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Elon Musk & The Transformation of Twitter: By Citizen Of The Future
April 12, 2023
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The New-Era Bird App is Fulfilling X.com’s Original Vision

Over the last couple of months, there has been much talk about Elon Musk's acquisition of Twitter and the hate narrative that has emerged in mainstream media. This tells us that there is resistance to change and a desire to maintain the status quo in the financial world.  However, change is inevitable, and the rise of decentralized networks & Truth Twitter applies to that

In this report we will delve into X.com and the prior discussions of decentralized trust networks around 2012 and how they are transforming the way we communicate and handle money. We will also review other articles from that time period to try and gain insights into the future of social media and the financial system. This research took me about 25 hours to put together so I hope you enjoy an exclusive reveal of the following content: 

  • What Elon Musk is planning with Twitter infrastructure and his X.com Domain, and paths for the future of Twitter 2.0

  • Results of backlink analysis from X.com and the uncovering of documents that haven’t been shown on mainstream internet since 2012, which showcase some of the original vision of  X.com 

  • Comparisons of Facebook & Twitter users from A Decade of Growth- 2012 to 2022 

  • An article showing how Ripple Trust Networks were an early discussion point from X.com and how they how they are Transforming Money, which lead me to find Ryan Frogger’s original Ripple website which dated back to 2006

  • Snippets from articles relating to X.com in 2012 discussing how The future of money is the Web, towards national cryptocurrencies, and what would happen if social media and payments merge and we discover a new payments utopia - and much more…

Elon Musk & the Twitter Acquisition

Let’s begin with Elon’s acquisition of Twitter that started on April 14 2022, and concluded on October 27 2022, for a price of $44 billion dollars. He has now taken Twitter from a public offering to a private company. Within the first month of his takeover, he provided the Twitter employees with two choices

1. Stick around and help build his vision of “Hardcore Twitter 2.0” and that employees who choose to stay will be required to commit to working “long hours at high intensity”.

2. Say goodbye and accept a layoff. This decision allowed him to trim the fat at the company, which led to laying off over 3700 employees, leaving him with ones dedicated to bringing his vision of Twitter 2.0 to life. 

In conversation with Ron Baron in Nov 2022, Musk said he will execute the X product plan “with some improvements”, which will make Twitter “the most valuable financial institution in the world” with his domain of X.com.

The Start to the End of an Era of Censored Speech

We all know the feeling of being censored and not having our voices heard. We all have opinions, and we should be able to share them regardless of whether they are deemed appropriate by others. 

We have witnessed ample censorship on social media platforms. On Facebook, mainstream media outlets disable citizens from commenting on specific stories such as the Maxwell and Epstein articles. Why can’t citizens freely discuss the mainstream news articles? Why do they get to control what the masses can have conversations about when it comes to their content?

The old Twitter - pre-Elon Musk - did not have an edit button and it would censor citizens who did not fit the mainstream narrative. It is great to see some of the previously censored individuals get their voices back, allowing for a neutral town hall where all opinions can be heard and challenged.

Twitter Censored Information Around Leaked Hunter Biden laptop

If you want to learn about how extensively that Twitter manipulated content, please check out the newly released December 2nd 2022 “Twitter Files” that tell an incredible story from the inside of Twitter. It shows the Frankenstein-tale of a human-built mechanism, grown out of the control of its designer.

This story shows the old Twitter wasn’t balanced. Decisions were made based on contacts, and Twitter was overwhelmingly staffed by people of one political orientation. There were more channels for complaint open to the left-leaning individuals versus the right. With the proof from the Twitter Files, it was shown how Twitter took extraordinary steps to suppress the Hunter Biden laptop story by removing links and posting warnings that the link may be ‘unsafe’. They even blocked its transmission via direct message, a tool hitherto reserved for extreme cases. This was all done to prevent citizens from viewing the content involved with the leaked information on Hunter Biden’s laptop right before the 2020 Election.

Note:  Since the time of writing there are now two more Twitter Files:  #TwitterFiles2 #TwitterFiles3

Twitter 2.0 - The Bird App is Evolving & Obtaining a Money License

Twitter has started the registration procedure for processing payments by submitting documentation to the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN) on Nov 3, 2022.

Businesses must register with FinCEN in order to make money transfers, swap currencies, or pay checks. This will end up creating a never before seen “payments utopia'' by combining social media with instant and cheap cross-border payments. I think this is the start to major cryptocurrency adoption for specific networks with real-world utility.

Shoutout to Citizen @ChrisPaulHall on Twitter for sending this document my way!

A Blast From the Past! A Review of Documents Hidden From the Internet for over 10 years - X.Com Research Results…

Currently, when you go to X.com there is nothing to see as nothing on the website is public. Many people would just give up and move on, but I used this as motivation to dig deeper. I used my skill set of backlink analysis and started researching the domain of X.com to see what websites were linking to this domain. I found there were 2.1 million backlinks on the internet that point to X.com

**A backlink is when a website links to another website in a piece of content, “A link leading back to their website”.**

With this ocean of information connecting to X.com, I spent hours digging through 25,000 links and seeing what I could find on this untouched topic.  Out of the top 11 out of 25,000 backlinks I analyzed that are linked to X.com, these were the most important links that I found:

While researching, I was shocked at being able to gain access to these documents that have been buried & deleted from the internet - thank God for the great Web Archive!  It's mind blowing to think about the fact that these articles were all written between 2010 - 2014 before PayPal became an independent, publicly traded company

Please enjoy the following article summaries and the video above accompanying my research.  

“How Ripple Networks are Transforming Money” | X.com

April 20, 2012 by Manu Sporny

As I was digging through my internet history from 10 years ago, I came across an article that caught my attention. The article was written by Manu Sporny for X.commerce, the e-commerce platform that was being developed by eBay.

In the article, Sporny discusses and explains a concept called Ripple Trust Networks, a decentralized network of payment channels that enables real-time, low-cost transactions between parties. He states it has the potential to greatly reduce the costs and complexities of cross-border payments compared to the expensive and slow correspondent banking system.

He also suggests that the use of the ripple network concept in a decentralized setting would have significant economic implications. This would shift tens of billions of dollars in profit from credit card companies to individuals. Individuals would be able to make payments directly with each other without needing to go through a central intermediary like a credit card company.

Furthermore, he suggests that the ripple network would reduce the cost of short-term loans by providing a highly competitive market in which people could request and receive lines of credit. This is because the decentralized nature of the ripple network would allow for a greater number of lenders to participate in the market, increasing competition and driving down interest rates. Overall, he is emphasizing the potential power of decentralized networks like the ripple network and links to a live implementation to the concept he was speaking about. I clicked it and it brought me to one of the first versions of Ripple in 2012 with 4500 network users. Using this link I was able to dig deeper and find the very very first version of the Ripple website dating back to March 2006. This led me to find the initial Ryan Fugger Ripple white paper from 2004

This is the power of the Web—people-powered finance through ripple networks and decentralized payments.”

Additionally, I learned about W3C's Payswarm initiative, which was a proposed open standard for the secure and efficient exchange of digital assets and payments on the web. This initiative was being developed by the World Wide Web Consortium (W3C) Payments Working Group, which aimed to create a technical framework that would enable web-based payment systems to inter-operate seamlessly and securely. But I cant seem to find anything after 2014 so I think it died or had a name change. If you go to https://www.payswarm.com/ it redirects to a W3C Working Group. 

Reading these articles from 10 years ago made me realize just how much progress has been made in the field of digital payments and blockchain technology. It's exciting to see how far we've come and to think about the potential for even further advancements in the future. It's clear that the Ripple Trust Network concept and other W3C Initiatives are transforming the way we think about money and payments, and I'm excited to see where this technology takes us in the next 10 years.

“How Crypto Currencies Transform Money” | X.com

April 27, 2012 by Manu Sporny

This is a very interesting read that provides insight into some high-level thinking of the X/Paypal crew around FIAT & cryptocurrencies back in 2012! The article breaks down the problem with FIAT currencies and how we moved from a silver/gold backing of currency to nothing backing the dollar. It also explains the centralized concept with central banks that control the money printer. 

They state:

“It truly is a remarkable leap of faith that we make. The US dollar has worth because it is backed by the US government and therefore is backed by its people…”

They have a great breakdown of some character traits regarding a “trustworthy cryptocurrency” which can be still used today. They talk about Bitcoin being in the “Tens of Millions of Dollars” – what a throwback! 

The ending of the article talks about moving toward “National Crypto Currencies” that sound like Central Bank Digital Currencies, an innovation that we have been witnessing the adoption of for the last couple of years:

“A fiat-based crypto-currency could operate alongside these other services as an alternative technology-based mechanism for money transmission. The liabilities—like those held by most banks, credit card companies, and money transmission services—would fall squarely on the companies providing the software to use the crypto-currency.”

Manu explains that to replace cash, it is necessary to have open crypto-currency standards, and that developing nations may be the first to make the switch since they are not politically influenced by the banking and finance sector to the degree that more developed nations are (cough in 2022, SEC Gov). Other nations may choose to adopt crypto-currencies in order to increase the efficiency of their market, thus giving them a competitive advantage. 

“Open Web Payment Standards and the New Economy” | X.com

Written May 11, 2012 by Manu Sporny

This article is important, as it talks about “Open Payment Stands” for the Web and how the W3C could open up the “ivory tower of finance and banking” to the general public. Their goal is to create a more transparent, competitive, and fair financial system. They list important things about open payment standards and talk about the world’s first universal payment standard for the Web, which they call a solution called “PaySwarm”. This named solution is no longer around, and I have not figured out what has happened to it yet.

“The Crisis of Money and Its Metamorphosis” | X.com

April 10, 2012 by Manu Sporny

This is a very important article that everyone should read to really get an understanding of cash (FIAT) and the transformation happening with the global monetary system. This article contains a lot of value:

“The past several years have not been kind to the world’s working class and working poor. The foundations on which we have built the institutions of commerce—the markets, the banks, and government—have proven to be less reliable than we had believed, resulting in a wave of monetary crises around the world. Each was met with our brightest national leaders scrambling to correct the instability through obscene injections of capital and massive creations of debt on behalf of the peoples of this world.” 

It talks about being the time to put forth a plan that uses the web, the best communication platform that we have today, to solve our collective monetary crisis. The article then explains the understanding of how we arrived in this predicament and examines the purposes of debt, money, and banking. It goes and talks about debt and the financial system in the early years of global society and how banks have shifted and taken over the economic system. They describe “The Web as an Engine for Innovation” and talk about “Rethinking the Foundations of Money” 

They also talk about “Ripple Trust Networks” powering people's credit.

“The Future Money & The Web” | X.com

May 18, 2012 by Manu Sporny



This is another great informational article where they talk about the concept of “a ripple”, a trust network, and how we could change the way we provide loans and credit - it talks about how cryptocurrencies are poised to replace physical money. He talks about the web as a lifetime depository and how to standardize digital wallet, with it one day coming in place so you can access it from anywhere. 

It also explains how finance is shifting to the web as fintech can innovate faster, using the web base architecture, then traditional banks, and credit card networks. They state in this article, at the time of writing, that there were 2 billion people who use the web. In 2022, there are now around 5 billion people who have access to the web.

“Perhaps the Web’s biggest contribution to our lives has not been the technology itself, but rather a new way of thinking about how we work together to solve the most pressing problems of our time.”

“The Future of Commerce Will Combine Your Social Network and Mobile Device” | X.com

This was from September 21, 2012, written by Nick Hughes. In this article, they discuss:

“If Those Two Powerful Phenomena Merge, Will We Discover a New Payments Utopia?”

They also state:

“Facebook and Twitter, together making up more than a billion socially connected web users, have positioned themselves well for the possible next phase of commerce. Facebook, for instance, recently reported now having 955 million monthly active users and 552 million daily active users. It also said it had 543 million active mobile users, who are much more engaged than its PC users”.

It was also stated that Facebook had over 11 million business profiles! This means in 10 years, as of 2022. 

Facebook has 3 billion monthly users and 2 billion daily users, with over 200 million Facebook business pages. In 2012, Twitter celebrated its 6th birthday while also announcing that it had 140 million users and 340 million tweets per day. Today those numbers are at 450 million monthly active users and around 500 million tweets per day. This article also talks about combining a user ID with a mobile device ID and connecting a secure payment credential, thus having one quick checkout – online or offline

These are the last two important statements I want to point out, then picture what Elon Musk is doing today:

“Now imagine if instant and automatic transactions were coded into those sorts of buttons, allowing the user to transact with a securely stored payment credential on a third-party server in just one click from his or her mobile device.”

 

“If you are developing a mobile payment platform, it only makes sense to consider the imminent power of social sharing and how it will enhance the commerce experience for people around the world.” 

It’s neat to see how social media is exponentially growing and connecting citizens of the globe. I wonder what life is going to look like, reflecting on this, 10 years from now! They also use a great example of “How Facebook Could Transform the Mobile Commerce Market”.

The Bottom Line…

There is now no doubt about it – we are at the start of a new era of payments and social media. This plan has taken over 10 years to come to fruition, and I am so thankful I am doing my homework now, before the transformation has taken place. 

In conclusion, I hope that my research on the connections of the past has provided an interesting and insightful look at the developments that have shaped the current landscape of freedom of speech and payments. As we enter a new era of technology and innovation, it is important to embrace the opportunities and challenges that come with it. The clock is ticking and the whole world is asleep thanks to mainstream media, but it is up to us to awaken and embrace the potential of this moment in time. I hope you have enjoyed reading this edition of the Genfinity's LightHouse Report, and I look forward to sharing more insights and perspectives with you in the future.

Never stop learning and never stop improving! 

Sincerely, 

Citizen of the Future

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🚨Interview with Jack McDonald CEO of Standard Custody & Trust🚨

Jack McDonald, Co-Founder of PolySign alongside Arthur Britto Timestamps for the Video listed below

Timestamps:
0:50 — Founded PolySign with Arthur Britto.
0:57 — Founding of Standard Custody.
1:01 — Ripple acquires Standard Custody.
1:20 — Why Ripple entered stablecoins and custody
1:40 — Discussion regarding Ripple and USDC
2:40 — Acquisition of prime broker Hidden Road.
3:12 — Hidden Road’s client base
4:15 — Ripple pledges $25 million
4:46 — Forward-looking commentary

OP: @ProfRipplEffect

00:06:55
👉You Will Own Nothing, And Be Happy...

"Ever notice how you don't actually own anything anymore? Your music 🎶, your movies 🎬, your cloud storage ☁—all of it is just a subscription 💳."

"You think you have things, but you only have access to things 🔑."

"Your identity lives inside a digital system 💻 you have no control over, and it can be flagged 🚩, restricted 🚫, or revoked automatically with no warning 🚨."

"In this society, you don't have freedom anymore. You just access it as long as the system recognises you 👀."

"Welcome to neo-feudalism—a world where your entire life is one system update away from disappearing 👻."

00:01:06
🚨EXPLAINED: BRICS LAUNCHES A GOLD-BACKED CURRENCY: THE "UNIT" It's called the "Unit."🚨

This is a live prototype for an alternative to the US dollar in international trade.

What Is It?

A digital currency for trade between BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa).

It's backed by a basket of their local currencies and physical gold. How It Works (Simplified):

1⃣ Step 1: The "Basket" is Created. A "Unit Reserve Basket" holds: 40% in physical gold (40 grams for the first test batch). 60% in five BRICS currencies (12% each: Real, Yuan, Rupee, Ruble, Rand).

2⃣ Step 2: Units Are Issued. On October 31, 2025, 100 Units were created. Each Unit was worth exactly 1 gram of gold.

3⃣ Step 3: Value Fluctuates with the Market. The Unit's value changes daily based on the strength of the currencies in the basket vs. gold.

By December 4, the basket's value had adjusted to 98.23 grams of gold. Therefore, 1 Unit = 0.9823g of gold.

The Goal: Trade Without Dollars. Countries could use Units to settle transactions, reducing reliance on the US dollar and keeping their gold reserves ...

00:05:36
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

🚨JUST IN: SEC ENDS 2-YEAR ONDO PROBE

The SEC has closed its investigation into $ONDO, giving Ondo Finance the green light to accelerate its U.S. tokenization expansion.

Best Brief Pep Talk for Homo Sapiens

".....the Kingdom of God is within you...." 

".....my Kingdom is of a different Age...."  

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1180503997433929

Why your privacy matters:

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1JTYg4iJzv/

Do you realize that if you are an American, your overall right to privacy is guaranteed by the Federal Constitutions as expressed by the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 9th and 14th Amendments? 

👉Did you know that you have to choose to be an American, even if you were born and raised in this country?  

Go to: https://tasa.americanstatenationals.org/

They are trying to invade your privacy by bombarding you with Electromagnetic Radiation, non-consensual scanning, non-consensual nanotech implants and non-consensual tracking. 

Have you had enough?  Good.

We just told Donald Trump and his Administration, point blank, to shut down the whole invasive "secret" program.  It's not a secret anymore. 

No matter what the Luciferians believe, and no matter what they do, the Kingdom of the True God is ...

👉Millennials & Gen-Z are Poorer Than Ever (Here's Why)

🚨 Discover the shocking truth about the millennial wealth gap and gen z financial struggles. From housing costs to student debt, learn why younger generations face unprecedented economic challenges.

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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