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Artificial Intelligence in Space Exploration
June 26, 2023
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In the dawn of AI in space exploration, we stand witness to a monumental paradigm shift. Gone are the days when human explorers embarked on perilous missions alone. Now, AI stands as a steadfast ally, augmenting our capabilities and propelling us further into the cosmos. This new era is characterized by the fusion of advanced computing, machine learning, and robotics, enabling us to push the boundaries of what we thought was possible. In this article, we will dive deep into exploring the pivotal role of artificial intelligence in space exploration!

How AI Revolutionizes Our Understanding of the Universe

The universe is a tapestry of intricacies, vastness, and enigmas that have captivated humanity for millennia. AI serves as a transformative force, empowering us to unravel these mysteries and gain deeper insights into the cosmic realm. Through its advanced algorithms, machine learning techniques, and neural networks, AI analyzes astronomical data with unparalleled speed and accuracy. It identifies patterns, discovers hidden relationships, and unveils cosmic phenomena that eluded our grasp. From mapping the distribution of dark matter to predicting the behavior of galaxies, AI enables us to comprehend the universe in ways that were once inconceivable.

Importance of Integrating AI in Space Missions

As we embark on ambitious space missions, the integration of AI becomes paramount. The vastness of space, with its myriad challenges and unknowns, necessitates intelligent systems capable of processing copious amounts of data, adapting to dynamic environments, and making split-second decisions. AI equips us with these essential tools, ensuring the success and safety of our ventures beyond Earth. By reducing human error, enhancing efficiency, and enabling autonomous decision-making, AI enables us to explore the cosmos with unprecedented precision and effectiveness.

AI in Space: Past and Present

1959 | Deep Space 1

The first-ever case of AI being used in space exploration. The Remote Agent algorithm was used to diagnose failures onboard the probe.

1997 | Pathfinder

AI was used to control the Sojourner rover on Mars. The rover's software used AI to navigate the Martian surface and to identify and collect samples.

2004 | Spirit and Opportunity

AI was used to control the Spirit and Opportunity rovers on Mars. The rovers' software used AI to navigate the Martian surface, identify and collect samples, and perform experiments.

2006 | Stardust

AI was used to control the Stardust spacecraft as it collected samples from the comet Wild 2. The spacecraft's software used AI to navigate the comet's tail and collect samples without damaging the spacecraft.

2008 | Kepler

AI was used to analyze the data from the Kepler spacecraft. The spacecraft's software used AI to identify exoplanets in the Kepler field of view.

2011 | Curiosity

AI is being used to control the Curiosity rover on Mars. The rover's software uses AI to navigate the Martian surface, identify and collect samples, and perform experiments.

2016 | Juno

AI is being used to control the Juno spacecraft as it orbits Jupiter. The spacecraft's software uses AI to navigate Jupiter's atmosphere and to collect data on the planet's atmosphere and interior.

2018 | TESS

AI is being used to analyze the data from the TESS spacecraft. The spacecraft's software uses AI to identify exoplanets in the TESS field of view.

2020 | Ingenuity

AI is being used to control the Ingenuity helicopter on Mars. The helicopter's software uses AI to navigate the Martian atmosphere and perform autonomous flights.

2023 | Future missions

AI is expected to play an increasingly important role in future space missions. AI will be used to control spacecraft, to analyze data, and to make decisions.

AI and Robotic Probes

Within space exploration, robotic probes stand as pioneers, venturing into uncharted territories on our behalf. Through the infusion of AI, these robotic explorers become intelligent companions, enhancing our understanding of the cosmos.

Autonomous Robots in Space Exploration

AI empowers autonomous robots to navigate and interact with their surroundings independently. These intrepid machines traverse treacherous terrain, collect samples, and transmit valuable data back to Earth. By reducing human intervention and enhancing adaptability, AI-equipped robots enable us to explore distant worlds with unprecedented efficiency.

AI-Powered Rovers and Landers

The utilization of AI-powered rovers and landers revolutionizes our ability to conduct scientific investigations on celestial bodies. Equipped with sophisticated algorithms, these robotic explorers navigate challenging terrains, analyze geological formations, and contribute invaluable insights into the composition and history of alien worlds.

Here are some examples of how AI is being used in robotic probes:

  1. The Curiosity rover on Mars is using AI to navigate around obstacles and identify interesting features.
  2. The Perseverance rover, which is currently exploring Mars, is using AI to identify potential hazards, such as rocks that could damage the rover's wheels.
  3. The Dragonfly helicopter on Saturn's moon Titan uses AI to fly autonomously and explore the moon's surface.
  4. The ExoMars rover, launched in 2022, uses AI to search for signs of life on Mars.

AI and Satellite Systems

Artificial Intelligence (AI) has emerged as a game-changer in the realm of space exploration, revolutionizing various aspects of satellite systems. 

AI's role in satellite navigation and control

AI technology has significantly enhanced satellite navigation and control systems, enabling more accurate and efficient operations. By leveraging advanced algorithms and machine learning techniques, satellites can autonomously determine their positions, adjust orbits, and navigate through complex space environments. This results in improved reliability, precision, and adaptability of satellite systems, ensuring seamless communication and data transmission.

Earth observation and environmental monitoring with AI

Satellites equipped with AI capabilities play a crucial role in monitoring our planet's environment. Through sophisticated sensors and AI algorithms, these satellites can capture and analyze vast amounts of data related to climate patterns, vegetation growth, ocean currents, and natural disasters. AI-powered image processing techniques enable rapid identification of environmental changes, helping scientists and decision-makers monitor and address critical issues such as deforestation, pollution, and climate change.

AI-assisted satellite communication

Efficient and reliable communication is vital for space missions, and AI has revolutionized satellite communication systems. AI algorithms optimize communication protocols, minimizing signal interference and maximizing data transfer rates. Additionally, AI enables intelligent routing and network management, ensuring seamless connectivity between satellites, ground stations, and spacecraft. These advancements in AI-assisted satellite communication enhance data transmission, enabling real-time monitoring and control of space missions.

Here are some specific examples of how AI is being used in satellite systems:

  • The European Space Agency (ESA) is using AI to improve the accuracy of its Galileo navigation system.
  • NASA is using AI to monitor the health of its fleet of satellites.
  • The company Planet Labs is using AI to analyze satellite imagery of Earth.

AI and Space Telescopes

Space telescopes have long been our window to the cosmos, and AI has unlocked new frontiers in astronomy. Let's delve into how AI is transforming space telescopes, from automated data analysis and pattern recognition to AI-driven target selection and exploration.

Revolutionizing astronomy with AI

AI has revolutionized the way we analyze astronomical data captured by space telescopes. By employing machine learning algorithms, AI systems can swiftly process vast amounts of astronomical data, identifying patterns, celestial objects, and rare phenomena that might have gone unnoticed before. This accelerated analysis enables astronomers to make groundbreaking discoveries and gain deeper insights into the mysteries of the universe.

Automated data analysis and pattern recognition

With the integration of AI, space telescopes can automatically analyze and categorize celestial data, significantly reducing the time and effort required for manual analysis. AI algorithms excel in pattern recognition, enabling the identification of distant galaxies, exoplanets, and other celestial objects with remarkable accuracy. This automated data analysis streamlines the research process and facilitates the exploration of uncharted territories within our universe.

AI-driven target selection and exploration

AI algorithms aid space telescopes in selecting optimal targets for observation and exploration. By considering various parameters such as scientific relevance, celestial events, and mission objectives, AI systems assist astronomers in making informed decisions about the targets to prioritize. This AI-driven target selection enhances the efficiency and productivity of space missions, optimizing resource utilization and increasing the likelihood of significant discoveries.

  • The European Space Agency's (ESA) Gaia mission is using AI to identify stars, galaxies, and other objects in the Milky Way.
  • NASA's Kepler mission is using AI to identify potential exoplanets in Kepler's data.
  • The Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) is using AI to analyze data from its Curiosity rover to identify potential hazards for the rover and to help the rover navigate around obstacles.

AI for Spacecraft Autonomy

Spacecraft autonomy is crucial for executing complex missions, and AI plays a pivotal role in enabling autonomous decision-making, navigation, and onboard diagnostics. Let's uncover the fascinating applications of AI in spacecraft autonomy.

Autonomous decision-making in spacecraft operations

AI empowers spacecraft with the ability to make intelligent decisions in real time. By integrating AI algorithms with onboard systems, spacecraft can autonomously analyze data, assess mission objectives, and make critical decisions without human intervention. This autonomy enhances mission efficiency, reduces response times, and mitigates risks associated with communication delays.

AI-assisted navigation and trajectory planning

Spacecraft navigation and trajectory planning require precise calculations and adjustments. AI algorithms assist in optimizing navigation routes, avoiding obstacles, and making necessary trajectory adjustments based on real-time data. This AI-driven navigation ensures the safe and efficient movement of spacecraft, enabling them to reach their destinations with utmost precision.

AI in onboard diagnostics and maintenance

Maintaining spacecraft health is paramount for successful missions. AI systems continuously monitor onboard systems, detecting anomalies and predicting potential failures. By analyzing telemetry data and historical patterns, AI algorithms facilitate predictive maintenance, enabling proactive repairs and minimizing downtime. This proactive approach to diagnostics and maintenance ensures the longevity and reliability of spacecraft in the harsh conditions of space.

Here are some specific examples of how AI is being used for spacecraft autonomy:

  • The European Space Agency (ESA) is using AI to develop autonomous spacecraft that can navigate and explore the solar system without human intervention.
  • NASA is using AI to develop autonomous systems for its Orion spacecraft, which will be used to send astronauts to the Moon and Mars.
  • The company Space Systems Loral is using AI to develop autonomous satellites that can monitor Earth's climate and environment.

AI in Space Mission Planning

Effective mission planning is crucial for the success of space exploration endeavors. AI optimization techniques, simulations, and predictive models play a vital role in enabling efficient resource allocation and risk assessment during mission planning.

AI optimization techniques for mission planning

AI optimization techniques help streamline mission plans by efficiently allocating fuel, power, and time resources. By considering various parameters and constraints, AI algorithms optimize mission trajectories, reducing fuel consumption and mission duration. This optimization results in cost savings and enables the execution of more ambitious space missions.

Simulations and predictive models with AI

AI-powered simulations and predictive models are invaluable tools in space mission planning. These models leverage AI algorithms to simulate complex scenarios, assess mission feasibility, and predict outcomes. By analyzing vast amounts of data and running sophisticated simulations, AI assists in identifying potential risks, evaluating mission success probabilities, and refining mission parameters before actual execution.

Resource allocation and risk assessment

AI algorithms aid in resource allocation by considering mission priorities, constraints, and available resources. By optimizing the allocation of spacecraft instruments, power, and communication bandwidth, AI ensures efficient utilization of resources throughout the mission. Additionally, AI facilitates risk assessment by analyzing historical data, identifying potential hazards, and suggesting mitigation strategies, thereby enhancing the safety and success rates of space missions.

Here are some specific examples of how AI is being used for spacecraft autonomy:

  • The European Space Agency (ESA) is using AI to develop autonomous navigation systems for its future missions.
  • NASA is using AI to develop autonomous docking systems for its spacecraft.
  • The company Space Exploration Technologies (SpaceX) is using AI to develop autonomous landing systems for its rockets.

AI in Extraterrestrial Life Search

As we venture into the vastness of space, the quest for extraterrestrial life captivates our imaginations. Artificial Intelligence (AI) plays a pivotal role in this pursuit, revolutionizing the way we explore and understand the cosmos. 

AI approaches in the search for life beyond Earth

Unraveling the mysteries of the cosmos requires sophisticated tools, and AI brings a new dimension to our extraterrestrial explorations. Machine learning algorithms can analyze vast amounts of data collected from telescopes, probes, and satellites, aiding scientists in identifying potential signs of life. By training AI models on existing knowledge and patterns found on Earth, we can develop algorithms capable of recognizing similar patterns in the cosmic expanse.

AI-enabled analysis of biosignatures and atmospheric data

When it comes to the search for extraterrestrial life, biosignatures hold the key. These are detectable substances or phenomena that provide evidence of life's presence. AI algorithms can sift through complex data, including atmospheric compositions and chemical signatures, to identify potential biosignatures. By leveraging AI's pattern recognition capabilities, scientists can pinpoint promising targets for further investigation, saving time and resources in the process.

Machine learning in astrobiology research

Astrobiology, the study of life in the universe, relies on AI to uncover hidden insights. Machine learning algorithms can analyze vast datasets comprising information about habitable zones, planetary conditions, and biological markers. By employing AI, scientists can narrow down their search and prioritize planets or celestial bodies that have a higher likelihood of hosting life. This data-driven approach accelerates our understanding of the cosmos and directs our efforts toward potential habitable environments.

Here are some examples of how AI is being used in the search for extraterrestrial life

  • The AI algorithm developed by the SETI Institute can analyze the atmospheres of exoplanets for the presence of methane, which is a potential biosignature.
  • The machine learning algorithm developed by the University of California, Berkeley, can identify patterns in the data from the Kepler space telescope that could be indicative of exoplanets with atmospheres similar to Earth's.
  • The AI algorithm developed by the Jet Propulsion Laboratory (JPL) is being used to help the Perseverance rover on Mars to identify potential targets for exploration.

AI and Space Data Analysis

Space exploration generates an overwhelming amount of data, presenting a formidable challenge for analysis. Fortunately, AI comes to the rescue, empowering us to make sense of this deluge of information. 

Big data challenges in space exploration

The sheer volume and complexity of space data necessitate innovative approaches. AI algorithms excel at processing and extracting meaningful insights from vast datasets. They can handle diverse data types, including images, spectroscopic data, and sensor readings. By harnessing AI's ability to navigate big data challenges, scientists can uncover hidden patterns, unveil celestial phenomena, and make groundbreaking discoveries.

AI algorithms for data mining and pattern recognition

Within the vast troves of space data lie hidden gems waiting to be discovered. AI algorithms equipped with data mining techniques can extract valuable information from the noise, identifying patterns and anomalies that may elude human observation. These algorithms can discern subtle changes, predict celestial events, and unlock valuable insights that propel our understanding of the cosmos.

Predictive analytics and anomaly detection

Space exploration demands proactive measures to ensure mission success and safety. AI's predictive analytics capabilities enable us to anticipate and mitigate potential risks. By analyzing historical data and real-time telemetry, AI algorithms can detect anomalies, predict equipment failures, and optimize mission parameters. This data-driven foresight enables us to make informed decisions and enhance the efficiency and safety of space exploration endeavors.

Here are some specific examples of how AI is being used for space data analysis:

  • The SSA program uses AI to forecast space weather events. This information is used to protect satellites and astronauts from the effects of space weather.
  • NASA's Near-Earth Object (NEO) Observations program uses AI to detect and track asteroids. This information is used to assess the risk of asteroid impacts on Earth.
  • The European Space Agency's (ESA) Asteroid Impact and Deflection Assessment (AIDA) mission uses AI to detect and track asteroids. This information is used to assess the feasibility of deflecting asteroids that pose a threat to Earth.

Future Perspectives of AI in Space Exploration

The future of space exploration holds boundless possibilities, and AI is poised to play a central role in shaping that future.

Advancements and future applications of AI in space

The rapid advancements in AI technology open up new frontiers for space exploration. From autonomous rovers on distant planets to intelligent mission planning, AI empowers us to delve deeper into the cosmos. As AI algorithms become more sophisticated, they can adapt and learn from the challenges encountered during space missions, enabling autonomous decision-making and enhancing mission success rates. With AI as our partner, the possibilities for scientific breakthroughs and unprecedented discoveries become limitless.

Collaborative missions and AI-driven interplanetary exploration

Collaboration lies at the heart of space exploration, and AI facilitates seamless cooperation between humans and machines. By integrating AI into interplanetary missions, we can leverage its capabilities to navigate, analyze, and interpret vast amounts of data in real-time. Autonomous spacecraft, guided by AI, can conduct intricate maneuvers and gather invaluable information while enabling human operators to focus on high-level decision-making. This synergy between humans and AI accelerates our interplanetary exploration, fostering a new era of scientific collaboration.

Integration of AI with emerging technologies

The integration of AI with other emerging technologies amplifies our exploration capabilities. AI combined with robotics enables the development of autonomous systems for extraterrestrial construction, resource utilization, and even the establishment of sustainable habitats. Moreover, AI can facilitate seamless human-robot interaction, enhancing astronauts' productivity and safety during space missions. By embracing these synergies, we pave the way for a future where humans and AI work hand in hand to unlock the secrets of the universe.

Conclusion

In this comprehensive guide, we have embarked on a captivating journey through the marriage of artificial intelligence and space exploration. AI has become an indispensable tool, revolutionizing our understanding of the cosmos and propelling us toward groundbreaking discoveries. From searching for extraterrestrial life to analyzing vast amounts of space data, AI's capabilities are instrumental in shaping the future of space exploration.

The implications of AI for the future of space exploration are profound. With each new discovery, we inch closer to unraveling the mysteries of the cosmos and our place within it. As we conclude this guide, we encourage further research and exploration, inspiring the next generation of scientists, engineers, and pioneers to push the boundaries of human knowledge. The cosmos beckons, and with AI as our guide, the possibilities are limitless.

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Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

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The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

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Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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