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Chris Larsen's Ripple Effect
December 01, 2023
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Chris Larsen, cofounder and executive chairman of Ripple, a cryptocurrency company, has the Midas touch when it comes to making money and giving consumers more autonomy over theirs. In the mid-’90s, Larsen cofounded E-Loan, an online mortgage company, the first to allow consumers to access their FICO scores for free — a tool used by many lenders to determine if a person qualifies for a credit card, a mortgage or another loan. A decade later, he cofounded Prosper Marketplace, the country’s first peer-to-peer lending platform.

And like other Bay Area tech moguls — think Marc BenioffMark ZuckerbergSergey Brin, to name a few — Larsen is investing some of that hard-earned money back into the community. He made local and national news when he funded hundreds of high-tech surveillance cameras scattered throughout the City to help fight crime. He has financed TV ads to recruit police officers; provided grants to merchant associations to enliven retail corridors; and with his wife, Lyna Lam, and the Rippleworks Foundation, contributed $25 million to San Francisco State University, his alma mater. And just last month, Larsen and Gap board member Bob Fisher helped launch a $4 million advertising campaign — It All Starts Here — to help boost San Francisco’s tarnished reputation.

Larsen was born in San Francisco to a father who was an aircraft mechanic at SFO and a mother who was a freelance illustrator. He spent most of his childhood in Cupertino until he moved back to the City to get his B.S. from SF State. After graduation, he worked for Chevron and later earned an M.B.A. from Stanford University.

Recently, I sat down with the mild-mannered Larsen at his Ripple offices in the FiDi. We talked about transforming global finance, climate change and his unwavering belief in his hometown.

Meet Chris Larsen.

Tell me about this company, Ripple. Sure. So, we’re using blockchain technology. It’s one of the core technologies of where the world is going. Essentially a second internet, but instead of an information internet, it’s an internet of value. We think that’s a critical component if you’re really going to have a globalized world that works well for everybody.

That makes sense. Obviously, the whole world’s connected through data. There’s some issues there, but it’s brought the world together. People communicate for free anywhere. But with money — you wire money to Europe or to the Philippines — it can take multiple days. It’s incredibly expensive, and access is still blocked for billions of people in the world. So you have an incomplete global infrastructure. ... We’re making global payments that can move in seconds instead of days with no failure rates and extremely low costs so everybody can participate.

What was the origin of Ripple? Well, I go back now over 10 years, which is pretty early in the crypto markets. There was a group of people way smarter than me [who], when bitcoin got launched — in ’09 [and] caught on by 2011 — were fascinated by it, but thought it was too wasteful. It was kind of a head scratcher on why it had to be designed in a way that used so much electricity [due to the energy-intensive process of verifying computerized transactions]. So they felt they could build a better bitcoin in a system that used de minimis amounts of energy. And that’s what they did. I joined that project — before it was a company — in 2012 and went from there.

The industry has changed a lot in the last decade, I’m sure. And we’ve certainly seen dramatic volatility in the market in recent years. It’s a wild thing for a lot of reasons. It’s actually the first time fintech is global. Blockchain is, again, kind of a second internet, but for value. It’s global, it’s everywhere. That introduces a lot more dynamism. And it’s also dealing with money and value. So I think anytime you have that, you’re going to get the usual cast of characters as we read about in the press every day. Crazy characters, crooked characters, but also people doing some really groundbreaking work that will make things like remittances, cross border payments, and really the entire global economy work more efficiently. And that’s good for everybody.

Lots of eyes are on the trial of former crypto-billionaire Sam Bankman-Fried. What effect have his alleged crimes had on the industry? Oh, it was absolutely catastrophic. Not only because what he did was obviously wrong, but he was so political. He must have given $50 million, mostly to Democrats. And his mom [Barbara Fried] ran Mind [the] Gap [pro-Democratic super PAC]. So I think they were pretty skilled at politics. When it blew up, all these politicians that were in his corner had to almost overcorrect and back away. A number of bills would have given the U.S. market clarity, which is something the U.S. drastically needs because we’re really falling behind places like the UK, which has very clear, very pro-consumer, pro-innovation rules. Singapore ... Dubai ... same thing. Very pro-consumer, tough rules, but very clear rules. And they’re attracting all of the companies that should be right here.

So the U.S.’s lack of clarity, and then Sam’s screw-up, which then made that worse, has actually been really bad for San Francisco.

How so? Because San Francisco was actually the global blockchain capital of the world from the beginning through maybe five years ago. And it isn’t anymore. Coinbase was here just down the street. They’re not here anymore. So, I don’t know, we’re at a 30 percent vacancy rate [in the downtown area]? I think it would be half that. [Ripple is] growing. We have 15 offices around the world. We’ve doubled our London office in the last two years. That’s a shame. That should all be right here.

Let’s talk a little bit about AI because San Francisco is, for all intents and purposes, the AI capital of the world right now. How do we make sure AI doesn’t leave SF, similar to what happened with blockchain? I think it should be a lesson learned on what happened with blockchain. I love our leaders around here, but our leaders should have done more to fight for it. We can be pro-consumer, and we can embrace innovation, and that’s good for the state, it’s good for the City, it’s good for everybody. Instead of push[ing] it out to our competitors. So I hope with AI, people have gotten this.

Clearly, we need regulation, but it seems we need to regulate in a more creative and modern way than we did decades ago. Do you agree? That’s a great point. ... Regulation has got to be faster. It’s got to be more balanced ... embracing innovation, which always has an element of uncertainty. So you have to respond quickly. I think in the U.S. we have a particular challenge. We go to London or Singapore or Dubai, the advantage they have is the regulators, the capital market folks, and the innovators are all in the same city. So they all mix. And here we’ve got capital markets in New York generally, you’ve got regulation in D.C., and you’ve got innovation out here. And that doesn’t mix all that well. It’s too far, and the timelines are not in sync. That’s a real challenge here. So we’ve got to get more dialogue. It’d be nice to put fintech regulators, AI regulators, at Stanford or Berkeley or right here in the City.

Before Ripple, you cofounded E-Loan and Prosper Marketplace, all of which give consumers more agency over their own money and more transparency. Was that a mission of yours, or just a good business niche? When I was growing up, my dad was an aircraft mechanic at SFO. I just remember he was always really angry every time he had to go take out a home equity line or finance a car. I think he felt like he was taken advantage of. The motto of the finance industry, particularly pre-internet, is “in confusion there’s profit.” When you go to the car dealer, the car dealer is not telling you your credit score. … So what does that mean as far as price? That’s how they make their money. And that’s not right. So it is a little bit of “Schwabifying” because Charles Schwab was the first to introduce fair pricing before the internet. But I think with the internet you can do much more of that because you can show everything. You take out the commission person. Ripple’s a little bit different in that we’re enterprise, and we can actually have more impact by focusing on the technology, bringing it to existing platforms, and then that makes them more competitive and more effective. So it’s a bit of a tweak.

I’ve read about Ripple using blockchain to help poor populations, like farmers in Uganda, sell carbon credits at a fair price. Talk about how consumers benefit from this technology. The remittance flows on the planet are enormous. U.S. to Philippines, Saudi Arabia to Bangladesh, for example. Those are big flows, and those are generally people who are probably living paycheck to paycheck, if even that. So if you can have systems that allow prices to come down, have more access, that’s going to be a good thing for everybody. We like those kinds of things. You raise the farmer and the carbon. I like that you brought that one up. I think that is a real opportunity.

Farming could actually be a huge sink for carbon. The Global South farmers are subsistence, so wouldn’t it be awesome if [they] could change the way [they] work the soils, grab more carbon, and then if there’s a good effective market [with] transparency ... if [the carbon credits are] resold, they get a cut of the resale. That’s something you can do really well with blockchain technology — tokenizing carbon assets. We actually just launched something called Centigrade, which is a B Corp, a more benefit corporation. We did that with [green energy nonprofit] Rocky Mountain Institute to improve the voluntary carbon credit markets.

That’s actually happening now? Yeah. That’s a big goal for us. Climate’s a big focus that I work on personally, but also with the company. And there’s lots of ways we can use the technology to make that better. Same with sustainability credits, which I think will also be an emerging market. So not just carbon. This is actually happening to a small country called Niue. It’s a country of 1,200 people in the South Pacific, but they have an enormous ocean acreage that’s part of the country. The same with Palau, 20,000 people, but they have oceans the size of France. So these are huge opportunities to protect the oceans. But these are poor countries. They can’t just give up all their fishing rights because they’ll go broke, but maybe they can do sustainability credits, where now we put that on a blockchain, tokenize it, and then anybody in the world can buy a sustainability credit. That’s what Niue’s doing. It’s called ocean conservation commitments. And that’s potentially a great source of financing sustainability.

Aside from your business endeavors, you’re also very active in philanthropy and politically active in your hometown of San Francisco. Why is that important to you? In San Francisco, we just started going down the rabbit hole. We [were], I think probably like every San Franciscan, victims of the smash-and-grab problem. We live in Russian Hill right by the Lombard Steps, which was literally ground zero at one point. This was maybe seven years ago; [now president and CEO of the Hotel Council of San Francisco] Alex Bastian used to work for [District Attorney] George Gascón, and they had done something creative with Union Square — the Union Square BID [Business Improvement District] — [putting] camera networks all around. They had smash and grabbers, a crew that was running in the stores and stealing … but the camera networks are effective. If you talk to the police, they’re really good at making cases. We talked to the DA, same thing. It’d be nice if we can extend that now to live access for the police. That’s been controversial, but they put a police officer on top of that building, they have access. I don’t really understand why that’s controversial. You could put AI tools in that would identify guns. That already works today.

So there’s a lot of things we can do. We like the camera network for public safety. We’ve got to do more with the police because we have a police crisis where you don’t have enough of them. That’s a nationwide problem, but it’s worse here in the City because of the very anti-police police commission, which has prevented tools from getting out there. ... So the morale is bad. Maybe only 20 percent of San Francisco cops live in the City anymore. A lot of them actually live out of state, believe it or not.

Out of state? Out of state. So they’re supposed to be able to get back in the City within four hours of an emergency. That’s just not going to happen. So you’ve got a real problem with public safety resources that’s very solvable, so that’s one big area. And then another area has been trying to help small business through having [Avenue] Greenlight, which is supporting the 34 merchant districts in the City, and then allowing small grants to go to those small businesses or to the district to do things like lighting or signage or cleaning things just to make the environment better for these small businesses [that] have been hanging on in some tough times. Although I think things are a lot better now.

San Francisco has an almost $14 billion annual budget, and you’re talking about privately funding cameras in neighborhoods, helping small businesses and our retail corridors. You have even paid for ads to recruit police officers. So, why is private philanthropy necessary when we have these kinds of resources in the City? It’s a great question. A $14 billion budget is a lot of money. I think the problem is it’s a lot of money, but it’s all tied up in this bureaucratic mess. To try to get cameras funded by the city, it’d probably be a five-year debate. And I think it would just get bogged down. Whereas private philanthropy — we probably have four and a half million dollars put into the camera networks — can deploy that quickly to the CBDs [Community Benefit Districts] or the BIDs. ... If we had to pay for license plate readers, we would do that. Again, another needlessly controversial area that’s super effective, especially since all the smash-and-grab crews are driving stolen cars with just-stolen plates. The number of stolen cars is just astronomical, and it’s mostly all being done to commit other crimes. And if you had license plate readers, you would tag them instantly. They’re avoiding any town that has license plate readers.

Any evidence that the cameras, Avenue Greenlight, grants and police recruitment ads are making a difference? Yeah, we talked to [SFPD] Chief [Bill Scott]. He says the cameras are just absolute game changers, so that’s great. We know that that’s working. On the police recruitment, it was the highest police academy numbers that we had in three years. Now part of that could have been a combination of wages going up, bonuses. The ads were meant for morale and for recruiting. So we might fire that up again. So I think that does work, and having [Avenue] Greenlight for sure. Actually, we’re super happy with that one because it’s relatively small grants, and they make the small businesses feel like they’re being helped. So we’ve got to get more of the bigger business community to help the smaller.

Despite some of the issues we’ve discussed, what do you think gives San Francisco its competitive advantage? There’s nothing like San Francisco, and you can’t replicate it. It’s such a mix of things. You’d never come up with anything like this place again. I love it. The weather, the food, the views. ... So we’ve got our problems, but it’s an awesome place. And my parents met in the City, too. They’re no longer with us, but working on the city stuff, I always feel like they’re happy about it.

I’ve heard people ask you, so I know what you’re going to say, but would you ever consider running for office? I’m just not wired for that.

So what’s next for Chris Larsen? Oh, well, geez. Getting older. There’s less tomorrows than yesterdays, as they say. I think we’re on the right path, but climate’s going to take many years. Climate’s actually really fun to work in.

I have two boys. I want to make sure that they’re growing up in a decent world, and it’s not on fire all the time. This is totally solvable too. But we’ve got to really go before there’s some tipping points. ... It’ll be one of the greatest wealth generators of all time.

Is there a certain philosophy or credo that you live by? I’m trying to tell my kids this, but we shouldn’t assume [that] the way the world is was somehow designed by experts. So we shouldn’t be afraid to challenge stuff.

This interview has been condensed for length and edited for clarity.

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🚨Interview with Jack McDonald CEO of Standard Custody & Trust🚨

Jack McDonald, Co-Founder of PolySign alongside Arthur Britto Timestamps for the Video listed below

Timestamps:
0:50 — Founded PolySign with Arthur Britto.
0:57 — Founding of Standard Custody.
1:01 — Ripple acquires Standard Custody.
1:20 — Why Ripple entered stablecoins and custody
1:40 — Discussion regarding Ripple and USDC
2:40 — Acquisition of prime broker Hidden Road.
3:12 — Hidden Road’s client base
4:15 — Ripple pledges $25 million
4:46 — Forward-looking commentary

OP: @ProfRipplEffect

00:06:55
👉You Will Own Nothing, And Be Happy...

"Ever notice how you don't actually own anything anymore? Your music 🎶, your movies 🎬, your cloud storage ☁—all of it is just a subscription 💳."

"You think you have things, but you only have access to things 🔑."

"Your identity lives inside a digital system 💻 you have no control over, and it can be flagged 🚩, restricted 🚫, or revoked automatically with no warning 🚨."

"In this society, you don't have freedom anymore. You just access it as long as the system recognises you 👀."

"Welcome to neo-feudalism—a world where your entire life is one system update away from disappearing 👻."

00:01:06
🚨EXPLAINED: BRICS LAUNCHES A GOLD-BACKED CURRENCY: THE "UNIT" It's called the "Unit."🚨

This is a live prototype for an alternative to the US dollar in international trade.

What Is It?

A digital currency for trade between BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa).

It's backed by a basket of their local currencies and physical gold. How It Works (Simplified):

1⃣ Step 1: The "Basket" is Created. A "Unit Reserve Basket" holds: 40% in physical gold (40 grams for the first test batch). 60% in five BRICS currencies (12% each: Real, Yuan, Rupee, Ruble, Rand).

2⃣ Step 2: Units Are Issued. On October 31, 2025, 100 Units were created. Each Unit was worth exactly 1 gram of gold.

3⃣ Step 3: Value Fluctuates with the Market. The Unit's value changes daily based on the strength of the currencies in the basket vs. gold.

By December 4, the basket's value had adjusted to 98.23 grams of gold. Therefore, 1 Unit = 0.9823g of gold.

The Goal: Trade Without Dollars. Countries could use Units to settle transactions, reducing reliance on the US dollar and keeping their gold reserves ...

00:05:36
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading
Best Brief Pep Talk for Homo Sapiens

".....the Kingdom of God is within you...." 

".....my Kingdom is of a different Age...."  

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1180503997433929

Why your privacy matters:

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1JTYg4iJzv/

Do you realize that if you are an American, your overall right to privacy is guaranteed by the Federal Constitutions as expressed by the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 9th and 14th Amendments? 

👉Did you know that you have to choose to be an American, even if you were born and raised in this country?  

Go to: https://tasa.americanstatenationals.org/

They are trying to invade your privacy by bombarding you with Electromagnetic Radiation, non-consensual scanning, non-consensual nanotech implants and non-consensual tracking. 

Have you had enough?  Good.

We just told Donald Trump and his Administration, point blank, to shut down the whole invasive "secret" program.  It's not a secret anymore. 

No matter what the Luciferians believe, and no matter what they do, the Kingdom of the True God is ...

👉Millennials & Gen-Z are Poorer Than Ever (Here's Why)

🚨 Discover the shocking truth about the millennial wealth gap and gen z financial struggles. From housing costs to student debt, learn why younger generations face unprecedented economic challenges.

🚨 SCHIFF CHALLENGES TRUMP TO ECONOMY SHOWDOWN AFTER “LOSER” SLUR 🚨

Gold-bug economist Peter Schiff threw down the gauntlet Saturday, challenging President Trump to a live debate on U.S. economic policy after Trump blasted him on Truth Social as a “Trump-hating loser” and a “jerk” for insisting inflation is still raging. The clash lit up Crypto-Twitter because Schiff—long crypto’s most vocal critic—blames Trump’s pro-Bitcoin pivot for “accelerating the dollar’s collapse” while Trump claims “prices are coming way down”.

🔑 Key Points

🔹 Fox Trigger – Schiff’s Fox & Friends segment warned that “the real economy is going bust” despite falling gas headlines; Trump fired back that gasoline hit 1.99 in some states and accused the show of “heading in a different direction” by booking him.

🔹 Debate Dare – Within hours Schiff posted: “I challenge him, or his designee, to a debate on the U.S. economy… If I’m as wrong as he says, let him prove it,” tagging ...

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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