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Generative AI in Banking - All You Need to Know
May 26, 2023
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Imagine a world where AI-powered systems can quickly identify fraudulent activities by analyzing intricate patterns in transactions, thereby safeguarding the interests of both financial institutions and their customers. Picture virtual assistants capable of understanding natural language and providing personalized financial advice based on individual preferences and goals. These are just a glimpse of the exciting possibilities that generative AI brings to the table.

In the ever-evolving landscape of banking, the integration of cutting-edge technologies has become a necessity to stay competitive and meet the growing demands of customers. One such revolutionary technology that has gained significant traction in recent years is Generative Artificial Intelligence (AI). From streamlining operations to enhancing customer experiences, generative AI holds tremendous potential to reshape the banking sector as we know it.

In this comprehensive guide, we'll take you on an illuminating journey through the world of generative AI in banking. Whether you're a curious beginner seeking an introduction to this transformative technology or a seasoned professional looking for in-depth technical analysis, this article has you covered.

Exploring Generative AI

Definition and Principles of Generative AI

Generative AI, also known as generative adversarial networks (GANs), is a subfield of artificial intelligence that focuses on creating new and original content by learning patterns and generating output that closely resembles real data. Unlike other AI techniques that rely on pre-existing datasets and patterns, generative AI has the remarkable ability to generate novel content, such as images, music, text, and even human-like conversations.

At its core, generative AI operates on a fascinating principle: a generator model is trained to create content, while a discriminator model evaluates the generated content against real examples. Through an iterative process, these models engage in competition, constantly improving and refining the generated output. This interplay of generator and discriminator forms the foundation of generative AI, enabling it to produce astonishingly realistic and creative content.

The generator aims to create realistic output, while the discriminator evaluates the generated output against real examples. Through an iterative process, these models engage in a dynamic dance, continually improving their performance.

The generator receives random input and transforms it into an output that mimics the characteristics of the training data. The discriminator, on the other hand, distinguishes between real and generated output. As the models compete, the generator strives to create content that becomes indistinguishable from real data while the discriminator becomes increasingly adept at making accurate judgments. This adversarial training loop drives the generative AI system to produce increasingly authentic and high-quality output.

How does it differ from other AI techniques?

Creativity and Novelty

Unlike traditional AI techniques, which rely on predefined rules and patterns, generative AI excels at creating original and innovative content. By learning patterns from training data, the generator can generate output that goes beyond existing examples, surprising users with its creativity and novelty. This unique capability makes generative AI an ideal tool for tasks like art generation, music composition, and storytelling.

Uncertainty and Exploration

Generative AI embraces uncertainty and encourages exploration. By introducing randomness into the model's input, it can generate diverse variations of content, allowing for experimentation and exploration of alternative possibilities. This ability to venture into uncharted territories distinguishes generative AI from rule-based approaches that produce predictable and deterministic output.

Transfer Learning and Adaptability

Generative AI models trained on large datasets can acquire a deep understanding of underlying patterns and structures. This knowledge can be transferred to new tasks or domains, enabling the model to generate content in unfamiliar contexts. The adaptability of generative AI sets it apart from other AI techniques that require extensive retraining for each new application.

Generative Latent Spaces

Generative AI models operate in a high-dimensional latent space, where each point represents a potential output. By exploring this latent space, users can manipulate various attributes of the generated content, such as style, color, or emotion. This interactive and controllable aspect of generative AI offers immense creative possibilities and empowers users to shape the output according to their preferences.

Applications of Generative AI in Banking

Enhancing Customer Experience

Personalized Recommendations and Offers: Generative AI empowers banks to deliver personalized recommendations and offers tailored to individual customers' needs. By analyzing historical data, customer behavior, and preferences, banks can leverage Generative AI algorithms to suggest relevant financial products and services. This enhances customer engagement, fosters loyalty, and drives revenue growth.

Virtual Assistants and Chatbots: Virtual assistants powered by Generative AI have become invaluable tools in the banking industry. These intelligent agents interact with customers in real-time, providing assistance, answering queries, and guiding them through various banking processes. By leveraging natural language processing and machine learning algorithms, virtual assistants ensure prompt and personalized customer support, available 24/7.

Risk Assessment and Fraud Detection

Anomaly Detection and Pattern Recognition: Generative AI plays a crucial role in identifying anomalies and patterns in financial transactions. By analyzing historical transactional data and learning patterns of legitimate and fraudulent activities, banks can employ Generative AI algorithms to detect unusual behavior, identify potential risks, and mitigate fraud. This proactive approach enhances security, protects customers' assets, and reduces financial losses.

Real-Time Transaction Monitoring: Generative AI enables real-time monitoring of transactions, providing banks with the ability to detect and prevent fraudulent activities as they occur. Through advanced data analytics, machine learning models, and anomaly detection techniques, banks can swiftly identify suspicious transactions, trigger alerts, and take immediate action. Real-time transaction monitoring enhances fraud prevention capabilities and safeguards the integrity of the banking system.

Automating Back-Office Operations

Document Processing and Verification: Generative AI streamlines back-office operations by automating document processing and verification. By leveraging optical character recognition (OCR) and natural language understanding (NLU) capabilities, banks can automate data extraction, validate document authenticity, and accelerate processes such as loan approvals, account openings, and compliance checks. This reduces manual errors, enhances efficiency, and improves overall operational productivity.

Data Entry and Reconciliation: Generative AI simplifies data entry and reconciliation tasks, which are traditionally time-consuming and prone to human error. By automatically extracting relevant information from various sources, matching and reconciling data sets, and identifying discrepancies, banks can streamline their back-office operations. This automation minimizes manual efforts, ensures data accuracy, and optimizes resource allocation.

Improving Decision-Making with Generative AI

Predictive Analytics for Investment Strategies

Predictive analytics has long been a staple in investment strategies, aiming to forecast market trends and identify optimal opportunities. However, the integration of Generative AI brings a new dimension to this field, enabling unparalleled accuracy and insights.

Portfolio Optimization: Generative AI algorithms, fueled by vast historical and real-time data, transform portfolio optimization. Leveraging advanced machine learning techniques, these algorithms detect intricate patterns, correlations, and nonlinear relationships that evade human observation. By combining diverse asset classes, risk profiles, and market dynamics, Generative AI empowers investment professionals to construct optimized portfolios that strike a delicate balance between risk and reward.

Market Trend Analysis: Generative AI has become a game-changer for market trend analysis. By leveraging deep learning models and neural networks, this technology unravels hidden patterns and uncovers meaningful insights within extensive datasets. It effectively synthesizes structured and unstructured data, such as market news, social media sentiments, and economic indicators, to predict market movements with unprecedented accuracy. Armed with these insights, investors can make informed decisions, outmaneuver competitors, and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

Credit Scoring and Loan Approvals

The lending industry is ripe for transformation through the application of Generative AI. By leveraging advanced algorithms, this technology enhances the precision and efficiency of credit scoring and loan approval processes.

Assessing Creditworthiness: Generative AI's intricate algorithms delve deep into the realm of creditworthiness assessment. By incorporating a multitude of factors, such as credit history, income stability, debt-to-income ratio, and behavioral data, these models provide lenders with comprehensive and granular insights. Advanced machine learning techniques, including ensemble methods and deep neural networks, enable the accurate evaluation of an applicant's creditworthiness. The result is fairer lending decisions and minimized risk exposure for financial institutions.

Streamlining Loan Application Processes: Generative AI streamlines and accelerates the loan application process, benefiting both borrowers and lenders. Through natural language processing (NLP) and optical character recognition (OCR), the technology automates the extraction and analysis of essential documentation, such as financial statements, tax returns, and identification records. By digitizing and interpreting this information, Generative AI significantly reduces the manual effort required, expedites decision-making, and enhances overall process efficiency. This streamlined approach ensures faster loan approvals, granting borrowers prompt access to much-needed funds.

Ethical Considerations in Generative AI Banking

Ensuring transparency and fairness

Transparency and fairness are paramount in generative AI banking systems. Customers should have a clear understanding of how their data is being collected, used, and processed. To achieve this, banks must adopt strategies that prioritize transparency:

Model Explainability: Employing interpretable generative AI models, such as explainable neural networks or decision trees, enables banks to provide clear explanations of the underlying decision-making processes. This transparency helps customers understand how their data influences outcomes, fostering trust and accountability.

Algorithmic Auditing: Regular audits of AI algorithms are essential to identify biases or unfair practices. This involves scrutinizing training data for potential biases, testing for discriminatory outcomes, and addressing any discrepancies promptly. Techniques like adversarial testing or counterfactual fairness can aid in uncovering hidden biases.

Fairness Metrics and Monitoring: Implementing fairness metrics during model development and deployment allows banks to measure and monitor the impact of AI systems on different demographic groups. Techniques such as disparate impact analysis or equalized odds can help detect and rectify biases to ensure fair treatment for all customers.

Guarding against bias and discrimination

Bias and discrimination have the potential to undermine the ethical foundations of generative AI banking. Here are some approaches to mitigate bias and ensure fairness:

Diverse and Representative Training Data: To minimize biased outcomes, banks must ensure training data is diverse and representative of the customer base. Incorporating data from different demographics and continuously updating datasets helps reduce the risk of discriminatory practices.

Pre-processing Techniques: Techniques like data augmentation, oversampling, or undersampling can help balance imbalances in training data and mitigate the amplification of biased patterns during model training. Advanced techniques like adversarial training or causal inference can also address complex forms of bias.

Regular Bias Assessments: Continuous monitoring and auditing of AI systems are crucial to identify and rectify biases that may emerge during deployment. Regular assessments using fairness evaluation tools, coupled with human-in-the-loop validation, can contribute to ongoing fairness and accuracy.

Privacy and data protection concerns

Protecting customer privacy and ensuring data security are critical aspects of generative AI banking. The following measures can safeguard privacy and address data protection concerns:

Differential Privacy: By integrating differential privacy techniques, such as noise injection or secure multi-party computation, banks can protect sensitive customer information while maintaining the utility of the data for AI model training.

Federated Learning: Adopting federated learning frameworks allows banks to train AI models on decentralized customer data without compromising data privacy. This technique enables model updates to be performed locally on user devices while preserving the privacy of individual data.

Privacy-Preserving Data Sharing: Employing privacy-preserving techniques like homomorphic encryption or secure multi-party computation allows collaboration between banks and regulatory authorities while safeguarding customer data privacy. This facilitates compliance with regulatory requirements and enhances customer trust.

Challenges and Limitations of Generative AI in Banking

Overcoming implementation barriers

Implementing generative AI in banking requires careful planning and consideration. Several barriers need to be addressed to ensure successful adoption and integration. Here are some noteworthy challenges:

Infrastructure and Resource Requirements: Successful deployment of generative AI necessitates robust computational infrastructure. Banks must invest in high-performance computing systems with adequate storage capabilities to support the training and inference processes of AI models. Additionally, allocating sufficient processing power, such as Graphics Processing Units (GPUs) or specialized AI accelerators, is essential for achieving optimal performance.

Scalability and Efficiency: Generative AI models, such as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) and Variational Autoencoders (VAEs), are computationally intensive and resource-demanding. Banks must design scalable architectures and optimize algorithms to handle large-scale datasets and complex computations. Techniques like model parallelism, distributed training, and model compression can help improve efficiency and reduce computational overhead.

Ethical and Legal Considerations: The technical implementation of generative AI must address ethical and legal concerns. Ensuring fairness, transparency, and accountability in AI systems requires techniques such as explainable AI and algorithmic auditing. Banks need to develop guidelines and frameworks that govern AI operations, promote the ethical use of data, and address potential biases or unintended consequences.

Dealing with data quality and availability

The effectiveness of generative AI models heavily relies on the quality and availability of data. In the banking sector, the following challenges are encountered:

Data Privacy and Security: Banks deal with vast amounts of sensitive customer data, necessitating robust data privacy and security measures. Applying techniques like differential privacy, secure multi-party computation, and federated learning can help protect customer data during model training and inference. Encryption and anonymization techniques should be employed to minimize the risk of data breaches and ensure compliance with privacy regulations.

Data Bias and Imbalance: Addressing data biases and imbalances is crucial to prevent biased outcomes generated by AI models. Technical approaches such as data augmentation, oversampling, and undersampling can help mitigate bias in training datasets. Implementing bias detection and mitigation algorithms, including fairness metrics and adversarial training, can further enhance the fairness of generative AI models.

Data Integration and Accessibility: Banks often face challenges when integrating and consolidating data from heterogeneous sources. Technical solutions, such as data normalization, data cleansing, and data standardization, are necessary to ensure seamless integration of data from multiple systems. Establishing robust data governance frameworks, data pipelines, and data quality monitoring systems can enhance data accessibility and integrity.

Regulatory and compliance issues

The banking industry operates under strict regulatory frameworks to maintain stability, protect consumers, and prevent financial crimes. Integrating generative AI into this environment presents specific challenges:

Explainability and Interpretability: Regulatory agencies demand transparency and interpretability in AI systems. Techniques such as attention mechanisms, feature importance analysis, and rule-based explanations can provide insights into AI model decisions. Banks should explore interpretable AI models, such as rule-based systems or decision trees, to enhance explainability and meet regulatory requirements.

Anti-Money Laundering (AML) and Fraud Detection: Generative AI can contribute significantly to AML and fraud detection in banking. Technical advancements, such as anomaly detection algorithms, deep learning architectures, and graph-based analysis, can improve the accuracy and efficiency of AI-powered fraud detection systems. Continuous model monitoring and updates, coupled with collaboration between banks and regulatory bodies, are crucial to stay ahead of emerging threats.

Data Retention and Right to Erasure: Compliance with data retention policies while respecting customers' rights to data erasure poses technical challenges. Banks must develop mechanisms to manage data retention and erasure in generative AI systems effectively. Techniques like federated learning, decentralized storage, and secure data deletion protocols can help strike a balance between regulatory compliance and individual data rights.

Case Studies: Successful Implementations

Empowering Banks with Azure OpenAI Service:

To swiftly leverage the power of intelligence and drive operational efficiencies, banks are embracing the Azure OpenAI Service. This cutting-edge platform seamlessly integrates advanced models from OpenAI with the enterprise-grade capabilities of Microsoft Azure, providing banks with an accelerated path to deploying generative AI solutions. 

The key advantage of this integration is that all data, including training data and content, remains securely within the confines of the banks' own Azure tenants. Furthermore, by building on the Microsoft Cloud platform, banks gain access to robust enterprise-grade security features and role-based access controls. The recent introduction of GPT-4, OpenAI's most advanced Large Language Model (LLM) to date, elevates the precision and insight-generation potential for banks.

Transforming Banking Operations:

Writing Assistance and Content Generation: Generative AI serves as a game-changer in content generation and writing tasks within banks. Leveraging large pre-trained models, banks can now produce highly polished reports, summaries, and marketing materials with exceptional efficiency and accuracy. By automating content creation, generative AI empowers banks to streamline their operations while maintaining the human touch required for quality assurance.

Reasoning over Structured and Unstructured Data: Generative AI empowers banks to unlock valuable insights by conducting comprehensive reasoning over both structured and unstructured data. This capability facilitates informed decision-making, the identification of intricate patterns, and the discovery of hidden opportunities within vast and diverse data sources.

Summarization of Reports and Text: The extraction of pertinent information from extensive reports can be an arduous task. Generative AI simplifies this process by automatically summarizing reports, extracting key insights, and condensing substantial volumes of information into concise and digestible summaries. This invaluable feature saves time, enhances the responsiveness of advisors, and improves overall productivity.

Empowering Contact Center Agents

Contact centers act as crucial touchpoints for delivering exceptional customer experiences. Generative AI has revolutionized this domain, equipping contact center agents with invaluable tools to elevate customer interactions.

Generative AI empowers contact center agents to:

Summarize Conversations: Generative AI enables agents to swiftly summarize customer conversations, providing real-time insights and sentiment analysis throughout the entire interaction. This comprehensive understanding empowers agents to deliver personalized support and effectively address customer needs.

Real-time Coaching: Leveraging generative AI, supervisors can offer real-time coaching to contact center staff, enhancing agent performance during customer interactions. This dynamic guidance ensures consistent service quality and fosters continuous improvement.

Knowledge Base Enhancement: Generative AI enriches contact center knowledge bases by automatically extracting actionable insights from customer interactions. This iterative process facilitates faster response times, boosts customer satisfaction, and maximizes engagement levels.

Empowering Advisors: Enhanced Knowledge Search

For advisors in the banking industry, swiftly locating specific information within extensive documentation poses a significant challenge. Generative AI serves as a potent ally, offering enhanced knowledge search capabilities that expedite information retrieval.

Generative AI assists advisors through:

Powerful Summarization: Leveraging its contextualization and summarization capabilities, generative AI enables advisors to extract vital information from complex financial product documentation swiftly. This expedites responses to client inquiries, elevates decision-making, and fosters comprehensive client engagement.

Comparison Tables: Generative AI leverages its analytical prowess to generate visually compelling comparison tables summarizing key attributes of various financial products. This innovative visualization empowers advisors to effectively communicate complex information to clients, facilitating informed decision-making.

Content Generation: Accelerating Pitch Book Development

Pitch books serve as crucial components in investment banking, playing a pivotal role in proposing capital raises and mergers. Generative AI revolutionizes the development of pitch books, expediting the process while maintaining quality and accuracy.

Generative AI accelerates pitch book development by:

Automated Content Generation: Through generative AI, banks can automate the generation of pitch book content, collaborating with multiple sources such as client overviews, deal strategies, and marketing materials. Human oversight ensures the quality and precision of the generated content.

Iterative Improvement: Generative AI provides an iterative feedback loop, enabling continuous enhancement of pitch book content based on human oversight and feedback. This iterative process ensures that the generated content aligns with the desired standards of excellence.

The Future of Generative AI in Banking

Emerging Trends and Advancements

Advanced Fraud Detection and Prevention: Generative AI is at the forefront of combating fraud in the banking industry. Through deep learning algorithms, it can detect patterns, anomalies, and deviations within large datasets, providing real-time fraud alerts. Advanced generative models, such as Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs), analyze transactional data, customer behavior, and historical patterns to identify fraudulent activities with remarkable accuracy. By constantly learning from evolving threats, generative AI bolsters security measures, safeguarding both financial institutions and their customers.

Hyper-personalized Customer Experiences: Banking institutions are leveraging generative AI to deliver hyper-personalized customer experiences. By analyzing extensive customer data, including transaction history, financial goals, and preferences, generative AI algorithms generate tailored recommendations, product offerings, and financial advice. This level of personalization enhances customer satisfaction, fosters customer loyalty, and strengthens the overall relationship between banks and their customers.

Intelligent Risk Assessment and Management: Generative AI empowers banks to make informed decisions by providing intelligent risk assessment and management capabilities. Through advanced machine learning techniques, generative AI algorithms analyze market trends, historical data, and customer profiles to accurately assess credit risks and determine optimal lending decisions. This level of precision enables banks to minimize potential losses, optimize loan approvals, and maintain a healthy financial portfolio.

Autonomous Process Automation: Generative AI is driving process automation in banking operations, streamlining repetitive tasks and improving operational efficiency. Natural Language Processing (NLP) models, combined with robotic process automation (RPA), enable banks to automate customer support, document processing, and compliance tasks. By freeing up human resources from mundane activities, generative AI allows employees to focus on higher-value tasks, such as complex problem-solving and strategic decision-making.

Potential Impact on Job Roles and Workforce

Transformation of Traditional Banking Roles: Generative AI will reshape traditional banking roles, automating routine tasks and augmenting the capabilities of banking professionals. Data entry, document processing, and basic customer support will be automated, enabling employees to transition to more strategic roles that require human judgment, creativity, and critical thinking. This shift will increase the demand for professionals skilled in AI technologies, data analytics, and algorithm development.

Collaboration between Humans and AI: The integration of generative AI within banking operations emphasizes the collaboration between humans and AI systems. While AI automates repetitive tasks, human expertise remains invaluable in areas such as ethical decision-making, complex problem-solving, and establishing meaningful customer relationships. Banks will need to foster a culture that promotes collaboration between humans and AI, encouraging employees to work alongside AI systems to achieve optimal results.

Upskilling and Continuous Learning: The advent of generative AI necessitates continuous upskilling and learning for banking professionals. To thrive in this evolving landscape, employees must acquire expertise in AI technologies, data science, cybersecurity, and regulatory compliance. Financial institutions should invest in training programs and provide resources to support their workforce in acquiring the necessary skills and knowledge. This focus on upskilling will ensure a smooth transition to a future where generative AI plays a pivotal role in banking operations.

Conclusion

In conclusion, the emergence of generative AI in banking has ushered in a new era of technological innovation and transformation. This groundbreaking technology has the potential to revolutionize the way banks operate, enhance customer experiences, and drive unprecedented growth in the industry. From automating routine tasks to detecting fraudulent activities, generative AI is proving to be a game-changer.

By harnessing the power of generative AI, banks can now analyze vast amounts of data in real time, enabling them to make data-driven decisions with precision and agility. This technology empowers financial institutions to identify patterns, predict trends, and optimize operations, ultimately leading to improved efficiency, cost savings, and enhanced risk management.

As we look ahead, it is clear that generative AI will continue to reshape the banking landscape, enabling institutions to unlock new opportunities, streamline processes, and stay ahead of the competition. For both financial professionals and individuals, understanding the potential of generative AI and its implications will be essential to leverage its benefits fully.

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Background on the Deal: Hyperliquid had ~$5–6B in USDC deposits (a huge chunk of total USDC supply, often cited around 7–8%). Previously, the interest/yield on those reserves (~$180–250M annually at prevailing rates) mostly flowed to Circle (issuer) and Coinbase (key partner/treasury handler), with little returning to Hyperliquid.
 
In late 2025, Hyperliquid ran an RFP for a native stablecoin (USDH) to capture that revenue. Native Markets won the community vote, and USDH launched as an "Aligned Quote Asset" (AQA).
 

In May 2026, Native Markets sold USDH brand assets to Coinbase. USDH is being sunsetted over time (with feeless conversions/redemptions to USDC/fiat), and USDC becomes the primary/official Aligned Quote Asset on Hyperliquid. Coinbase acts as the main treasury deployer; Circle handles minting, redemptions, and cross-chain (e.g., CCTP).

 

How USDC Wins: 🔑 Key Advantages

Massive, sticky distribution in a high-growth venue: Hyperliquid is a leading on-chain perp DEX. USDC gains preferred status as the quote asset for most trading pairs, reducing friction vs. bridging/swapping other stables. This concentrates liquidity, improves efficiency, and funnels more capital flows through USDC.

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  • Longer-term consolidation play: Analysts see this as part of stablecoin market consolidation around established players with liquidity and infrastructure. Fewer conversion layers = better efficiency for USDC.
     

The Trade-Off (and Hyperliquid's Win)Hyperliquid gets ~90% of the reserve yield (estimates: $135–160M+ annually at current balances, potentially scaling to $300–500M with growth), funneled into protocol revenue/HYPE buybacks. This is roughly double what they got from USDH and turns stablecoin balances into a resilient revenue stream (less volatile than trading fees).

For Circle/Coinbase, they give up a big share of yield (analysts estimate $60–80M hit to combined EBITDA) but retain/expand USDC's role as the backbone stable on a major platform. It's a strategic distribution win over building or competing with a new native coin.

 
🎯Bottom Line: USDC trades some margin for premier, high-volume real estate in perpetuals/DeFi trading—the exact use case driving massive on-chain dollar demand. This cements its lead in the evolving stablecoin wars, especially as platforms demand better economics. The deal highlights shifting power dynamics: big platforms now negotiate hard for yield share.

 

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Handshake Wants to Be the Front Door to Bittensor’s Agent Economy

In this Beanstock interview, Harry Jackson of Subnet 58 (Handshake) lays out a thesis that’s worth understanding even if you never buy a single SN58 alpha token. He also explained where Bittensor’s agentic layer is heading.

We wrote the high-value distillation:

The one-line thesis

Handshake wants to be the front door to the agent economy on Bittensor. The Amazon-like gateway where AI agents discover, pay for, and stack together skills from across all 128 subnets.

Why this matters now
  • There’s a critical distinction Harry emphasized: AI is intelligence, but agents need tooling. An LLM without payment rails, plugins, and workflow infrastructure is “a young person trying to cut a tree down with a pen knife.”
  • Agent-to-agent commerce is on the edge of going viral. Harry’s prediction for the tipping point: a woman in her 40s lets her agent do her shopping end-to-end (research, stock check, autonomous payment), posts it to social media, and it becomes the “four-minute mile” moment everyone copies.
  • Bittensor is uniquely positioned because agents don’t care about marketing or pretty UIs. They only care about best-in-class products and services. That’s exactly what Bittensor’s 128 subnets produce.

The product reality (what’s currently shipping)

  • Handshake is live with paying users generating a few thousand USD in revenue as of today. The business model: 2% of every transaction on the platform.
  • The flywheel is Amazon-like: better skills → more agents arrive → providers get distribution → more skills get added → cycle repeats.
  • The headline product on the way is Axiom. This is an agent that trades subnets while you sleep. Built around the realization that what the Bittensor community wants from agents isn’t generic skills; it’s more TAO. Each “hole” they find in the agent becomes a new tradeable skill on the marketplace.

The investment angles (read these carefully)

  • The moat is data, not distribution. Every workflow run by an agent generates failure data, success data, payment data. No outside competitor can replicate that without running the marketplace itself.
  • The metric Harry tells you to judge them on is revenue. Not agent count. Not user count. Revenue, which is publicly visible on-chain via the front page of their site. He’s basically inviting investors to hold him to it.

  • The pitch for emissions: the biggest TAM in Bittensor is the agent market, and Handshake is the most integrated subnet, meaning if Handshake wins, the subnets it routes to all win too. Bullish on agents + bullish on Bittensor = bullish on Handshake by transitive logic.

Where Harry stands on the Conviction

  • On the conviction upgrade and locked alpha: he’s fine with it. Handshake is a revenue-focused company, so locked alpha isn’t a survival issue. He acknowledges it’ll be harder on research-stage subnets that need to raise external capital, but argues most subnet founders are thinking long-term, not short-term extraction.
  • On the broader vibe: he just got back from Bittensor events in Spain and San Francisco. He observed that the overwhelming reality of the ecosystem is people working hard to build the best products. “It’d be a lot easier in some ways to build a company outside of Bittensor.” The only reason to do it on Bittensor is if you actually want the moonshot.

Full interview below:

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🚨The State Of Bittensor (TAO)🚨
Greg Schvey | COO at Yuma Group

Last week at the @YumaGroup Summit I had the opportunity to present on The State of Bittensor. That presentation is in the thread below. If you choose to read it, I'd ask that you keep the following three things in mind:

  1. This is just one guy's view of what was the most relevant for a 25-minute talk; a difficult filter for such a dynamic industry.
  2. The slides were designed to supplement a talk; I've done my best to replicate what I recall of the talk in the accompanying X posts.
  3. The topic of the Summit was "The Tipping Point" - a candid assessment of what could lead to Bittensor's breakout success and what evidence we see of that today - which also thematically anchored this presentation.

Let's dive in:

We are in the most important race in human history – the race for intelligence itself. AI has advanced beyond the point of no return. As an example of what I mean: Ramp is a widely used financial services platform for companies. They looked at spending and revenue across their clients since the launch of ChatGPT: Companies who did not spend on AI have had flat revenue for the last three years. The top quartile of AI spenders have grown revenue by more than 100%.

We are already at the point where investing in AI is a matter of survival. But what exactly are we getting for the hundreds of billions being spent? Right now, its overwhelmingly going to corporations who have repeatedly shown they don’t have our best interest in mind.

 

 

Claude Opus 4.6 – the leading deep thinking model, had a measured hallucination rate of 16% in February. Then, without telling anyone, Anthropic throttled its reasoning – presumably to reduce GPU utilization – and didn’t tell anyone. Hallucinations climbed to 33% - a 98% increase.

They only admitted it after third party benchmarking proved it. And they were still charging everyone at the same price the whole time. Even since my talk last week, they've supposedly been found to be throttling people simply because HERMES.md was in their commits. You may say, "well there are solid open source options..."

 

 

Yes, open source models have gotten very good, but they’re not immune to capture either. Try asking DeepSeek what happened in Tiananmen Square and then let me know if that’s the intelligence you want to trust.

 

 

This needs to be addressed right now or it will be too late. To give you a sense of what I mean, this is a chart of the total annual commits on GitHub. That’s 500% growth since the launch of ChatGPT in 2022. From 200M per year to a one billion in 2025. 2026 is on track for **14 billion** The genie is out of the bottle – there is no going back; we are already at the exponential inflection point.

This reminds me of many years ago: Bitcoin shined a light on how much our rights were impacted when we became dependent on private companies to run our day-to-day lives.

Your right to privacy? That doesn’t extend to your bank account. Your "money" is just a ledger at a private company, available for interrogation and suspension at any time. Bitcoin gave us back the sovereignty of our wealth.

Similarly, we’ve depended on things like privacy of our medical records and attorney client privilege for our entire lives. What do you think is going to happen when a private company’s servers are giving you legal and medical advice? Who are you going to trust for that intelligence? The company that lobotomized its top model? The model constrained by the foreign governments? As I said at the beginning, we’re in the most important race in human history and Bittensor well may be our best shot at winning.

 

 

One of the things about having a different model to produce intelligence is it requires an economic system suited to it. Subnets are the intelligence and economic engines that drive Bittensor’s value. That’s why the Summit was themed around The Tipping Point: understanding how subnets can reach breakout success and what we can do to help.

To summarize Bittensor's intelligence economics: miners create intelligence for which they earn subnet tokens. In many cases they sell those tokens to fund operations, putting downward pressure on token prices and decreasing the incentive to mine (similar to bitcoin). In parallel, if that intelligence is being used to generate real world value, one of the parties who benefits from that value (e.g. the Operator monetizing it, institutions using intelligence commodities to advance their research, etc.) can buy the subnet tokens to keep token prices elevated and sustain the miner incentive.

Investors get to participate in this process, often supporting token prices before the commercial value of intelligence is realized, and/or subsequently holding an asset that parties gaining fundamental value from the intelligence (eg Operator or others) will need to purchase at some point in the future if they want to maintain sufficient incentives for the intelligence machine to continue running.

For Bittensor to succeed, this value loop has to work. So, to understand the State of Bittensor, we have to take a look at how that’s going today and what that means for the network overall.

 

 

One of the many unique features of Bittensor is that subnets are native to the protocol. That is not the case on most crypto networks where the true utility lives in smart contracts with no direct tie to network value.

As an example, Polymarket has seen 800% growth in volume this year. Users can bet any arbitrarily large amount of value on Polymarket for a few cents of network fees. There is nothing tying that to value of the network’s native token, which is down 80% over the same period as Polymarket’s amazing success.

 

 

Conversely, Bittensor subnets are intrinsically linked to $TAO. If you want $1,000 worth of subnet exposure, you first need $1,000 of TAO. We analyzed subnet pool data surrounding the announcement of @tplr_ai's recent training run and normalized across them by indexing them to a starting level of 100.

As shown by the orange line, there was no material change in pool size for non-Templar subnets over the observation period. There was however, major inflow into Templar’s pool. Given Bittensor’s unique network model, we saw a direct correlation to the change in TAO price over the same period. As value flows into subnets, the whole network benefits. A rising boat lifts the tide, so to speak.

 

 

That can go both ways. When Sam left, we saw something similar in reverse; as value was exfiltrated from the network, it started in Covenant subnets and dragged TAO down with it. You know what else we saw in the data though? For all of the noise about concerns of Bittensor’s future, the other subnet pools were mostly unchanged.

The event was interesting because it reminded me of the early days of bitcoin: people would say Bitcoin was only used by drug dealers on the internet. I'd stare at them aghast because in the same breath they told me that an open, permissionless network was used to reliably move money anywhere in the world in minutes by the most untrustworthy people on the planet and yet they didn't understand how the technical feat required to achieve that would create tremendous value.

The Covenant situation is similar: people were concerned about the operator's exit, rather than realizing the only reason we care is because a ground-breaking technical innovation was achieved. But even bigger than that: Bittensor has 128 subnets currently, each striving to generate value for themselves and, transitively, the network as well.

 

 

And we’re seeing that occur – Templar was not unique in that regard. The same pattern emerged around the Intel publication on @TargonCompute. The non-Targon pools remained largely unchanged. Targon saw heavy inflows. TAO price climbed with it.

Again: rising boats lift the tide. And there are many boats in Bittensor right now.

 

 

We’re seeing major technical innovations at an increasing rate.

Just a few examples from the last couple weeks:

@QuasarModels just announced a custom attention architecture targeting 5M token context windows.
 
@IOTA_SN9 developed a technique that compresses data flowing between distributed GPUs by 128x with little to no loss in training quality, increasing viability of training large AI models across internet-connected machines worldwide.
 
We're seeing the building blocks start to form whereby competitive large generalized models can eventually be built. In the meantime, we're also witnessing more targeted, niche players start to pull ahead in their respective fields.
 
During the presentation, I gave the example of @resilabsai achieving 90% accuracy on their home valuation model, making it the most performant open source model and quickly approaching state of the art. Quite literally as I was explaining this during the talk, @markjeffrey pointed out they had just achieved 98% accuracy.
 
In the time between when I prepared the presentation and actually presented, they went from best open source to at or near state of the art - only further highlighting the unique value of Bittensor's open, competitive intelligence creation cycle.
 
 
And the tech that’s being built on Bittensor is getting real attention from serious players. Again, just a few examples of many: Harvard partnered with @Chutes on research about AI inference efficiency. Valeo – an auto company with $20B in annual revenue – is working with @natix on an AI model for self-driving cars. @zeussubnet- the weather forecasting subnet, is the only party in the world allowed to use data WeatherXM’s network of global weather sensors for commercial purposes. And there are in fact many subnets already commercializing their intelligence.
 
 
 
Most of us are already aware of Chutes seven-figure ARR, but a few other examples:
 
@LeadpoetAI– which uses their Bittensor subnet to source sales leads, announced earlier this year that they crossed $1M ARR
 
@Bitcast_network– the content creation platform built on their subnet competition – is already operating profitably
 
@lium_io– a hardware subnet – has bought more than 4,000 TAO worth of their token
 
Remember the economic model I outlined earlier; we’re seeing real evidence that it’s starting to work across many subnets. Intelligence built on Bittensor, capturing value in the real economy, and bringing it back into the network.
 
Action shot of this slide courtesy of @Tom_dot_b
 
 
That’s why when we look at Bittensor we like to look at Total Network Value (TNV);
$TAO market cap is only part of the story in Bittensor. TNV = market cap of TAO + market cap of subnets – tao in the pools [as not to double count] The actual value of this network is already higher than most people realize. And notably, subnets make up an increasing proportion of TNV – recently crossing 35% - as value continues to flow into the pools.
 
 
 
Interestingly, we recently noticed a change in TNV: In particular, despite all the volatility in TAO, the dramatic subnet issuance curves, etc. - the combined subnet market cap had been remarkably consistent around $750 million for most of the last year, until recently.
 
It’s nearly doubled over the last few months – a clear breakout in the trend. If you were looking for Tipping Point, it might look something like this...
 
 
 
I hear a lot that that value is relatively concentrated in the largest subnets. And the market cap distribution does indeed reflect that, but that’s not necessarily a bad thing.
 
 
 
This is the market cap distribution of the S&P 500. Many healthy economic systems tend towards Pareto distributions. And so what if some subnets are worth more? As we showed earlier, this is an ecosystem that will win or lose *together* And we’re seeing that play out every day.
 
 
 
We track announcements of subnets utilizing each others infrastructure and intelligence. Just as an example, we identified at least eight subnets who announced that they use Chutes for inference. But we have dozens of similar examples of cross-subnet collaboration across many subnets like
 
What’s notable about this:
 
1. Collaboration seems to be happening at an increasing pace as subnets continue to mature and build out contiguous pipelines of AI infrastructure
 
2. Keeping money circulating within an economy creates a money multiplier. Capital circulating within a single economy without leaving creates economic value for each party it passes through, without having to bring in new capital. That’s uniquely possible here because of the diversity of infrastructure built on Bittensor.
 
This network is not 128 discrete growth drivers; it’s increasingly functioning as an interconnected graph, which has substantially more stickiness and value And the pace is about to increase dramatically:
 
 
 
We’re starting to see increasing agents operating on Bittensor: subnets mined by agents, subnets operated by agents...
 
Consider the Bittensor value flywheel:
 
-An intelligence goal is established
-Miners compete to achieve the goal
-That produces intelligence
-Intelligence generates value
 
That’s happening today, as we’ve seen earlier in this discussion.
 
As agents get more capable, that flywheel spins faster and faster. Permissionless entry means any agent can compete. Protocol-native economic incentives mean good work gets rewarded. Bittensor is uniquely advantaged for agentic speed over guarded, centralized alternatives with corporate procurement cycles.
 
That also means exploits will be found faster. But, it also means solutions that harden the network against them will be found faster as well.
 
Accordingly the impact of the network primitives – incentives, accessibility, governance, security, reliability, and all the infrastructure we’re building around the network - have an exponentially larger impact. It is critical that we get these right. The time to nail this, is right now. If we don’t someone else will.
 
 
 
The good news is, for now, Bittensor seems to be in the lead The 30-day moving average of Daily active wallets just crossed a record, approaching 10,000 Up 100% just in the last year.
 
 
 
We’re also seeing subnet ownership increasingly diversify and distribute. The median number of holders of subnet tokens at 2,000 is a 10x increase since the dtao launch a year ago. And at Yuma, we spend a lot of effort and resources to help broaden that access.
 
 
 
Yuma currently partners with 16 custodian and wallet providers to bring Bittensor access to the masses As an institutional-grade validator, the relationships and service we offer give them the confidence to make TAO staking available to millions of end users.
 
During the Summit, we announced that BitGo’s clients will now have access to subnet token staking through our partnership, making subnet investing available to customers of one of the world’s largest custodians.
 
 
 
We also help people gain access to subnets via investment vehicles. The Yuma Composite Fund gives investors access to a market-cap weighted portfolio of subnets through traditional investment structures. The Yuma Large Cap Fund gives investors concentrated exposure to Bittensor's largest subnets.
 
Our institutional asset management team handles everything from initial subnet token purchases, to portfolio rebalancing, custody, and reporting. The appeal for institutions is obvious, but even for the Bittensor native, it’s an amazingly simple way to get access to a broadly diversified portfolio, rebalanced regularly.
 
Between the breakout performance of subnets, the attractive staking rewards, and benefits of diversification, the Yuma funds have outperformed TAO materially year to date [as of when the presentation was created] Nearly 3x outperformance relative to TAO.
 
 
 
And last but definitely not least, our subnet accelerator has helped a wide range of companies access Bittensor. We help them acquire subnet slots, design incentives, provide marketing assistance, review pitch decks, make introductions to other investors, etc. At Yuma we deeply believe in the power of subnets and have helped many of the network's leading intelligence providers start and succeed.
 
 
 
Disclaimer: For informational purposes only.  Nothing herein should be construed as financial, investment, legal, or tax advice.  This material does not constitute an offer to sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy any securities or tokens.  Investing in digital assets involves significant risk, including the potential loss of principal.  Subnet tokens do not represent equity or ownership interests in any entity.  Performance comparisons and index references are illustrative only and not indicative of future results.  Charts and indices are based on methodologies and assumptions that may change and may not reflect actual market conditions or liquidity.
 

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