, investors working with advisers would receive the same safeguards as any other asset. According to Gary Gensler, most crypto platforms today aren’t Qualified Custodians and would need to overhaul operations. In addition, the new proposals require yearly disclosures, audits, and discretionary trading on investors’ behalf and apply to foreign financial institutions.

Why are crypto platforms likely to face scrutiny in the short term if the proposed custodial requirements are passed?

Today, some crypto trading and lending platforms assert custody over investors’ crypto assets, but that does not necessarily imply they are Qualified Custodians. Instead of appropriately segregating investors’ assets, such platforms have intermingled funds across investors. As a result, if these platforms go bankrupt, as has occurred, investors’ assets frequently become the property of the failed company, leaving investors in a queue at the bankruptcy court. Few crypto platforms can claim they are eligible to be Qualified Custodians.

How would the expanded custodial requirements affect the competitive landscape of crypto platforms and decentralization?

The SEC’s proposed rule would require SEC-registered investment advisers to use only “Qualified Custodians,” which may pose a challenge for advisers utilizing crypto platforms that don’t meet Qualified Custodian operating and disclosure standards. The proposed rule may result in the concentration of assets with a small number of registered custodians in the US, creating a new centralization force in the industry. SEC Commissioner Mark Uyeda also pointed out that trading crypto assets on platforms that are not qualified custodians would violate the proposed rule.

The proposed rules have several implications for the competitive landscape of crypto. First, only a handful of custodians would pass the Qualified Custodian requirements. Second, any new participants would need to seek approval from the SEC for Qualified Custodian status, which is no easy feat. Thirdly, this gives the SEC significant authority and oversight amongst crypto platforms and imposes a centralized governing body. Although not fully in line with the decentralization ethos of blockchains, such a proposal does assure users’ digital assets are safe. If these proposals were in place previously, FTX and Celsius, for example, would not have existed. As an unintended consequence of the new proposal, users will be pushed towards non-custodial, on-chain solutions, ultimately serving crypto for the better and improving decentralization. In addition, over a more extended time period, we believe institutions will opt to run validators to maximize staking rewards and avoid reliance on custodial platforms. Reducing the number of platforms that can legally provide staking through custody-based platforms will further accelerate institutional investors to run validators.

Conclusions

Ultimately, we believe the Kraken crackdown and Qualified Custodian expansion is good for crypto. It sets a standard for custodial platforms and spurs more interest in non-custodial staking. The expanded Custodian definition creates safety nets as users know their funds won’t be misused, stolen, or frozen in case of bankruptcy. Although this limits the number of platforms offering services in the short term, more clarity for participants will pave the way to legitimize digital assets in the eyes of the SEC.

The crypto space is a complex network of stakeholders; every step shifts the teeter-totter of power, favoring different stakeholders at different times. Ultimately, these steps are crucial for crypto’s widespread adoption and transition towards balance and increasing decentralization in the long term.

This is not financial or legal advice.

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🇺🇸 Jerome Powell said banks are free to provide Bitcoin and crypto services

TRILLIONS incoming 🚀

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This Is A CONGRESSWOMAN, LISTEN..

🚨 “Something Big Is Being Hidden… 3IATLAS” – Congresswoman Luna Breaks Silence 🚨

Congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna has spoken out about the mystery of 3I/ATLAS, showing her full support for Harvard scientist Avi Loeb’s investigation. She’s now teaming up with Loeb to uncover what the government might be hiding about non-human life forms, and why access to key footage is being blocked from the public.

Luna says this fight for UFO and ET disclosure is a bipartisan battle, but warns that powerful forces inside the intelligence community and the Department of Defense are pushing back hard to keep the truth hidden.

Meanwhile, sources claim that NASA’s Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter (MRO) captured rare images of 3I/ATLAS on October 2–3, but those pictures still haven’t been released — adding even more mystery to the case.

Could this be the moment the truth finally breaks through? 👀

00:03:33
🚨BREAKING: Today, the LAST Penny will be minted!

🚨BREAKING: IT'S OFFICIAL: The US Mint will officially STOP minting pennies. Today, the LAST Penny will be minted!

One Penny Costs the U.S Taxpayer $0.37 cents to Mint.

U.S. Mint lost $85,300,000,000 BILLION minting pennies in FY2024 alone.

00:01:00
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

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  • Investment Details: Google plans to build three new data centers in Texas, with locations in Armstrong County and Haskell County. One of the facilities in Haskell will be integrated with a new solar and battery energy storage plant to alleviate strain on the power grid.

  • Job Creation and Training: The investment is expected to create thousands of jobs and offer skills training for college students and electrical apprentices. Google.org’s AI Opportunity Fund will also support an electrical training program to increase the number of apprentices in Texas.

  • State Support: Texas has become a prime location for data centers due to its lower energy costs, extensive available land, and supportive ...

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3I/ATLAS — Secret Laws Of Gravity
Unlocking the future of space travel through the precise calculation of time and orbital trajectories.

"My preliminary analysis suggests two principal hypotheses regarding the reported phenomenon known as '3I/Atlas':

  1. A Coordinated Psychological Operation (PsyOp): The phenomenon may constitute a calculated effort to manipulate public sentiment or induce fear, potentially preceding a planned, large-scale deception (referred to informally as 'Project Bluebeam').

  2. A Highly Anomalous Object: Alternatively, the phenomenon represents an authentic, significant anomaly warranting serious scientific or intelligence scrutiny.

Regardless of its origin, '3I/Atlas' represents an historically noteworthy development that necessitates close, informed observation."

 

~Crypto Michael | The Dinarian 🙏

Abstract Introduction:

New data is now showing something that arrived early and its changing colors as we previously predicted.

In orbital mechanics where trajectories are calculated centuries in advance with accurate precision measured in seconds.

A 11-minute deviation is not a rounding error.

It’s not a typo in the database.

It’s not close enough.

"It’s Physically impossible.”

Now The longest government shutdown in U.S. history still blocking NASA releases while the object executed its closest Fly-by approaches to Mars, The Sun and Venus at the moment of maximum observational blackout.

But orbital mechanics don’t care about “government shutdowns.”

Our observations Don’t Stop.

And the math doesn’t wait for “Press releases.”

The math says this:

“If 3I/ATLAS is natural, it should have lost about 5.5 billion tons of mass.”

It didn't.

1. The 5.5 Billion Ton Problem:

Let’s start with what everyone agrees on: 3I/ATLAS “now” arrived earlier than pure gravitational predictions would allow. Even though we have been mentioning this trajectory change over 2 Weeks ago (October 21st Article HERE) TRACKING 3I/ATLAS .

The scientific consensus explanation? “Natural outgassing” the "rocket effect." As water ice sublimates near the Sun, it creates thrust, like a slow-motion rocket engine powered by evaporating ice. Comets do this all the time. It’s normal. It’s natural. It’s explainable.

Except for ONE problem.

The Physics Don’t Add Up!”

To generate enough thrust to arrive approximately “11 minutes early” would require shedding a staggering amount of mass.

Our calculations show “over 5.5 billion tons” of gas ejected over the perihelion passage.

Think about that for a moment.

That’s not a little puff of vapor.

That’s not some gas leaking from surface cracks.

That’s 15% of the object’s total estimated mass.

If 3I/ATLAS lost that much material naturally, it would create a debris cloud larger than Jupiter’s magnetosphere—visible to amateur telescopes from Earth. Absolutely impossible to miss in professional observations, and bright enough to be catalogued by every sky survey on the planet.

1.1 ~ The Plume Paradox:

Here’s where it gets interesting:

No such cloud has yet to be observed.

Not by Hubble. Not by JWST. Not by ground-based observatories. Not by the Mars orbiters that watched it pass at 30 million kilometers.

The brightness remained within “expected limits.” The coma showed stable & geometric shifting features. The tail structure now disappeared (but that’s another story). The main one is that: “The debris cloud that should exist — simply doesn’t.”

This isn't a minor discrepancy.

This is complete, mathematical failure of the natural comet hypothesis.

Part 2: The Industrial Signature:

So if natural sublimation didn't create the thrust, what did?

The answer is hidden in the chemistry—specifically, in what shouldn’t be there. “The Nickel Anomaly.” When multiple astronomers analyzed 3I/ATLAS’s spectral signature, they found something extraordinary: “nickel vapor” (Ni) at extreme distances from the Sun, where temperatures should be far too cold for metals to vaporize naturally.

Nickel doesn't just evaporate on its own at those temperatures.

It needs HELP.

And there’s only one known process—natural or industrial—that produces a volatile nickel-carbon compound at cold temperatures which we have said several times previously;

Nickel Tetracarbonyl: Ni(CO)₄

This is not a natural cosmic process.

This is an “industrial chemical pathway” used on EARTH for metal refinement!!!

It forms at 120°C and decomposes at 180°C allowing nickel to vaporize at temperatures where water ice would remain frozen solid.

It is LITERALLY, an industrial refrigerant for metal processing.

The presence of Ni(CO)₄ in the plume tells us two things:

  • The core is not ice — It’s a nickel-rich, engineered structure.
  • The process is not passive sublimation — it’s an active, controlled system.

The nickel vapor isn’t contamination.

It’s not a coincidence.

It’s Exhaust.

3. Secret Gravity (SOEG) Model:

This is where our research team proposes something NEW.

We call it The “Self-Optimizing Ejection Guidance (SOEG) Model”

A Brand New Scientifically defensible framework that explains the acceleration not as chaotic outgassing, but as “controlled propulsion.”

The SOEG Model (Project EE / 3IE)

The System:
• Volatile Reservoir — CO₂ ice + Nickel-rich metallic core.
• Solar Heating — Perihelion triggers sublimation at optimal moment.
• Magnetic Ionization — Internal magnetic field ionizes nickel vapor into plasma.
• Anisotropic Jets — Plasma channeled through focused nozzles. (not random cracks)
• Thrust Optimization — Maximum momentum transfer with minimal mass loss.

Unlike natural cometary outgassing—which is chaotic, omnidirectional, and wildly inefficient. The SOEG Model Fully Represents: (CONTROLLED, DIRECTIONAL, OPTIMIZED PROPULSION.)

It’s the engineering solution to interstellar navigation: Using a “magnetofluidic drive” that uses the Sun’s + Nearby Planets & Star energy to activate a propulsion system that was BUILT.

The secret is in the magnetic field. By ionizing the nickel-carbon vapor into a high-velocity plasma jet, the system achieves thrust efficiencies that natural sublimation could never match.

This isn’t science fiction. This is “magnetohydrodynamics” the same physics that powers experimental plasma thrusters being developed by NASA and ESA for deep-space missions.

The difference?

We’re building prototypes…

Someone else already perfected it.

4. The Scientific Statistical Test:

Here’s what makes it undeniable.

Natural comets exhibit HIGH temporal variance in their acceleration parameters.

Technical terms like (A₁) and (A₂) that describe how thrust changes over time. Natural outgassing is messy, chaotic & unpredictable.

Our Prediction:

We formally predict that when sufficient post-perihelion data is published — expected from JUICE observations (data release February 2026) and ground-based telescopes through December 2025— 3I/ATLAS WILL show:

  • (A₂ parameter near zero) — phase-locked rotational coherence.
  • Temporal drift < 0.5σ — stability far beyond natural variance.
  • “Thrust vector alignment” with rotational axis — body-fixed engine signature.

If ALL 3 conditions are met.

The probability that 3I/ATLAS is a natural comet drops below 0.01% (a >4σ statistical rejection).

This is not speculation. This is a time-stamped, falsifiable prediction.

By February — March 2026, we will either be proven right or wrong.

The data doesn’t care about our theories. It only cares about what actually happens.

5. The Blue Hue 🔵:

Now there’s one more piece of evidence—and it’s visible to the naked eye (well, through a telescope). “The Color Anomaly.”

Natural comets scatter sunlight off dust particles, producing a yellowish-red glow. At 1.36 AU from the Sun, 3I/ATLAS should have appeared reddish-orange from thermal emission.

Instead, observers noted something strange: “A distinct blue fluorescence” in the coma.

What Blue Light Means?

Blue emission in a comet’s coma comes from highly ionized species—primarily “CO” (carbon monoxide ions) and certain excited metallic vapors. This requires enormous, “FOCUSED” energy to achieve.

You don’t get this level of ionization from passive solar heating. You get it from ~ Active Plasma Generation. The blue hue is the visible proof of the SOEG engine operating at perihelion. It’s the "engine glow" of a magnetofluidic drive generating high-energy plasma to achieve maximum thrust efficiency.

Compare:
- Natural comets (Hale-Bopp, NEOWISE, 67P, Etc.): Usual Yellowish-red dust scattering.
- Expected for 3I/ATLAS at 1.36 AU: Reddish-orange thermal glow.
- Observed in 3I/ATLAS: Distinct “Blue” plasma fluorescence.

This isn't subtle.

This is the difference between reflected sunlight and an active thruster firing.

5.5 ~ Convergence of Evidence:

Let's put it all together.

The Self-Optimizing Ejection Guidance (SOEG) Model is not speculation. It’s not wild theorizing. It’s one of the only frameworks that coherently explains:

✅ The early arrival— non-gravitational acceleration without natural explanation.

✅ The missing 5.5-billion-ton debris cloud — controlled thrust with minimal mass loss.

✅ The Ni(CO)₄ industrial signature — engineered propulsion chemistry.

✅ The blue plasma glow — active ionization system visible during perihelion.

✅ The statistical impossibility — phase-locked stability beyond natural variance. (pending verification)

However each piece of evidence, standing alone, is anomalous but potentially explainable.

Together, they form an interlocking pattern that demands a technological origin.

But then there’s the Silence.

Venus conjunction: Still offline.

This is not incompetence.

This is recognition.

THEY know something we’re still calculating.

December 19, 2025: 3I/ATLAS reaches closest approach to Earth at 167 million miles.

“If the calculations are correct, the 5.5-billion-ton debris cloud should be impossible to miss. Every telescope on the planet will be watching.”

All of this new information scheduled to be released should definitely include the following: High-resolution spectroscopy, morphological analysis, particle environment data and MOST CRITICALLY the astrometric parameters that will confirm or refute our SOEG model’s predictions.

“If the A₂ parameter shows phase-locked stability, the SOEG model is confirmed.”

Conclusion:

The Numbers Don’t Lie. The orbital path was not set by gravity alone. The acceleration was not powered by ice. The chemistry was not natural. And the timing is not “coincidental.”

3I/ATLAS is a message written in orbital mechanics, plasma physics, and industrial chemistry—a message we have “74 days” left to fully decode.

The mathematics are clear.

The predictions are calculated.

We don't have to speculate about what it is.

We just have to (wait) for the complete data packet to arrive.”

And when it does, one of two things will happen:

Either the natural hypothesis survives (unlikely, given the evidence). Or we confirm what the numbers have been screaming to us since October are TRUE.

Something pushed it. Something controlled it. Something arrived exactly when it needed to.”

Or The A-parameters will lock.

The plasma signature will confirm.

The debris cloud will be absent.

And the institutional silence will make perfect sense.

Because you don’t announce a discovery like this through a press release.

You announce it through a “Calculated Strategy.”

Analogy Conclusion:

The orbital path was set by laws that were not known,
For where the starlight failed, a force was subtly sown.

No dust and ice, but Nickel in the plume’s blue gleam,
A pulse of hidden power, of controlled, forgotten dreams.

The A-Parameter locks, The true secret of the sphere,
The Simultaneous Truth arrives, When all the numbers are near.

— Earth Exists

Additional Reference & Data Source Links 🖇️:

EARTH EXISTS Documentation:
- [Previous article. 35 Days of Silence — 3I/ATLAS]

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BlackRock Is Manipulating The Price Of Bitcoin👀

Blackrock possess a strategic depth that goes far beyond initial appearances. When the general market perceives selling and traders respond with emotion, these major players are often operating on a much more profound level. They adeptly identify and leverage every available mechanism to influence market dynamics. Their power isn't in direct control of the asset, but in understanding how to move the market without ever taking direct ownership.

What entity has become the most prominent corporate champion of Bitcoin ($BTC)?

It's the one with the massive treasury holdings, known as Microstrategy.

 

However, the major strategic challenge lies here: the size of their Bitcoin position is fundamentally linked to their external financing, typically in the form of debt.

This reliance on significant debt creates an inherent vulnerability—a dependence on creditors and shareholders. When an entity's position is highly leveraged, that dependence makes them susceptible to market manipulation or strategic pressure from external financial forces.

When a highly leveraged corporate holder of a significant asset (like $BTC) faces external financial stress, that pressure inevitably transfers to the asset itself.

Blackrock's goal isn't to induce a market crash, but rather to establish a dominant position and control.

Any substantial sale of major cryptocurrencies like $BTC or $ETH initiated by Blackrock, can be interpreted not as routine trading, but as a deliberate effort to manipulate market sentiment and pricing.

Blackrock is deploying a sophisticated combination of tactics: they simultaneously generate market volatility through strategic sales of the asset ($BTC) while accumulating shares in key corporate holders (the stock symbolized by $MSTR).

The deeper intent is to leverage this equity stake to direct the corporate strategy of the highly leveraged Bitcoin champion.

With a sufficiently large ownership percentage, this influence becomes highly effective. The resulting market power is therefore a function of both manipulating price movement and controlling corporate policy.

Is Microstrategy (the company represented by the $MSTR stock) vulnerable to this kind of pressure? The evidence suggests yes.

A substantial stake held by Blackrock grants them effective leverage to influence and manipulate the company itself.

When the company's shares experience a significant decline, the leadership is often compelled to take action, potentially buying back their own stock. This action is driven by the fact that falling share prices directly intensify financial and market pressure on the entire organization.

If the stock of Microstrategy continues a sustained decline, lenders will inevitably begin to re-evaluate and revise the terms of existing loans. This is a critical point of failure for the entire strategy.

The fundamental operational model of this corporate champion works like a closed loop:

  • It secures debt financing (taking loans) to acquire $BTC.

  • Alternatively, it issues new equity (selling shares) to acquire $BTC.

Crucially, the ongoing interest payments on this substantial debt are often managed by the mechanism of issuing even more shares, creating a continuous cycle of dilution and reliance on a high stock price.

A major consequence of rising leverage is the escalating cost of borrowing, requiring Microstrategy to source even larger amounts of capital.

The most straightforward solution—to issue and sell more stock—proved to be insufficient.

In fact, the situation worsened: the company’s recent attempt to raise funds through a stock offering did not fully sell out. This failure directly resulted in a significant liquidity shortfall, hamstringing Microstrategy’s ability to meet its financial obligations and continue its asset acquisition strategy.

And the ultimate shock came when Microstrategy—the very entity that vowed it would never liquidate its holdings—began to sell.

These weren't insignificant trades; the sales were valued at billions of dollars.

The key question now becomes: Does this sudden, massive reversal signal the imminent collapse of Microstrategy, or is it simply a necessary, albeit drastic, maneuver of 'business as usual' under extreme duress?

There appear to be two primary strategic objectives behind Blackrock's calculated moves:

  • Scenario A (Direct Dominance): Blackrock aims to neutralize its most prominent competitor (the corporate Bitcoin accumulator) in order to seize the title as the largest holder of $BTC.

  • Scenario B (Indirect Control): The institution’s goal is to establish absolute market control and influence, preferring to leverage Microstrategy to execute the most aggressive or politically difficult actions.

The outright financial destruction of Microstrategy is highly improbable. Such an action would trigger a severe market crash that could take years to fully repair.

The far more intelligent strategy is integration and control.

Under this model, Microstrategy remains operational, while Blackrock secretly dictates strategy. This allows Microstrategy to absorb the market blame for any necessary but controversial manipulation, a classic and often dirty tactic used by high-powered financial entities.

In the immediate future, the market will continue to exhibit strong reactions to the strategic maneuvers of Blackrock.

When they execute sales, it instantly captures headlines, is aggressively amplified by the media, and causes fearful retail traders ('weak hands') to panic and exit their positions.

Every decrease in price that results from this panic directly translates into a superior entry point for Blackrock. This clearly illustrates that the current market environment is driven purely by emotion, making it a survival game reserved only for those with the strongest resolve.

In the long run, the nature of $BTC will likely shift, moving away from its original ideals of being completely free and decentralized.

The vast majority of the available supply is projected to become highly concentrated within a small number of major corporations and investment funds.

Consequently, the price cycles will no longer be reliably tied to events like halvings or popular narratives. Instead, they will be driven primarily by government and central bank policy decisions, overarching macroeconomic conditions, and the internal political maneuverings of the world's most dominant funds and corporations.

Blackrock's goal is not to eliminate $BTC; instead, they are focused on constructing an elaborate system of control around the asset.

Microstrategy (the stock symbolized by $MSTR) remains a powerful tool, but it now operates under terms and directives that the company's leadership no longer fully dictates.

Since direct command over the decentralized asset is impossible, control is established through strategic influence over the largest corporate and fund custodians. Moving forward, Blackrock will be the primary entity determining the market's trajectory.

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A Request for NASA to Release Scientific Data on 3I/ATLAS

During my recent podcast interview with Joe Rogan (accessible here), I had mentioned the unfortunate circumstances, under which NASA had not released for four weeks the images collected by the HiRISE camera onboard the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. These images were taken on October 2–3, 2025, when the interstellar object 3I/ATLAS passed within 30 million kilometers from Mars. The images are extremely valuable scientifically because they possess a spatial resolution of 30 kilometers per pixel, about 3 times better than the spatial resolution achieved in the best publicly available image from the Hubble Space Telescope, taken on July 21, 2025 (accessible here and analyzed here). Whereas the Hubble image was taken from an edge-on perspective since Earth and the Sun were separated by only ~10 degrees relative to distant 3I/ATLAS, the HiRISE image offers a sideways perspective, valuable in decoding the mass loss geometry and glow around as it approached the Sun.

The delay in the data release was argued to be the result of the government shutdown on October 1, 2025. Nevertheless, conspiracy theorists suggested that it may have to do with evidence for extraterrestrial intelligence in the HiRISE images. When asked about it, I suggested that the delay is probably not a sign of extraterrestrial intelligence but rather of terrestrial stupidity. We should not hold science hostage to the shutdown politics of the day. The scientific community would have greatly benefited from the dissemination of this time-sensitive data as astronomers plan follow-up observations in the coming months.

Joe Rogan suggested that I contact the interim NASA administrator, Sean Duffy. The following day, I corresponded with congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna regarding a related formal request from NASA. Following our exchange, Representative Luna wrote a brilliant letter to NASA’s acting administrator Duffy.

We all owe a debt of deep gratitude for the visionary support displayed by Representative Luna to frontier science through her letter, attached below.

Avi Loeb is the head of the Galileo Project, founding director of Harvard University’s — Black Hole Initiative, director of the Institute for Theory and Computation at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, and the former chair of the astronomy department at Harvard University (2011–2020). He is a former member of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology and a former chair of the Board on Physics and Astronomy of the National Academies. He is the bestselling author of “Extraterrestrial: The First Sign of Intelligent Life Beyond Earth” and a co-author of the textbook “Life in the Cosmos”, both published in 2021. The paperback edition of his new book, titled “Interstellar”, was published in August 2024.

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