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Basel Committee explores how banks can mitigate permissionless blockchain risks
August 31, 2024
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The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS) published a paper exploring the risks of permissionless blockchains and how they can be addressed. Of late, the Basel Committee has emphasized that it doesn’t believe that banks can sufficiently mitigate permissionless blockchain risks. Hence, the crypto rules for banks make it very expensive for them to hold assets on permissionless blockchains, including digital securities or tokenized versions of conventional securities. Digital securities issued on permissioned blockchains are more-or-less treated like conventional securities.

Most public blockchains are permissionless. However, the Basel Committee doesn’t have such an issue with the public aspect. It’s the permissionless aspect that it sees as a bigger problem.

The paper represents the author’s views, not necessarily those of the Basel Committee. It outlines the known issues, such as the risks of a hard fork of the blockchain and lack of oversight over validators. It explores KYC, AML and CFT challenges and the lack of settlement finality on many DLTs.

That reminds us of a prediction a couple of years ago made by Custodia Bank’s Caitlin Long. “Bitcoin’s going to take a G-SIB (global systemically important bank) down at some point because they don’t understand that the settlement risk is so different between Bitcoin and traditional assets.”

One of the trickiest issues with many permissionless blockchains is the low transaction throughput, which becomes a bigger problem in a crisis when everyone is simultaneously heading for the exits.

Addressing permissionless blockchain risks

While the steps to address permissionless blockchain risks are well known, this may be the first time anyone has documented them on a useful list. We’d speculate there’s a good chance the list will become more formal. When the Basel Committee gets more comfortable with the workarounds, perhaps it might relax the permissionless rule, but only if banks engage with assets and activities that tick the boxes. From that perspective, this might be an important document.

The first step is business continuity planning (BCP) such as having an off-chain copy of the asset ownership. This could also define an alternative blockchain where the assets could be moved in a crisis.

Many institutional tokens already make use of allow listing, although deny listing is another option. Zero knowledge proofs are mentioned as one path to privacy preserving identity, although we’d favor truly decentralized identity.

Another commonly used de-risking strategy is to specify a token controller that can reverse fraudulent transactions and address other issues. That’s a concept that the crypto crowd rejects because of the trust-no-one ethos. On the other hand, the same group has an uncanny willingness to park hundreds of millions or even billions of dollars at unregulated asset managers without independent oversight. For regulated institutions, the concept of a controller is a no-brainer.

In theory, confidentiality issues can be addressed with privacy preserving Layer 2 permissioned chains. Alternatives include sidechains and various kinds of cryptography. Layer 2 chains may also address congestion issues, but they are still dependent on Layer 1 for final settlement.

Which public DLTs already qualify as permissioned?

There are quite a few public permissioned chains, although many of them don’t have huge numbers of users. The more institutional ones include IDB’s LACChain, Spain’s Alastria, EBSI and the European Public Network.

Based on the Basel Committee’s definition, we believe the public Hedera DLT qualifies as permissioned and it has a reasonable user base. The 31 corporate members of the governing council control the nodes that write to the network. Those members include the likes of Google, IBM, Shinhan Bank, Standard Bank, Worldpay, Nomura and abrdn. Another bonus is Hedera offers speedy settlement finality. However, Hedera doesn’t plan to remain permissionless indefinitely. When the council member count reaches 39 it aims to transition to being permissionless.

Circling back to the methodologies to mitigate permissionless risk, the paper concludes that “Practices for mitigating these risks are in various stages of development and have generally not been tested under stress.”

 

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1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
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BlackRock Is Manipulating The Price Of Bitcoin👀

Blackrock possess a strategic depth that goes far beyond initial appearances. When the general market perceives selling and traders respond with emotion, these major players are often operating on a much more profound level. They adeptly identify and leverage every available mechanism to influence market dynamics. Their power isn't in direct control of the asset, but in understanding how to move the market without ever taking direct ownership.

What entity has become the most prominent corporate champion of Bitcoin ($BTC)?

It's the one with the massive treasury holdings, known as Microstrategy.

 

However, the major strategic challenge lies here: the size of their Bitcoin position is fundamentally linked to their external financing, typically in the form of debt.

This reliance on significant debt creates an inherent vulnerability—a dependence on creditors and shareholders. When an entity's position is highly leveraged, that dependence makes them susceptible to market manipulation or strategic pressure from external financial forces.

When a highly leveraged corporate holder of a significant asset (like $BTC) faces external financial stress, that pressure inevitably transfers to the asset itself.

Blackrock's goal isn't to induce a market crash, but rather to establish a dominant position and control.

Any substantial sale of major cryptocurrencies like $BTC or $ETH initiated by Blackrock, can be interpreted not as routine trading, but as a deliberate effort to manipulate market sentiment and pricing.

Blackrock is deploying a sophisticated combination of tactics: they simultaneously generate market volatility through strategic sales of the asset ($BTC) while accumulating shares in key corporate holders (the stock symbolized by $MSTR).

The deeper intent is to leverage this equity stake to direct the corporate strategy of the highly leveraged Bitcoin champion.

With a sufficiently large ownership percentage, this influence becomes highly effective. The resulting market power is therefore a function of both manipulating price movement and controlling corporate policy.

Is Microstrategy (the company represented by the $MSTR stock) vulnerable to this kind of pressure? The evidence suggests yes.

A substantial stake held by Blackrock grants them effective leverage to influence and manipulate the company itself.

When the company's shares experience a significant decline, the leadership is often compelled to take action, potentially buying back their own stock. This action is driven by the fact that falling share prices directly intensify financial and market pressure on the entire organization.

If the stock of Microstrategy continues a sustained decline, lenders will inevitably begin to re-evaluate and revise the terms of existing loans. This is a critical point of failure for the entire strategy.

The fundamental operational model of this corporate champion works like a closed loop:

  • It secures debt financing (taking loans) to acquire $BTC.

  • Alternatively, it issues new equity (selling shares) to acquire $BTC.

Crucially, the ongoing interest payments on this substantial debt are often managed by the mechanism of issuing even more shares, creating a continuous cycle of dilution and reliance on a high stock price.

A major consequence of rising leverage is the escalating cost of borrowing, requiring Microstrategy to source even larger amounts of capital.

The most straightforward solution—to issue and sell more stock—proved to be insufficient.

In fact, the situation worsened: the company’s recent attempt to raise funds through a stock offering did not fully sell out. This failure directly resulted in a significant liquidity shortfall, hamstringing Microstrategy’s ability to meet its financial obligations and continue its asset acquisition strategy.

And the ultimate shock came when Microstrategy—the very entity that vowed it would never liquidate its holdings—began to sell.

These weren't insignificant trades; the sales were valued at billions of dollars.

The key question now becomes: Does this sudden, massive reversal signal the imminent collapse of Microstrategy, or is it simply a necessary, albeit drastic, maneuver of 'business as usual' under extreme duress?

There appear to be two primary strategic objectives behind Blackrock's calculated moves:

  • Scenario A (Direct Dominance): Blackrock aims to neutralize its most prominent competitor (the corporate Bitcoin accumulator) in order to seize the title as the largest holder of $BTC.

  • Scenario B (Indirect Control): The institution’s goal is to establish absolute market control and influence, preferring to leverage Microstrategy to execute the most aggressive or politically difficult actions.

The outright financial destruction of Microstrategy is highly improbable. Such an action would trigger a severe market crash that could take years to fully repair.

The far more intelligent strategy is integration and control.

Under this model, Microstrategy remains operational, while Blackrock secretly dictates strategy. This allows Microstrategy to absorb the market blame for any necessary but controversial manipulation, a classic and often dirty tactic used by high-powered financial entities.

In the immediate future, the market will continue to exhibit strong reactions to the strategic maneuvers of Blackrock.

When they execute sales, it instantly captures headlines, is aggressively amplified by the media, and causes fearful retail traders ('weak hands') to panic and exit their positions.

Every decrease in price that results from this panic directly translates into a superior entry point for Blackrock. This clearly illustrates that the current market environment is driven purely by emotion, making it a survival game reserved only for those with the strongest resolve.

In the long run, the nature of $BTC will likely shift, moving away from its original ideals of being completely free and decentralized.

The vast majority of the available supply is projected to become highly concentrated within a small number of major corporations and investment funds.

Consequently, the price cycles will no longer be reliably tied to events like halvings or popular narratives. Instead, they will be driven primarily by government and central bank policy decisions, overarching macroeconomic conditions, and the internal political maneuverings of the world's most dominant funds and corporations.

Blackrock's goal is not to eliminate $BTC; instead, they are focused on constructing an elaborate system of control around the asset.

Microstrategy (the stock symbolized by $MSTR) remains a powerful tool, but it now operates under terms and directives that the company's leadership no longer fully dictates.

Since direct command over the decentralized asset is impossible, control is established through strategic influence over the largest corporate and fund custodians. Moving forward, Blackrock will be the primary entity determining the market's trajectory.

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A Request for NASA to Release Scientific Data on 3I/ATLAS

During my recent podcast interview with Joe Rogan (accessible here), I had mentioned the unfortunate circumstances, under which NASA had not released for four weeks the images collected by the HiRISE camera onboard the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter. These images were taken on October 2–3, 2025, when the interstellar object 3I/ATLAS passed within 30 million kilometers from Mars. The images are extremely valuable scientifically because they possess a spatial resolution of 30 kilometers per pixel, about 3 times better than the spatial resolution achieved in the best publicly available image from the Hubble Space Telescope, taken on July 21, 2025 (accessible here and analyzed here). Whereas the Hubble image was taken from an edge-on perspective since Earth and the Sun were separated by only ~10 degrees relative to distant 3I/ATLAS, the HiRISE image offers a sideways perspective, valuable in decoding the mass loss geometry and glow around as it approached the Sun.

The delay in the data release was argued to be the result of the government shutdown on October 1, 2025. Nevertheless, conspiracy theorists suggested that it may have to do with evidence for extraterrestrial intelligence in the HiRISE images. When asked about it, I suggested that the delay is probably not a sign of extraterrestrial intelligence but rather of terrestrial stupidity. We should not hold science hostage to the shutdown politics of the day. The scientific community would have greatly benefited from the dissemination of this time-sensitive data as astronomers plan follow-up observations in the coming months.

Joe Rogan suggested that I contact the interim NASA administrator, Sean Duffy. The following day, I corresponded with congresswoman Anna Paulina Luna regarding a related formal request from NASA. Following our exchange, Representative Luna wrote a brilliant letter to NASA’s acting administrator Duffy.

We all owe a debt of deep gratitude for the visionary support displayed by Representative Luna to frontier science through her letter, attached below.

Avi Loeb is the head of the Galileo Project, founding director of Harvard University’s — Black Hole Initiative, director of the Institute for Theory and Computation at the Harvard-Smithsonian Center for Astrophysics, and the former chair of the astronomy department at Harvard University (2011–2020). He is a former member of the President’s Council of Advisors on Science and Technology and a former chair of the Board on Physics and Astronomy of the National Academies. He is the bestselling author of “Extraterrestrial: The First Sign of Intelligent Life Beyond Earth” and a co-author of the textbook “Life in the Cosmos”, both published in 2021. The paperback edition of his new book, titled “Interstellar”, was published in August 2024.

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New Human Force
Join this Now! YOU have what it takes!

They are in our solar system, and in our event-stream in this Eternal Now.

Officialdom is clueless.

They think we are going to be at WAR with the Aliens.

Officialdom is very stupid.

Aliens is here. It’s not WAR. It’s Contention.

There is a difference.

Officialdom is clueless, still living in the last Millennium.

Aliens is here.

The Field in which we contend is This Eternal Now.

ALL HUMANS LIVE HERE, and ONLY HERE, in this

ETERNAL NOW.

It’s a Field of potentials, of pending Manifestation, this continuous event-stream of karma in which we have always lived our body’s Life.

This Eternal Now has always been our body’s Field of Contention.

The Aliens is here, in our Eternal Now.

Our common, shared, reality that we all continuously co-create now has Aliens.

It’s getting very complex in here.

Officialdom is clueless. They see the Aliens. They are freaking out. They think you are children, when it is their small minds, trapped in a reality that is only grit, mud, and ‘random chance’ who are childish.

Officialdom is stupid. They will and are reacting badly. As is their way, they are trying to hide shit from you. Silly grit bound minds don’t realize you can see everything from within the Eternal Now. They have yet to grasp that what they perceive as this Matterium, filled with ‘matter’, is but a hardening of our previous (past) internal states of being.

WAR happens in the Matterium.

Contention occurs within this Eternal Now where Consciousness shapes the manifesting event-stream.

YOU know this to be fact. You are a co-creator.

Contention with Aliens is happening in this instant in this Eternal Now.

Officialdom ain’t doing shit. They are still stuck in trying to move matter around to affect unfolding circumstances. That’s redoing the mirror trying to affect the reflection. Dumb fucks….

It’s up to US. To the New Humans. Those of us who live in this Eternal Now. Those of us who see that our body’s Lives (the Chain that cannot be broken) are expressions of the Ontology revealing itself to itself. It’s up to us guys.

We are not an Army. That’s a concept from the past, from before the emergence of the New Humans. We are a Force. A self-organizing collective with leadership resident in each, and every participant.

We are the New Human Force. By the time officialdom starts to speak about the Aliens in near-factual terms, we will already be engaging them in this Eternal Now.

By the time officialdom begins to move matter around (space ships & such) thinking it’s War, we will already be suffering casualties in this Eternal Now. That part is inevitable. It’s how we learn.

By the time officialdom realizes that some shit is going on in places and ways beyond its conception, we will already be pushing our dominance onto our partners in this First Contention, the Aliens. Nage cannot train without Uke.

Just as officialdom is scrambling to research the Ontology, this Eternal Now, and the event-stream, we will be settling terms with our new partners, the Aliens.

Come, join with us. It’s going to be a hellacious Contention.

We ARE the NEW HUMANS!

Together we are the Force that cannot be defeated.

Start YOUR training in this instance of this Eternal NOW.

Consume Neville Goddard videos as though all of human existence depended on YOUR mind and YOUR active, effective, imaginings!

It’s not a question of Mind over Matter as there is only Mind and it cares not for Matter. That’s residue.

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💳 PayPal: 
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XRP: r9pid4yrQgs6XSFWhMZ8NkxW3gkydWNyQX
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