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Vechain’s ‘Web3 For Better’ Whitepaper
Summarising Our Approach to Global Sustainability Challenges
March 27, 2023
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The launch of our new whitepaper, co-developed with Boston Consulting Group (BCG), marks a seismic shift in the utilisation of blockchain technology in the pursuit of Environmental, Social, and corporate Governance (ESG), Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) and achieving global sustainability targets.

Titled ‘Web3 For Better’, the new whitepaper details a comprehensive approach to tackling sustainability challenges using ‘blockchain biospheres’ — ecosystems that leverage the core strengths of blockchain technology to create highly transparent, efficient and modular networks of companies and individuals to address sustainability challenges. These ecosystems deploy the approach of ‘gamification’, a concept where active engagement and participation by users is rewarded, creating powerful positive feedback loops to further incentivise sustainable actions.

Vechain has already demonstrated the efficacy and value of its technologies at scale with some of the largest global enterprises. By combining these experiences with BCG’s expertise and vast client network, we’re embarking on the next steps in our journey and globalising our successes, launching a new web3-powered era of green global development.

Below — we summarise the contents of the whitepaper to explain the core ethos and path forward in this new chapter in the mainstreaming of blockchain technology.

Redefining The Role of Web3 and Concepts of Value

‘Web3’ is a term to describe the evolution of data ownership and the internet itself. In the current iteration — Web2 — users create or view information, submitted to, and stored by, tech providers who ultimately control information flows, leveraging these data to create value for themselves.

In Web3, we extend beyond the simple ‘read and write’ paradigm and instead, enable an environment where users can immutably create, own and fully control their data, generating value from it for the first time. Web3 also allows users to exchange value with others directly, removing the need for intermediaries. Web3 is often referred to as the ‘Internet of Value’ for this reason.

In this new epoch, the notion of value itself is shifting. Purchasing decisions such as ethics or sustainability create opportunities for consumers to drive social change through the brands and companies they engage with. These ‘positive externalities’ are overlooked in legacy valuation models and represent new opportunities to apply blockchain and create value for brands based on consumer activity.

A recent Boston Consulting Group survey of approximately 19,000 consumers found that 16% cited sustainability as one of the top-three drivers in their most recent purchase. A significantly larger share said they could be persuaded to make sustainable choices if the products or services deliver other related needs.

Put simply, social and environmental factors, or essentially, choices, create new kinds of market value that legacy models fail to take into account. It is with this framework that vechain and Boston Consulting Group are upending the traditional valuation model of goods and services by leveraging the power of blockchain to generate new economically valuable insights.

Going Green With Gamification

Humans are motivated by rewards and incentives. In our vision for a greener future, people are at the centre of game design — their motivations and needs shape how incentives are constructed.

For ecosystem enablers/developers, gamification enhances community engagement, generates deeper insights into consumer behaviours, increases retention and more. For participants, gamification creates community, promotes feelings of belonging, accomplishment, and ownership as well as creating tangible direct benefits such as providing discounts and services.

For example, a user journey can be created to increase second-hand fashion buyer engagement, leveraging NFTs and token-gated access. A digital product passport (tokenomics built using NFTs) can facilitate ownership transfer of a product from seller to buyer in a secure and immutable way, earning some kind of tokenized reward upon doing so.

As the buyer collects more product digital passports, their status grows and are motivated to earn extra tokens awarded in pursuit of certain milestones (e.g., their tenth purchase). Upon doing so — they gain special access to features, perhaps discounts, or certain desirable capabilities within the ecosystem (a process called ‘tokengating’).

In turn, this can be applied to create more nuanced perks across ecosystems and industries with the Blockchain Biosphere, creating new webs of engagement and multiplying the effect of individual actions..

Vechain’s ‘Blockchain Biospheres’

Vechain’s blockchain biospheres are a revolutionary approach to enabling sustainability using ecosystems of incentives and direct engagement. Blockchain biospheres are industry-spanning ecosystems dedicated to solving specific sustainability/industry needs, whether tackling sustainable approaches to global logistics trails or quantifying carbon capture and tokenizing emissions reductions of the energy sector. Early precursors of these biospheres included our Carbon Credit DApp built in 2018 with DNV and BYD, and later, becoming the tech provider for San Marino as it builds towards carbon neutrality.

For blockchain biospheres to thrive, an ecosystem’s business model must make economic sense and provide the right incentives for each actor, whether business or individual. For new ecosystems to take hold, we must also incorporate new, broader concepts of value, create a new kind of economic approach and reward/promote pro-societal and eco-friendly behaviours.

We can imagine a scenario where a reseller from a second-hand sustainable fashion ecosystem receives tokens for their efforts in promoting reuse of clothing. They can then spend those tokens for reduced fees at a charging station in the electric vehicle (EV) ecosystem. In close collaboration with Boston Consulting Group, we are in the process of expanding our enterprise partnerships and developing additional technical capabilities to support these kinds of inter-connected Biospheres.

Token holders and service providers are more motivated to contribute to and build on the ecosystems they participate in, thus growing the value of their impact, holdings and ecosystems at large. Blockchain biospheres directly incentivise participation by all kinds of users and recognise individuals, through rewards, for their activities. With these solutions, vechain is creating technical solutions to radically enhance the impact of individual actions.

Second-Hand Fashion Marketplace

One of our first examples is a second-hand marketplace ecosystem dedicated to promoting sustainable fashion. The objective is to promote the reuse and trusted after sale of clothing, reducing the environmental impact of the fashion industry while giving ecosystem participants more control over the authentication process of sales and purchases.

With on-chain fungible tokens, NFTs, smart contracts, and DAOs, vechain and BCG are creating greater customer engagement and stickiness. Beyond deploying digital assets, elements of Web3 can be used to roll out features that incentivise greater participation and promote loyalty, such as:

Fungible and non-fungible tokens (e.g., spendable loyalty currencies, NFTs) to gamify interactions, track engagements with sellers and reward loyalty with real-world perks and benefits

Utility or “Phygital” NFTs issued to reward activity in the ecosystem by unlocking early access, discounts, and unique experiences

Deploying blockchain-based tokens to plug-in external partners and merchants. The immediate transaction settlement and interoperability rules programmed in Smart Contracts automates the manual overhead associated with such collaborations

Token gating — aka a certain level of engagement as a requisite for access — to enable smoother collaboration between parties, and more engaging, rewarding experiences for users

DAO-like structures to enable voting on brand decisions, such as products to launch or partnerships to bring onboard. Governance can be configured to give certain token holders’ votes more weight depending on loyalty status, history of engagement, participation in key challenges etc

The Current Strategy

In traditional resale markets, sellers list goods on a marketplace. Higher value goods such as luxury items require authentication at physical locations, in exchange for a commission. Once purchased, goods are shipped to the buyer, who relies on the credibility of the marketplace for authentication. Payment flows from the buyer, through the marketplace, to the seller.

The Web3 Approach

In the web3 second-hand market for fashion, sellers list goods on the marketplace. Instead of the seller shipping the goods to an authentication site, the goods are sent straight to the buyer, having already been implanted with vechain’s NFC + blockchain technologies. The buyer scans the tag to verify the authenticity of the goods themselves. Payments are executed by smart contracts and sent directly to the seller, without intermediary or commission taking.

Electric Vehicle Battery Recycling

Another key target for our blockchain biospheres are electric vehicle (EV) batteries. The objective of this ecosystem is to use blockchain technology to create battery passports, based on NFT technology, that enable full lifecycle traceability of batteries, easing the recycling process and promoting the reuse of critical materials.

EVs are estimated to make up half of US automobile sales by 2030, according to Bloomberg. That rapid growth makes it an imperative to explore the challenges facing the sector as it continues to evolve and scale. We have identified three significant pain points for EVs and batteries:

1. High initial carbon footprint for manufacturing EVs

2. Low recycling and second life usage of EV batteries

3. Lack of engagement after initial EV sale

The European Union’s battery mandate requires that a certain percentage of a lithium-ion battery’s content come from recycled sources. A predicted shortage of the precious metals used to construct new EV batteries creates an imperative to build technical solutions to mitigate issues before they arise.

Governments are providing significant monetary incentives to build-out EV battery supply chains and recycling systems. These trends create a wealth of opportunity for vechain’s technologies.

The Current Strategy

In the traditional EV battery lifecycle, there is low credibility with supply chain sustainability due to a lack of transparency. Consumers have minimal insight into the manufacturing of EVs, including their batteries. Additionally, there is a lack of traceability of batteries after the initial EV sale, either heading to landfill or recycling sites with no oversight or ability to verify.

The Web3 Approach

In vechain’s EV Battery Ecosystem, a phygital battery passport, powered by NFTs, becomes the enabler of sustainable behaviour. The passport collects information throughout the manufacturing process, sale process, second-hand customers, and eventually, recycling facilities, who can access the EV battery passports and retrieve battery information to complete the cycle, creating visibility across the entire lifecycle.

3D Printing and Supply Chain at the Edge (SC@E)

Our third ecosystem deploys novel technologies to tackle entrenched problems with modern supply chains. 3D printing in combination with blockchain technology is providing a powerful answer to address the sustainability challenges of the logistics industry.

Global supply chains account for 8% of annual carbon emissions, according to the International Energy Agency. The magnitude of these emissions is only projected to grow in coming decades. While this is a well-established industry, there are three significant pain points:

1. Supply chains are significant producers of carbon emissions

2. Expensive and lengthy transportation routes for spare parts from original equipment manufacturers (OEMs)

3. Unused inventory leading to waste and working capital losses

SC@E replaces traditional manufacturing with blockchain-enhanced 3D printing in a process that looks like the following:

  • A customer initiates the process by placing a request for a spare part
  • The request is sent to the owner of the spare part’s intellectual property who relays a digital blueprint to a 3D printing facility close to the customer
  • Automobile Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs) send blueprint files to 3D printing facilities, securely facilitated by VechainThor

The Current Strategy

In the current supply chain and logistics industry, OEMs manufacture a spare part far away from the end user. The part may be transported hundreds or thousands of miles to the end user through a variety of transportation methods, generating significant emissions. The whole process can take days or weeks, leading to long lead times in the case of supply chain shocks.

The Web3 Approach

Supply Chain at the Edge is a more versatile and streamlined process in which the OEM is only responsible for designing the parts. When an end user has a request for a part, that part will be printed close to them after the digital file has been sent to a 3D printer via blockchain. The lead time for parts shrinks drastically, as does the emissions related to the product’s manufacturing and delivery.

The SC@E ecosystem generates three sources of value:

1) Carbon emissions savings from on-location 3D printing of physical goods, eliminating long-distance shipping

2) Time saved — 3D printing locally takes 12–24 hours and can be delivered quickly. Overseas manufacture and transportation can take weeks to reach final customers

3) Additional economic opportunities — faster supply chains allows OEMs to reduce inventory stockpiles since they can rely on on-demand 3D printing. This reduces capital costs and lets OEMs scale down inventory warehouses, increasing economic opportunity elsewhere

Vechain’s Mass Adoption: Next Gen Tooling, Integrating The System Integrators

Naturally, vechain’s technologies play a core role in the development of Blockchain Biospheres. We are building many new powerful features to enable wider scale adoption of vechain and to create technical parity with the world’s largest blockchain, Ethereum.

In the current enterprise landscape, many have opted to use private blockchains based on Ethereum technologies. With this parity, vechain will allow the seamless porting of projects to our public blockchain VechainThor.

Powerful Tools

One of the core components of this mission is our upcoming web3-as -a-service platform, VORJ.

VORJ is our most advanced toolset yet — a Web2-based portal to cater for the most demanding Web3 needs. Featuring a familiar UI, it allows users to mint, and manage fungible and non-fungible tokens, access a wide-array of smart contract templates built to Ethereum standards and a smart contract wizard for quick deployment. With this approach, we ensure seamless interoperability with other EVM networks.

We recently launched VeWorld, a powerful Web wallet, soon to be launched in mobile and desktop versions. One of the upcoming features — integration of URL-based fee delegation — means users can easily configure transaction cost payments with third parties such as vechain.energy, removing a key hurdle to mass adoption.

The wallet will feature innovative functions such as a fiat on/off ramp, token bridges, a native DEX, a native NFT viewer and more.

Other key technical features include the deployment of a carbon footprint explorer via VechainStats, an official sustainability-focused NFT marketplace, oracle integration to bridge data from the real world and other blockchains, greatly enhancing cross-chain operability and a DAO development framework.

We have been dedicating significant resources to improving developer tooling, including contract development framework integration, a contract development IDE, the OpenZeppelin smart contract library, Ethereum’s Hard Hat and Truffle toolsets and more.

Integrating The System Integrators

A key adoption vector for vechain is through the various global system integrators — a dedicated team is now focused on working with various global ERPs to offer vechain-as-a-service, leveraging our powerful VORJ platform.

Through this approach, the VechainThor blockchain is obtaining global accessibility at a far greater scale than before. This approach, in tandem with the extensive networks of our strategic partners is placing vechain at the core of enterprise blockchain development, and promises to see our blockchain thrive as a core player in the web3 era.

Next Steps

Launching and establishing the first ecosystems is now our core priority. With our tool sets almost live, we are coordinating something grander in collaboration with our strategic partners.

We are identifying players who fit the roles needed for each sustainability ecosystem to operate and who understand the necessary incentives for stakeholders to participate. Our differentiated underlying technologies and portfolio of real-world applications (co-developed through enterprise partnerships) are providing a springboard for vechain to become the enabler of Web3 at scale, and empower people to drive positive change.

Closing Remarks

The Blockchain Biosphere approach represents the foundational layer of the next decade of blockchain development. These interconnected ecosystems finally offer individuals the platform to drive meaningful outcomes, at scale.

Web3 technologies distribute power among the many instead of concentrating it among the few. Through our promotion of continuous research and innovation, in partnership with academic institutions, developers, and strategic partners, vechain is advancing Web3 in its entirety, powering practical and efficient solutions to address real-world challenges.

With new governance and economic models that will cater for smooth and scalable adoption of vechain’s blockchain, our Biosphere represents a significant moment in the history of this emerging industry.

Join us, and let’s build the future of sustainability, together.

About vechain

Vechain, headquartered in San Marino, Europe, is the curator of VechainThor, a world leading smart contract platform spearheading the real world adoption of blockchain technology.

Through leveraging the capabilities of ‘trustless’ data (information without intermediaries), smart contracts and IoT technologies, VechainThor has enabled solutions across a wide array of fields. Vechain now turns its attention to the greatest challenge of allbuilding digital ecosystems to drive sustainability and digital transformation at global scale.

Visit https://www.vechain.org to learn more.

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⚠️ MAJOR CONFIRMATION DIRECTLY FROM SWIFT ⚠️

‼️MAJOR CONFIRMATION DIRECTLY FROM SWIFT: “WE ARE UPGRADING ISO 20022 DATA FIELDS TO INCLUDE DIGITAL ASSET TRANSACTIONS VIA APIs”‼️

Listen closely.👂👇

Op: Smqkedqg

00:01:31
The EU moved the Digital Euro for the ECB forward (CBDC)

The EU moved the Digital Euro for the ECB forward yesterday on Dec 24 2025, just before Xmas

Same playbook as 1913, when the Federal Reserve Act was passed while Congress & the public were preparing for Xmas.

Monetary reform passes when no one’s watching 👁

00:01:42
Any Of This Sound Familiar?

This is their playbook!

00:02:32
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

‼️XRP, XLM, XDC —> ISO 20022 COMPLIANT PLATFORMS DRIVING PRECIOUS METAL TOKENIZATION‼️

“XRPL offers a decentralized exchange and auto-bridging of liquidity, which could enable gold tokens to be traded against XRP or other tokens natively.”✅

“Notably, the Kinesis platform uses technology derived from Stellar for its gold and silver tokens.”✅

“In the UAE, the Dubai Multi Commodities Centre (DMCC) partnered with ComTech Gold to issue gold-backed tokens (CGO) on the XDC network.”✅

Documented.📝💨

Op: Smqkedqg

🚨 Fed pumps 2.5B overnight via repo; crypto market asks “is QE back?” 🚨

The New York Fed injected 2.5B into the banking system through an overnight repo operation on 26 Dec 2024—its first repo use since April—after the Secured Overnight Financing Rate (SOFR) printed 5.39%, 13 bps above the Fed’s 5.25% upper bound. The move instantly sparked “stealth-QE” chatter among crypto traders betting on fresh liquidity spilling into risk assets.

🔑Key points

🔹 Repo terms: 2.5B offered, 45.6B bid → 18.2x oversubscribed; collateral 100% Treasuries; rate 5.25%.

🔹 Rate spike cause: year-end balance-sheet constraints; dealer Treasury inventory jumped to 294B, draining cash.

🔹 Fed statement: “technical, temporary, not a policy change”; RRP facility still drains 0.7T.

🔹 Market reaction: BTC +1.8% to 69.4k, ETH +2.1% within 30min; gold +0.9%, DXY -0.3%.

🔹 Futures flows: CME BTC open-interest +6.8k contracts (+480M) in 4hrs, mostly long.

🔎Why it matters

🔹 Liquidity signal: even a tiny ...

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Following DTCC receiving the SEC’s No‑Action Letter to tokenize stocks, ETFs, and bonds.

DTCC has been looking for someone with experience deploying smart contracts on the Stellar blockchain using the Soroban framework.

https://x.com/i/status/2004599139708072377

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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