Shared post - Chainlink’s Leading Position in Capital Markets, Tokenized Assets, and DeFi

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Chainlink’s Leading Position in Capital Markets, Tokenized Assets, and DeFi | 2024 Highlights

December 30, 2024

2024 marks a turning point for the adoption of onchain finance in traditional markets, with Chainlink solidifying its position as the standard for verifiable data, cross-chain interoperability, and connectivity between blockchains and legacy infrastructure. This year featured several groundbreaking Chainlink product launches, solutions with some of the largest financial institutions and market infrastructures in the world, continued dominance across DeFi, substantial growth in key Chainlink programs such as Build and Scale, and much more.

For a list of Chainlink’s biggest banking and capital markets announcements, check out the blog: Chainlink’s Work With Swift, Euroclear, and Major Banking and Capital Markets Institutions.

Dominance in Banking and Capital Markets

Chainlink, Euroclear, Swift, and 6 Financial Institutions Launch AI Initiative

The industry initiative brought together Chainlink, leading financial and market infrastructures Euroclear and Swift, and some of the world’s largest financial institutions, including UBS, Franklin Templeton, Wellington Management, CACEIS, Vontobel, and Sygnum Bank to “solve a 3.1 trillion dollar unstructured data problem”.

The initiative successfully demonstrated how LLMs can be used in combination with Chainlink for near real-time data distribution of corporate actions events across three blockchain networks. Financial institutions could then use that onchain corporate actions data to build automated and programmatic workflows for increased efficiency and new product opportunities. For more information, read the full report.

DTCC Announces Launch of Smart NAV To Accelerate Fund Tokenization With Chainlink, JP Morgan, Franklin Templeton, And More

Processing $2+ quadrillion annually, The Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) is the premier post-trade market infrastructure that provides clearing, settlement, asset servicing, data management, and trade reporting around millions of security transactions each day.

The DTCC, Chainlink, and 10 of the world’s largest financial institutions, including American Trust Custody, American Century Investments, BNY Mellon, Edward Jones, Franklin Templeton, Invesco, JP Morgan, MFS, State Street, and U.S. Bank collaborated on Smart NAV to deliver key mutual fund data onchain. Smart NAV demonstrated how DTCC and Chainlink can make net asset value (NAV) data available across virtually any private/public blockchain, enabling automated data dissemination and historical data access, which unlocks a multitude of use cases around fund tokenization.

One of the key findings from the report showed how Chainlink CCIP serves as an open blockchain interoperability standard to prevent future fragmentation by providing a secure abstraction layer between DTCC and blockchains.

SBI Digital Markets, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink Unlock Automated Fund Administration and Transfer Agency

SBI Digital Markets, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink successfully completed their implementation of a tokenized fund, showcasing how tokenization, smart contracts, and Chainlink infrastructure can automate the fund management process for traditional fund administrators and transfer agents. This unlocks a fundamental shift in how the industry’s $132T global assets under management can begin to operate using blockchains.

The adoption of tokenized funds by the world’s largest asset managers has created a need for the fund administration industry to evolve into an onchain format. The UBS, SBIDM, and Chainlink solution shows how existing fund administration processes can apply to tokenized funds across multiple chains. The key insight is that existing systems already widely in use for fund administration processes can become compatible with tokenized funds once they’re made compatible with blockchains and smart contracts via Chainlink.

Swift, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink Bridge Tokenized Assets With Existing Payment Systems

Swift, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink successfully settled tokenized fund subscriptions and redemptions using the Swift network. This initiative enables digital asset transactions to settle offchain in fiat using an established payment system that’s already widely adopted by more than 11,500 financial institutions, across over 200 countries and territories.

“Our work with UBS Asset Management and Chainlink in MAS’ Project Guardian leverages the global Swift network to bridge digital assets with established systems.”—Jonathan Ehrenfeld, Head of Strategy at Swift

Swift, UBS, and Chainlink’s work proves how financial institutions can leverage blockchain technology, the Chainlink Platform, and the Swift network to settle subscriptions and redemptions for tokenized investment fund vehicles, thereby allowing the straight-through-processing of the payment leg without the need for global adoption of an onchain form of payment. This helps in the automation of the entire lifecycle of the fund redemption and subscription process.

Central Bank of Brazil Selects Chainlink Alongside Banco Inter, Microsoft Brazil, and 7COMm To Build CBDC Solution for Trade Finance

The Central Bank of Brazil (BCB) selected Banco Inter alongside Microsoft Brazil, 7COMm, and Chainlink to build a trade finance solution as part of the second phase of Brazil’s DREX—Brazil’s digital currency pilot. The solution leverages blockchain technology and the Chainlink standard to automate supply chain management and improve trade finance processes. The goal of the solution is to demonstrate the automated settlement of agricultural commodity transactions across borders, across platforms, and via different currencies.

Chainlink CCIP enables interoperability between the Central Bank of Brazil and another country’s central bank. This unlocks real-world use cases, including international agricultural commodity trade, infrastructure development, and more.

Fidelity International and Sygnum Partner With Chainlink To Bring NAV Data Onchain for Fidelity International’s $6.9 Billion Institutional Liquidity Fund

Fidelity International and Sygnum partnered with Chainlink to bring NAV data onchain for Fidelity International’s $6.9 billion Institutional Liquidity Fund. The solution provides unparalleled transparency and accessibility around key asset data for Fidelity International’s Institutional Liquidity Fund issued onchain by Sygnum.

Sygnum, a global digital asset banking group, tokenized $50 million of Matter Labs’ company treasury reserves (held in Fidelity’s International money market fund) and issued it as a token on the ZKsync blockchain (a Chainlink Scale partner).

“This is an important milestone, and it’s exciting to see the great work that’s been done with Fidelity International, Chainlink, and Matter Labs come to fruition, and we look forward to keep building an onchain ecosystem in a regulated and compliant way.”—Fatmire Bekiri, Head of Tokenization at Sygnum

ANZ Is Among the First Financial Institutions To Leverage CCIP Private Transactions for Cross-Chain Settlement of Tokenized RWAs

Chainlink CCIP Private Transactions enable confidential cross-chain transfers between private blockchain networks using the public CCIP network. CCIP Private Transactions feature a novel onchain encryption and decryption protocol, which empowers institutional cross-chain transactions across multiple private chains while keeping the transaction details including data, token amounts, and counterparties entirely private.

ANZ—an Australian bank with over A$1 trillion in AUM—is among the first financial institutions leveraging this capability for cross-chain settlement of tokenized real-world assets (RWAs) under the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) Project Guardian initiative.

“Chainlink’s new cross-chain privacy capabilities have the potential to further accelerate institutional blockchain adoption by enabling end-to-end privacy between blockchain networks.”—Nigel Dobson, Banking Services Lead at ANZ

ADDX, ANZ, and Chainlink Introduce Privacy-Enabled Cross-Chain, Cross-Border Connectivity for Tokenized Commercial Paper

ADDX, in collaboration with ANZ and Chainlink, presented a solution focused on the entire asset lifecycle of tokenized commercial paper for cross-border transactions. The solution leverages ADDX’s investment platform, ANZ’s Digital Asset Services, and Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP), including its recently announced Private Transactions capability.

“By leveraging Chainlink CCIP for secure and compliant blockchain interoperability, this use case showcases the utility of tokenized financial assets within a regulated environment.”—Inmoo Hwang, Co-Founder and Group CFO at ADDX

For this solution, the participants selected commercial paper as the candidate asset class. The short duration of the commercial paper makes it possible to showcase the entire asset lifecycle, from issuance and subscription to settlement and redemption. This transaction shows that regulated financial entities can securely tokenize and execute digital asset transactions using their existing systems while staying within the regulatory frameworks that ensure the integrity of financial markets.

Bancolombia Group’s Wenia Taps Chainlink To Increase Transparency of Its Stablecoin Backed 1:1 By The Colombian Peso

Wenia—the new digital asset company from the Bancolombia Group, one of the largest financial conglomerates in Latin America—is live and in production using Chainlink Proof of Reserve (PoR) to bring end-to-end transparency to the Colombian Peso reserves backing its COPW stablecoin.

Through this collaboration, COPW users on the Wenia platform gain access to Chainlink’s secure and reliable onchain PoR data, enhancing visibility into the reserves backing the stablecoin. In addition, Chainlink PoR is integrated directly into the stablecoin’s minting function, helping to protect users against the risk of infinite mint attacks where additional COPW is issued without sufficient available reserves.

Growing Momentum in the Tokenized Asset Industry

$3T+ AUM Fund Administrator Apex Group Is Leveraging Chainlink Infrastructure for Tokenized Assets

$3T+ AUM fund administrator Apex Group is leveraging Chainlink’s infrastructure for tokenized assets. Apex Group and Chainlink are collaborating to help fund managers use CCIP, Data Feeds, and Proof of Reserve to enhance asset liquidity, utility, and transparency.

21Shares Leverages the Chainlink Standard to Increase Transparency for Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs and 21BTC

Throughout 2024, 21Shares, an affiliate of 21.co, one of the world’s largest issuers of crypto exchange-traded products (ETPs), announced multiple integrations of the Chainlink standard.

21Shares integrated Chainlink Proof of Reserve to increase the transparency of the ARKB Bitcoin ETF, issued in collaboration with ARK Invest.
21Shares integrated Chainlink PoR to increase the transparency of the 21Shares Core Ethereum ETF (CETH).
21.co integrated Chainlink PoR to help verify reserves and secure minting for its wrapped Bitcoin product, 21BTC.

21X, Europe’s First Tokenized Securities Trading and Settlement System, Is Adopting the Chainlink Standard

Europe’s first tokenized securities trading and settlement system, 21X, is adopting the Chainlink standard. Chainlink Price Feeds will underpin 21X’s trading engine and CCIP will connect it to assets across the onchain economy.

21X, soon to launch the first EU-regulated financial market infrastructure (FMI) for order matching, trading, settlement, and registry services for tokenized money and securities, announced that it has signed a strategic partnership with Chainlink. Through this collaboration, 21X’s onchain trading, matching, and settlement system will leverage the Chainlink standard to enrich tokenized assets with high-quality data and facilitate cross-chain interoperability. 

“We will launch 21X in Q1 2025 on a public permissionless blockchain and look forward to making a variety of tokenized assets accessible to our clients and prospects through CCIP. In addition, Chainlink will provide secure and accurate price data feeds for listed products on 21X.”—Max Heinzle, Founder and CEO of 21X

Coinbase’s Project Diamond Strategically Integrates the Chainlink Standard To Scale Institutional Adoption of Digital Assets

Coinbase’s Project Diamond—a compliant digital asset platform for global institutions—is adopting the Chainlink standard as infrastructure for powering the full lifecycle management of tokenized assets. With Chainlink natively integrated into the Project Diamond platform, asset issuers and fund managers have a secure and compliant solution to quickly scale their tokenized assets across public and private blockchains through verifiable data connectivity.

Chainlink CCIP is enabling new assets on Coinbase’s Project Diamond platform to become interoperable with public or private blockchains. Chainlink Functions enriches these assets with high-quality, real-world data, no matter which chain they move across via CCIP. The integration of the Chainlink standard will also enhance the existing Coinbase Project Diamond implementation for Abu Dhabi Global Market’s (ADGM) RegLab.

Emirates NBD welcomes Chainlink to Digital Asset Lab

Emirates NBD, a ~$260B AUM banking group in the Middle East, North Africa, and Türkiye (MENAT) region, announced Chainlink as the fifth member of its Digital Asset Lab. Chainlink will join other founding members, including PwC, Fireblocks, R3, and Chainalysis.

Chainlink’s membership will play a key role in advancing the Digital Asset Lab’s mission to create innovative solutions in digital finance. The Chainlink standard will help support the adoption of digital assets in the region via verifiable data and cross-chain interoperability.

“With Chainlink Labs’ expertise in onchain finance, we are confident this partnership will drive new advancements in tokenisation and digital asset management, reinforcing Emirates NBD’s position as a regional leader in financial innovation.”—Miguel Rio Tinto, Group Chief Digital and Information Officer at Emirates NBD

Chainlink Labs Establishes Presence in Abu Dhabi Global Market

Chainlink Labs announced that it is expanding its presence in the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region, including setting up an office and establishing an entity in Abu Dhabi under the Registration Authority of ADGM.

Chainlink Labs plans to utilize its local presence to expand its network of strategic partnerships with financial market infrastructures and financial institutions, better serve its global ecosystem, and continue to build key relationships in the region as demand for tokenized assets surges.

Backed, Sonic, and Chainlink Partner with Fortlake Asset Management for Landmark Fund Tokenization Solution

Fortlake Asset Management—a fund manager backed by JP Morgan—is launching a tokenized fund on Sonic, which is facilitated by Backed and powered by the Chainlink standard. Chainlink CCIP and SmartData will be key drivers of the fund’s utility and adoption.

The fund is being tokenized by Backed, creating permissionless tokens that are collateralized 1 to 1 by fund units, with the price tied to the real-time net asset value (NAV). Chainlink SmartData will deliver NAV data of the underlying fund shares onchain, Chainlink Proof of Reserve will help verify collateralization and AUM, and Chainlink CCIP will enable seamless cross-chain liquidity and operations.

Fireblocks and Chainlink Labs Announce Strategic Collaboration To Accelerate Regulated Stablecoin Issuance

Fireblocks and Chainlink Labs have entered into a strategic collaboration to accelerate regulated stablecoin issuance. Fireblocks and Chainlink will provide a secure and compliant technology solution for banks and financial institutions to issue and transact with stablecoins across global financial markets.

The technology solution plans to support end-to-end tokenization capabilities for stablecoin issuers, including issuance, data synchronization, data connectivity and enrichment, compliance, custody, interoperability, and distribution. This integrated offering will give issuing agents a single, comprehensive, real-time view of stablecoins, reserves, market value, and total supply, including across different blockchains.

SOOHO.IO and Chainlink Announce Strategic Partnership To Explore Tokenized Asset and CBDC Use Cases in South Korea, Japan, Thailand, and Other Asian Markets

Blockchain financial technology company SOOHO.IO announced a strategic partnership with Chainlink to accelerate the development of tokenized assets and CBDC use cases in emerging digital markets across Asia, particularly in Korea, Japan, and Thailand.

The partnership will focus on utilizing Chainlink to support the adoption of blockchain technology by financial institutions, with a specific emphasis on leveraging Chainlink CCIP for cross-chain asset transfers, Chainlink Proof of Reserve for verification of prepaid settlement reserves, and Chainlink oracles for provisioning NAV data onchain.

“Chainlink has become the industry standard for tokenization use cases. This partnership will allow us to work extensively with Chainlink in the Asia region, addressing the needs of financial institutions and creating fundamental solutions for the digital asset industry.”—Jisoo Park, CEO of SOOHO.IO

Superstate Integrates Chainlink Infrastructure To Enhance the Transparency and Utility of the USTB Tokenized Fund

Superstate, an asset management firm modernizing investing through tokenized financial products, integrated Chainlink Data Feeds into its tokenized treasury fund—the Superstate Short Duration US Government Securities Fund (USTB). Specifically, Superstate integrated Chainlink for onchain NAV data to enhance the transparency and utility of USTB. Additionally, Superstate plans to integrate Chainlink Proof of Reserve to further enhance onchain verification of its AUM data.

The integration of Chainlink brings numerous benefits to USTB, including real-time transparency of its reserves, democratized access, and opportunities for the fund to be composable and programmable within collateralized lending, asset management, and market making.

Arta TechFin and Chainlink Labs Expand Digital Asset Collaboration in Hong Kong

Arta TechFin, a Hong Kong-based financial services platform, expanded its partnership with Chainlink Labs around fund tokenization. The ARTA-Chainlink solution aims to bring a wide variety of key asset data onchain and across different blockchains, helping meet the needs of asset owners and financial institutions in Hong Kong and abroad that are seeking greater levels of accessibility to the digital asset space for their clients. The partnership brings a much-needed market standard for originating, distributing, trading, and keeping custody of tokenized assets.

Extensive Adoption in DeFi

Scaling Lido and Other (Re)Staking Protocols Expand Cross-Chain via Chainlink CCIP

Lido, a leading liquid staking protocol, integrated CCIP to power the new Lido Direct Staking rails, enabling users to stake their ETH directly from other blockchain networks and receive wstETH, starting with support for Arbitrum, Base, and Optimism. The new Lido Direct Staking rails are being adopted by various DeFi frontends, including XSwap, OpenOcean, and Interport.

In addition to Lido, a growing number of protocols are also integrating Chainlink CCIP to go cross-chain and enable the staking/restaking of ETH from layer-2 networks:

Diva (divETH)
EigenPie (egETH)
Frax (sfrxETH)
Gravita (gravETH)
Origin (oETH)
StakeStone (STONE)
Vaultcraft (wstETH)

For more information on how CCIP is helping (re)staking protocols scale, read the full announcement blog: Scaling (Re)Staking Protocols Cross-Chain With CCIP.

Donald Trump-Inspired World Liberty Financial Adopts the Chainlink Standard To Accelerate the Mass Adoption of DeFi

Trump-supported World Liberty Financial (WLFI) selected the Chainlink standard to support its planned launch of the World Liberty Financial Aave v3 instance. Chainlink Price Feeds will provide the WLFI Protocol with a secure and reliable source of financial market data, crucial to enabling lending/borrowing markets as part of WLFI’s Aave v3 instance.

Chainlink’s track record of successfully keeping Aave’s markets secure for over 5 years without losing user value was a main factor in WLFI choosing Chainlink. WFLI plans to leverage additional capabilities of Chainlink in the future, such as CCIP for cross-chain interoperability, Proof of Reserve for RWAs, and more.

Aave’s GHO Stablecoin Goes Live on Arbitrum Powered by Chainlink CCIP

The Aave DAO launched its stablecoin GHO, the multi-collateralized stablecoin native to the Aave Protocol, on the Arbitrum network—marking the DAO’s first new market in its phased GHO cross-chain expansion strategy powered by CCIP.

For secure cross-chain transfers between Ethereum and non-Ethereum chains like Arbitrum, GHO uses a lock-and-mint model enabled by CCIP, in which tokens are locked on Ethereum while an equivalent amount is minted on the other network, keeping the total supply constant. Transfers between non-Ethereum chains will use a burn-and-mint model enabled by CCIP for maximum capital efficiency and fungibility while still being backed by reserves on Ethereum. This ensures security and flexibility for GHO’s future expansion across multiple blockchains.

Telefónica Integrates Chainlink Functions To Help Smart Contracts Detect Unauthorized SIM Card Changes

Telefónica, a Spanish multinational telecommunications company, leveraged Chainlink Functions to enable developers to connect any API on the GSMA Open Gateway to the Polygon blockchain. GSMA Open Gateway is a global telecoms industry initiative led by the GSMA, which introduced a suite of standardized Telco APIs that bring pioneering Telco capabilities to the Web3 ecosystem.

The first GSMA Open Gateway API, SIM SWAP—introduced in Brazil by the carrier Vivo (Telefónica Brazil)—is leveraging Chainlink Functions to enable the verification of data from various sources. This integration not only enhances transaction security but also introduces an extra layer of security to blockchain transactions by enabling smart contracts to make information requests to the API to ensure that a device’s SIM card has not undergone any unauthorized changes. Using the GSMA Open Gateway API via Chainlink can also help mitigate risk beyond transaction security, addressing two-factor authentication (2FA) and fraud detection in Web3 apps and DeFi services.

BTCFi Ecosystem Increasingly Adopting the Chainlink Standard

Solv Protocol, one of the largest Bitcoin staking platforms, is adopting the Chainlink standard for data and cross-chain solutions. Solv integrated Chainlink CCIP across the Arbitrum, Avalanche, BNB Chain, and Ethereum mainnets to facilitate cross-chain transfers of SolvBTC, SolvBTC.BBN, and SolvBTC.ENA. Solv is also integrating Chainlink Price Feeds and Proof of Reserve to enhance the liquidity, utility, and transparency of its tokenized assets.

“A secure BTCFi ecosystem needs robust and battle-tested infrastructure, which is why integrating Chainlink was an obvious choice.”–Ryan Chow, Solv Protocol Founder

Solv is one of many BTCFi projects adopting the Chainlink standard. Others include: 21BTC, B2 Network, Babypie, Bedrock, Bitlayer, Botanix Labs, dlcBTC, FBTC, Lombard, Lorenzo, and PumpBTC.

GMX-Solana Adopts Chainlink Data Streams As Official Data Oracle Solution on Solana

As part of the launch of Chainlink Data Streams on Solana, GMX-Solana—a community-driven sister project bringing the GMX V2 protocol to Solana—adopted Chainlink Data Streams as its official data oracle solution. Chainlink Data Streams help secure execution prices, funding rate calculations, liquidations, and other features on GMX-Solana that require secure, low-latency market data. As part of the integration, 1.2% of total protocol fees generated by GMX-Solana will be paid to Chainlink service providers in exchange for using Chainlink Data Streams.

“Since the initial launch of GMX V2 powered by Chainlink Data Streams, the low-latency oracle solution has enabled $64.84 billion in transaction volume for GMX. The success of this collaboration between the GMX and Chainlink communities made choosing Chainlink Data Streams as the oracle solution powering GMX-Solana an obvious choice.” —GMX-Solana

Key Chainlink Product Announcements in 2024

To get an in-depth look at all the product innovations in 2024, check the Chainlink Q1 Product Update, Q2 Product Update, and SmartCon Recap blogs. Below are the key highlights.

Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE)

The Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE) is a major upgrade to the Chainlink Platform, designed to scale Chainlink across thousands of blockchains, meet the growing demand from financial institutions, and empower developers to build with Chainlink faster, more easily, and with more reach and flexibility than ever before.

Underpinning this initiative is a deep re-architecture of the Chainlink Platform. Drawing inspiration from microservices architecture, the Chainlink node software utilized by decentralized oracle networks (DONs) is being broken down into distinct, modular capabilities (e.g., read chain, perform consensus, etc.) that are each secured by independent DONs. Developers can seamlessly combine these capabilities in any number of ways into executable workflows that run via the newly developed Chainlink Runtime Environment (CRE)—the system of DON-based capabilities, DON-to-DON communications, capability orchestration, and code execution on which workflows run with the appropriate consensus model.

Read the full announcement blog post to learn more about how CRE will enable more purpose-built financial apps for capital markets.

Chainlink CCIP Enters General Availability, Launched Cross-Chain Token (CCT) Standard, and Supported Numerous New Features

Chainlink CCIP entered general availability (GA), meaning any developer can permissionlessly use CCIP to securely transfer onboarded tokens cross-chain, send arbitrary messages to smart contracts on another integrated blockchain, or simultaneously send data and value together through CCIP’s unique support for Programmable Token Transfers.

CCIP also introduced the Cross-Chain Token (CCT) standard, which are cross-chain native tokens secured by CCIP. CCTs support self-serve deployments, full control and ownership for developers, enhanced programmability, and zero-slippage transfers—all backed by CCIP’s industry-standard defense-in-depth security. Notably, CCTs do not require token developers to inherit any CCIP-specific code within their token’s smart contract.

CCIP also introduced a variety of new features such as:

Lock and Unlock Support—A new token transfer mechanism, which complements the existing “burn and mint” and “lock and mint” methods of transfer.
Updated pricing model—CCIP is now one of the most cost-efficient options for securely and reliably transferring a wide range of tokens and messages cross-chain.
CCIP Local Simulator—The CCIP Local Simulator enables developers to quickly build and iterate on their cross-chain dApps, reducing CCIP message and token transfer times during the building phase from 10+ minutes to less than a second. You can install and start building using the CCIP Local Simulator today by visiting the Chainlink GitHub.
Transporter—A hyper-secure and intuitive bridging app built in association with the Chainlink Foundation, with support from Chainlink Labs. Transporter enables anyone to easily and securely transfer their token cross-chain via CCIP. Start using Transporter today.
Token Developer Attestation—Token developers will be able to add additional external verifiers to their CCTs, enabling them to participate in the cross-chain verification process of their tokens.
CCIP Token Manager—A new intuitive front-end web interface for token developers to seamlessly register, configure, and manage CCTs and token pools across multiple blockchain networks, including no-code, guided token deployments.
CCIP SDK—A new software development kit that streamlines the process of integrating CCIP by allowing developers to use JavaScript to create a token transfer frontend dApp.
Refreshed CCIP Explorer—A new, unified design and improved navigation of the CCIP Explorer makes for a more seamless and intuitive developer experience.

Chainlink Platform Privacy Suite: Blockchain Privacy Manager, CCIP Private Transactions, and DECO Sandbox

Chainlink further innovated on a suite of privacy solutions that solve different privacy concerns for institutions and Web3 developers.

The Blockchain Privacy Manager for privacy of data entering and leaving blockchains: The Blockchain Privacy Manager enables institutions to integrate the public Chainlink Platform and their existing systems with private blockchain networks while limiting onchain data exposure.
CCIP Private Transactions for privacy of cross-chain transactions: CCIP Private Transactions leverages the Blockchain Privacy Manager and a novel onchain encryption/decryption protocol to enable institutions to transact across multiple private blockchains using the public CCIP network, while keeping the transaction details fully confidential.
DECO for privacy for onchain data: DECO enables statements about offchain data to be shared onchain without revealing the underlying data. The Chainlink DECO Sandbox has been opened to the public, providing developers with access to DECO, the foundational zkTLS-oracle technology for authenticating and verifying web data in a privacy-preserving manner.

If your organization is interested in adopting the Blockchain Privacy Manager and/or CCIP Private Transactions, reach out to an expert below.

Talk with an expert

Chainlink Digital Assets Sandbox

The Chainlink Digital Assets Sandbox (DAS) was launched to accelerate digital asset innovation within financial institutions. With the DAS alongside expert support and consultancy services provided by Chainlink Labs, financial institutions can now go from the start of their digital asset journey to having completed a successful PoC in days, not months, saving them not only time and resources but also realizing business impact much faster.

The Chainlink DAS provides institutions with access to ready-to-use business workflows for digital assets. For example, institutions can use the Chainlink DAS across multiple blockchain testnets to digitize a traditional bond by converting it into digital tokens and enabling these tokens to be traded and settled on a Delivery versus Payment (DvP) basis, along with many other real-world examples involving a variety of financial instruments across their entire life cycles.

Start building digital asset use cases

Smart Value Recapture (SVR): A Chainlink-Powered MEV Recapture Solution For DeFi

Chainlink introduced Smart Value Recapture (SVR) —a novel oracle solution designed to enable DeFi applications to recapture the non-toxic Maximal Extractable Value (MEV) derived from their use of Chainlink Price Feeds. The initial version of Chainlink SVR was built in collaboration with BGD Labs, Flashbots, and other contributors to the Aave DAO and will initially focus on enabling DeFi lending protocols to recapture oracle-related MEV from liquidations.

Built on top of Chainlink infrastructure, SVR systematically reduces unnecessary third-party dependencies and eliminates the need to integrate intermediary smart contracts, making it a very minimal lift for existing Chainlink Price Feed users to adopt SVR. The value recaptured by SVR not only provides DeFi protocols with a new revenue stream, but can be used to promote the long-term economic sustainability of Chainlink oracles, ultimately ensuring DeFi protocols maintain access to highly secure and reliable oracles. The integration of Chainlink SVR by the Aave community is currently undergoing governance approval and can be read on the Aave forum.

Chainlink Automation 2.0

Chainlink Automation 2.0 launched in production, enabling developers to offload any smart contract computation offchain in a verifiable and ultra-reliable manner. Chainlink Automation 2.0 allowed development teams to automate even the most intricate Web3 use cases, saving up to 90% in gas costs in the process.

Chainlink Automation is powered by decentralized and verifiable offchain computing with the highest standard of cryptographic guarantees. Automation 2.0 also features an expanded set of triggers, unlocking new ways to connect multiple dApps. For example, Automation now enables smart contracts to react to log events emitted onchain, acting as a powerful messaging bus that’s similar to the pub/sub messaging bus used to connect microservices in Web2.

Chainlink Ecosystem Moments in 2024

The Chainlink ecosystem has continued to gain dominance, with notable growth across several key metrics, including:

$18.2T+ in transaction value enabled
15.7B+ total verified messages
7 new Chainlink Scale members (15+ total)
42 new Chainlink Build members (100+ total)
15 new canonical CCIP integrations
140 new Data Streams markets
150 community events
18K+ hackathon signups and 378 submitted projects
30+ workshops

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thedinarian@thedinarian

1 hour ago

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thedinarian@thedinarian

August 17, 2025

Pyth Network (PYTH) To Rally Higher? This Emerging Fractal Setup Saying Yes!

The cryptocurrency market is undergoing a healthy cooldown as Ethereum (ETH) eases to $4,440 from its recent peak of $4,780. The pullback has weighed on most major altcoins — including Pyth Network (PYTH) — which is down about 5% over the past week.

But while the short-term dip might look discouraging, PYTH’s chart is showing something far more interesting: a price structure that mirrors the exact same bullish breakout pattern that sent Skale (SKL) soaring by triple digits earlier this month.

PYTH Mirrors SKL’s Breakout Structure

A glance at SKL’s daily chart reveals a textbook falling wedge formation — a well-known bullish reversal pattern. Once SKL broke above the wedge and printed a higher high followed by a higher low, it flipped both the 200-day and 100-day moving averages into firm support. That technical shift triggered a 148% rally in just days.

PYTH appears to be tracing the same path.

Like SKL, PYTH has already broken out from its falling wedge and formed a higher high and higher low. It is now consolidating just beneath a critical confluence of resistance, with the 100-day MA at $0.1235 and the 200-day MA at $0.1481 — a setup eerily similar to SKL’s pre-breakout structure.

What’s Next for PYTH?

For the bullish fractal to fully play out, PYTH will need to close decisively above the $0.1235–$0.1481 zone, ideally on rising volume. A confirmed breakout could open the door to the first upside target of $0.21, representing roughly 78% potential gains from current levels.

However, confirmation is key. Until PYTH clears these moving average hurdles, it remains vulnerable to extended consolidation or even a false breakout. Still, the fractal similarity to SKL is hard to overlook — and if history repeats, PYTH bulls could be on the verge of a major move.

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thedinarian@thedinarian

August 16, 2025

Deep Dive into Pyth Network 💎💎💎💎💎

👉From November 2024😉

What are Oracles?

Blockchains in and of themselves are useful already, for trustless and permissionless transactions without censorship. No trust or verification from the user is required because it is stored on a decentralised ledger with global consensus. What if certain transactions require reliable and real-time data from external sources that do not necessarily have a global consensus or can be stored on the same ledger? For example:

Products that rely on price feeds of assets from other blockchains or real-world markets: Many decentralized finance (DeFi) applications, like decentralized exchanges or lending platforms, need accurate and timely information about asset prices (e.g., stocks, cryptocurrencies, commodities). Since these prices are continuously changing in real-world markets, blockchains need a way to securely access this off-chain data.
Products that require verifiable and secure random numbers: Randomness is crucial for a variety of blockchain use cases, such as lotteries, gaming, and even secure cryptographic protocols. However, generating truly random numbers on-chain is challenging without introducing bias or predictability. Off-chain randomness, when provided by a reliable source, is often needed.
Products dependent on historical price data: Some DeFi platforms and financial products might need access to archived price data for risk assessment, backtesting trading strategies, or offering historical analysis. Since blockchains primarily focus on storing current state information, they need external sources to provide this historical data efficiently.

To address these challenges, Oracles were introduced. Oracles serve as bridges between blockchains and the external world, providing smart contracts with access to off-chain data. They connect external data providers—such as market data owners, web APIs, or IoT devices—to decentralized applications across multiple blockchains. Oracles enable these applications to securely and reliably obtain real-time data, execute transactions based on external events, and interact with data that cannot be directly stored on-chain.

Why can this data be trusted? Oracles provide a robust mechanism for ensuring the integrity and reliability of off-chain data before it is used on the blockchain. An oracle network verifies the:

Authenticity: To ensure that the data is genuine and comes from a legitimate source, oracle networks source data from multiple trusted providers or verifiable APIs. This process reduces the risk of malicious or false information being introduced into smart contracts.
Accuracy: Accurate data is crucial for smart contracts to function correctly. Oracles achieve this by aggregating data from several independent sources. Instead of relying on a single provider, an oracle network will query multiple data sources and compare their responses.
Reliability: Oracle networks enhance reliability by using decentralized nodes, which increases resilience against failures or malicious activity. If one data source or node fails or provides incorrect information, the other nodes in the network can continue to operate and provide valid data.

The demand for accurate and reliable off-chain data is growing as the number of real-world use-cases and adoption of blockchain increases. Users of applications are more than willing to pay for an oracle service that is accurate and reliable and covers a large variety of use-cases.

Pyth Network versus Other Oracles

Read the blog post of Battle of the Oracles to learn more about the different oracles solutions. To recap, Pyth Network is a high-frequency oracle leveraging Solana's technology, offering a robust solution for off-chain data sharing for primarily decentralized finance applications (DeFi). It provides services like real-time price feeds and benchmarks, accessible to a wide range of financial service providers. PYTH is the governance token and utility token of the Pyth Network. Supply and demand for the PYTH token is directly related to level of usage and total demand of Pyth’s services and Pyth Network’s Tokenomics.

Total Value Secured by Oracles

While Chainlink holds the lion’s share of the total value secured by oracles, Pyth has shown by far the largest growth in terms of TVS, number of protocols supported and number of DApps. Pyth is expanding rapidly, across different networks and protocols, supporting more DApps, data providers and integration partners every day. In the same time frame, Chainlink’s marketshare has decreased. Comparing the main metrics of MCAP/TVS ratio and MCAP/TTV ratio, we notice that based on market capitalization (circulating supply), Pyth is undervalued whereas the TVS ratio based on fully diluted value paints a different picture. This is because only 37% of PYTH tokens are unlocked, the next significant PYTH token unlock takes place in May of 2025 and happens yearly thereafter on the same date until the full amount of tokens has been unlocked by 2027.

Use-cases Enabled by Pyth

Products and Services:

Price Feeds: real-time market data for smart contracts, blockchains, and applications
Benchmarks: historical market data for smart contracts, blockchains, and applications
Express Relay: smart contracts or protocols that need protection against MEV (Express Relay) Express Relay is one of a kind product that offers developers to auction off valuable transactions directly to MEV searchers without validator interference
Entropy: smart contracts that require secure on-chain random numbers. Secure and verifiable random numbers are incredibly important for creating a fair and unpredictable on-chain actions (e.g., for games)
Pyth DAO Governance model

Examples:

Decentralised Exchanges (DEXs) require reliable real-time price feeds to provide users accurate trades.
Pyth’s data pull model provides data directly from the source, such as exchanges, market makers or DeFi protocols. Because data is pulled only on demand and not pushed at a given interval, it scales efficiently, and costs are offloaded to users where updates are demand-based.

Case Study: Drift (DEX)

Refresher: What is a DEX?

Decentralized Exchange (DEX) allows users to trade cryptocurrencies directly, without intermediaries, using smart contracts on a blockchain. DEXes operate peer-to-peer, providing greater privacy and control over assets compared to centralized exchanges.

There are two main types of DEXes:

Order Book DEXes: These platforms match buy and sell orders using a live order book, similar to traditional exchanges. Examples include dYdX.
Automated Market Makers (AMMs): AMMs use liquidity pools and algorithms to determine asset prices, allowing users to trade instantly without needing a counterparty. Examples include Uniswap and SushiSwap.

Context

Drift is a perpetual trading DEX built on Solana. Speed, reliability, and performance make or break a perpetual trading ecosystem. Drift is a perpetual trading platform that allows traders to create leveraged positions against the performance of synthetic assets.

Why Pyth?

Drift seeks to offer the most feature-rich, powerful perpetual DEX with lightning-fast execution. This ambition necessitates a robust Oracle solution. Legacy oracles are slow and susceptible to front and back running.

Pyth and Drift partnered to rapidly deploy a proof-of-concept. This successful relationship satisfies the ultra-fast network requirements of Drift’s execution tools and is capable of supporting thousands of users and hundreds of assets.

This is only one of many examples of an effective partnership and integration that gives Web3 users an enhanced user experience than DApps that use other Oracle solutions. There are presently over 410 integration partners supporting the transition from push to pull Oracles with Pyth Networks.

Pyth versus Chainlink

We compare Chainlink and Pyth Network with two main metrics: Total Value Secured (TVS) and Total Transaction Volume (TTV)

Total Value Secured

Pyth’s Total Value Secured (TVS) is more distributed across different blockchains and applications compared to Chainlink, offering greater resilience and diversification. Here's how the comparison breaks down:

Blockchain Distribution: Pyth’s TVS shows a broader spread across multiple blockchains. For instance, only 61.1% of Pyth’s TVS is concentrated on the Solana blockchain, which means the remaining value is distributed across other blockchains, contributing to its decentralized footprint. In contrast, 97.1% of Chainlink’s TVS is concentrated on Ethereum, creating a higher dependence on a single blockchain. This heavy reliance on Ethereum makes Chainlink more vulnerable to network-specific issues, such as scalability concerns or market downturns affecting Ethereum.
Application Distribution: Pyth also demonstrates a healthier diversification across different applications. Only 23.8% of Pyth’s TVS is tied to its top application, meaning the remaining value is distributed among various other applications. This broader application spread lowers the risk of one dominant app affecting the network’s overall performance. Chainlink, however, has 48.8% of its TVS tied to its top application, meaning nearly half of its secured value relies on a single application. This concentration creates a potential single point of failure, making Chainlink more sensitive to shifts in the usage or success of that key application.

Pyth's more balanced distribution of TVS across different blockchains and applications enhances its resilience. With a healthier spread of its value, Pyth is better positioned to withstand market fluctuations or downturns that may affect individual blockchains or applications, making it less exposed to risks associated with dependency on any single network or product. This diversified approach gives Pyth a structural advantage in terms of long-term stability and adaptability.

Total Transaction Volume

Another, perhaps better, metric to measure the true market share and usage of an Oracle network is TTV (Total Transaction Volume). TTV is strongly correlated with the frequency of oracle price updates and therefore oracle revenue and true demand for its products and services. TVS can overstate or understate an application’s demand for price updates, because an application could have a disproportionate amount of locked value relative to the amount of Oracle interactions one would expect to observe.

Chainlink, the traditional market leader of oracle networks, is losing ground after being slow to serve customers needing faster data updates, though they've recently launched a new high-speed service. Pyth has become a successful competitor by focusing on rapid data delivery across multiple platforms, making it easier for financial applications to access real-time price information. Large trading platforms are increasingly building their own internal price tracking systems rather than paying external providers, suggesting cost is a major factor in their decisions.

The key to future success in digital trading will be speed - traditional exchanges currently have an advantage with their centralized systems, but new platforms are starting to close this gap by developing faster price update capabilities.

Pyth Network Governance

The Pyth Network operates a decentralized governance system that empowers the community by allowing all PYTH token holders to have a direct say in the network's development and decision-making processes. This decentralized governance model ensures that control of the network is distributed among its users, promoting transparency and inclusion.

To participate in governance, token holders must stake their PYTH tokens through the Pyth staking program. By staking their tokens, users gain the ability to vote on community governance proposals, ensuring that they have a voice in the key decisions shaping the future of the Pyth Network.

In addition to voting, any PYTH token holder has the right to submit proposals to the Pyth DAO, provided they meet the requirement of holding and staking at least 0.25% of the total PYTH tokens staked. The proposals that can be brought to the DAO are diverse and impact many critical aspects of the network's functionality, including:

Determining the size of update fees: Proposals can influence the fees charged for updates to the network, ensuring that they remain fair and competitive.
Reward distribution mechanisms for publishers: The community can vote on how rewards are allocated to data publishers, ensuring that those contributing accurate and reliable data are fairly compensated.
Approving software updates across blockchains: The Pyth Network operates across multiple blockchains, and governance participants have the power to approve essential updates to on-chain programs, ensuring the network remains up to date and secure.
Listing price feeds and determining their reference data: Token holders can vote on which price feeds are listed on Pyth, as well as set the technical parameters for these feeds, such as the number of decimal places in the prices and the reference exchanges used to determine the data.
Selecting data publishers: The governance system allows the community to permission publishers, or select which entities are allowed to provide data for each price feed. This ensures that only trusted and verified data sources are contributing to the network.

Conclusion

The Pyth Network stands out as a disruptive force in the decentralized oracle space, rapidly growing across protocols and blockchains and setting new standards for both data speed and diversification. Leveraging Solana technology, Pyth brings high-frequency, real-time market data directly from first-party sources—including exchanges and trading firms—to an expanding universe of DeFi and TradFi applications. Compared to its primary competitors, Pyth demonstrates healthier resilience by distributing its Total Value Secured across multiple blockchains and applications, reducing dependencies and systemic risk.

Recent market trends show Pyth gaining ground in metrics like Total Transaction Volume, challenging traditional leaders like Chainlink and reflecting a broader shift toward fast, reliable, and diversified data solutions in decentralized finance. Its innovative approach—such as direct publisher sourcing, sub-second updates, and auditable aggregation—addresses the needs of financial markets with unique precision and transparency.

Ultimately, for developers, institutions, and investors seeking reliable off-chain data with speed and global reach, Pyth Network is quickly becoming a cornerstone oracle solution—and its trajectory signals a new era of dynamic, decentralized connectivity for global finance.

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thedinarian@thedinarian

August 02, 2025

Understanding the Crypto Alt Season

The next altcoin season is poised to ignite the crypto market, promising to turn savvy investors' portfolios into goldmines. As Bitcoin's dominance wanes, a new era of blockchain innovation is dawning—are you ready to ride the wave?

Market behavior often exhibits distinct patterns and cycles. One such phenomenon that has captured the attention of traders and investors alike is the "Alt Season"—a period when alternative cryptocurrencies, or "altcoins," outperform Bitcoin and experience significant price surges.

The concept of market cycles and seasonality is not unique to crypto; it's a well-established principle in traditional financial markets. However, in volatile crypto space, these cycles can be more pronounced and occur with greater frequency.

In this article, we’ll try to cover these and other topics:

The nature and characteristics of Alt Seasons
The importance of recognizing market cycles in cryptocurrency trading
Alt Season indicators and how to interpret them
Predictions and speculatins about the next potential Alt Season

What Is Crypto Alt Season?

Crypto Alt Season, short for "Alternative Cryptocurrency Season," refers to a period in the cryptocurrency market when alternative cryptocurrencies (altcoins) significantly outperform Bitcoin in terms of price appreciation. During an Alt Season:

Many altcoins experience rapid price increases.
The market share of altcoins grows relative to Bitcoin.
Trading volume for altcoins typically increases.
Investor attention shifts from Bitcoin to various altcoin projects.

An Alt Season can last anywhere from a few weeks to several months. It's often characterized by increased risk appetite among investors, who are willing to allocate more capital to smaller, potentially higher-risk crypto projects in search of higher returns.

Is Crypto Season the Same As Crypto Alt Season?

While related, Crypto Season and Crypto Alt Season are not exactly the same:

Crypto Season:
- Refers to a broader bullish period in the entire cryptocurrency market.
- Typically includes price appreciation for both Bitcoin and altcoins.
- Can be longer in duration, sometimes lasting for many months or even a year or more.
- Often starts with a Bitcoin rally, followed by increased interest in the broader crypto market.
Crypto Alt Season:
- Specifically focuses on the outperformance of altcoins compared to Bitcoin.
- Can occur within a broader Crypto Season but is more narrowly defined.
- Generally shorter in duration than a full Crypto Season.
- May happen towards the latter part of a broader Crypto Season, as investors seek higher returns in smaller cap coins.

Key Differences:

Scope: Crypto Season encompasses the entire market, while Alt Season focuses on altcoins.
Duration: Crypto Seasons are generally longer than Alt Seasons.
Market Dynamics: In a Crypto Season, Bitcoin often leads the rally, while in an Alt Season, altcoins outperform Bitcoin.

It's important to note that these terms are not officially defined and can be subject to different interpretations within the cryptocurrency community. However, understanding the distinction can help investors and traders better analyze market trends and potential opportunities in different segments of the crypto market.

What Is Alt Season Indicator?

The Alt Season Indicator is a tool used by cryptocurrency traders and investors to gauge whether the market is entering or currently in an "Alt Season" — a period when altcoins are outperforming Bitcoin. While there isn't a single, universally accepted Alt Season Indicator, several metrics and tools are commonly used to assess the likelihood of an Alt Season. Here are some key aspects of Alt Season Indicators:

Bitcoin Dominance

One of the most widely used indicators is Bitcoin Dominance, which measures Bitcoin's market capitalization as a percentage of the total cryptocurrency market cap.

Calculation: (Bitcoin Market Cap / Total Crypto Market Cap) * 100
Interpretation: A declining Bitcoin Dominance often signals a potential Alt Season, as it indicates that capital is flowing from Bitcoin into altcoins.
Threshold: Some traders consider Bitcoin Dominance below 50% as a potential indicator of an Alt Season.

Altcoin Market Cap Ratio

This indicator compares the total market capitalization of altcoins to Bitcoin's market cap.

Calculation: Total Altcoin Market Cap / Bitcoin Market Cap
Interpretation: An increasing ratio suggests growing strength in the altcoin market relative to Bitcoin.

Top 10 Altcoins Performance

This indicator tracks the performance of the top 10 altcoins by market cap (excluding Bitcoin) compared to Bitcoin over a specific period.

Calculation: Average percentage gain of top 10 altcoins vs. Bitcoin's percentage gain
Interpretation: When a majority of top altcoins consistently outperform Bitcoin, it may indicate an Alt Season.

Alt Season Index

Some crypto data platforms offer a proprietary Alt Season Index, which combines various metrics to provide a single score indicating the likelihood of an Alt Season.

Scale: Often presented as a percentage or a 0-100 score
Interpretation: Higher scores (e.g., above 75%) suggest a higher probability of an ongoing Alt Season

Trading Volume Ratios

This indicator compares the trading volumes of altcoins to Bitcoin's trading volume.

Calculation: Total Altcoin Trading Volume / Bitcoin Trading Volume
Interpretation: An increase in this ratio may indicate growing interest in altcoins, potentially signaling an Alt Season.

Important Considerations:

No single indicator is foolproof. Traders often use a combination of indicators for a more comprehensive analysis.
Market conditions can change rapidly, and past patterns don't guarantee future results.
Different traders may use different thresholds or interpretations of these indicators.
The crypto market's evolving nature means that indicators may need to be adjusted over time to remain relevant.

Understanding and effectively using Alt Season Indicators can help traders and investors make more informed decisions about allocating their resources between Bitcoin and altcoins. However, it's crucial to combine these indicators with broader market analysis and risk management strategies.

Alt Seasons: Historical Perspective, Current Situation, and Future Predictions

Previous Altcoin Seasons

In crypto, two periods stand out as particularly significant for altcoins. These "alt seasons" saw unprecedented growth and interest in cryptocurrencies beyond Bitcoin, reshaping the landscape of digital assets.

The 2017-2018 Alt Season

Duration: December 2017 to January 2018

Context:

Bitcoin (BTC) experienced its most remarkable bull run to date, reaching nearly $20,000 in December 2017.
This surge in Bitcoin's price and public interest created a ripple effect throughout the crypto market.

Key Developments:

Proliferation of New Coins: The success of Bitcoin catalyzed the launch of numerous new cryptocurrencies.
Investor Frenzy: Buoyed by Bitcoin's success, investors eagerly sought the "next Bitcoin," pouring capital into various altcoins.
ICO Boom: This period saw a surge in Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs), with many projects raising millions in a matter of hours or days.
Market Expansion: The total cryptocurrency market cap reached unprecedented levels, briefly surpassing $800 billion in January 2018.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH), Ripple (XRP), and Litecoin (LTC) saw significant price increases during this period.

The 2020-2021 Alt Season

Duration: December 2020 to April 2021

Context:

Bitcoin broke its previous all-time high, surpassing $60,000 in March 2021.
The COVID-19 pandemic had accelerated digital adoption and increased interest in alternative investments.

Key Developments:

DeFi Explosion: Decentralized Finance (DeFi) projects gained massive traction, with many tokens seeing exponential growth.
NFT Boom: Non-Fungible Tokens (NFTs) entered the mainstream, driving interest in blockchain-based digital assets.
Institutional Adoption: Major companies and institutional investors began adding cryptocurrencies to their balance sheets.
Technological Advancements: Many altcoins introduced innovative features, scaling solutions, and use cases.

Notable Altcoins: Ethereum (ETH) reached new highs, while projects like Binance Coin (BNB), Cardano (ADA), and Polkadot (DOT) saw remarkable growth.

Comparative Analysis: Both alt seasons shared some common characteristics:

They were preceded by significant Bitcoin price rallies.
New projects and tokens gained rapid popularity and valuation.
Retail investor participation increased dramatically.
The overall cryptocurrency market capitalization reached new heights.

However, the 2020-2021 alt season was marked by greater institutional involvement and a broader range of technological innovations, particularly in DeFi and NFTs.

Is It Alt Season?

Based on the indicators discussed above, it's not currently an altcoin season. The Altcoin Season Index at 41 and Bitcoin's market dominance at 61.3% both suggest that Bitcoin is still the dominant force in the crypto market at this time.

When Is Alt Season?

Based on the information we could gather from various experts, we can analyze the predictions for the next altcoin season as follows:

Based on the latest analysis from experts and on-chain data, here’s what we know about the next altcoin season:

Current Status (August 2025):

The altcoin season index—a metric that signals how many altcoins outperform Bitcoin—currently sits around 37. For a “full-blown” alt season, it typically needs to rise above 75.
Bitcoin dominance is approximately 61-62%. Historically, dropping below 60% often coincides with a rapid rotation into altcoins and the start of alt season.

Key Indicators to Watch:

Altcoin Season Index (ASI): Above 75 signals a true altcoin season.
Bitcoin Dominance: A move below 60% usually marks the transition; sub-50% dominance is associated with peak alt season inflows.
Market Activity: Increasing volumes in major altcoins and Layer 1s, meme coin rallies, and spikes in DeFi activity are early warning signs.
Ethereum Outperformance: When ETH surges relative to BTC, this historically precedes broader altcoin rallies.

Expert Predictions for 2025:

Analysts point to a pivotal window for alt season starting as early as August 2025 and extending through the fall, with many expecting true acceleration of altcoin gains if Bitcoin’s price consolidates and capital rotates further into alts.
There is strong consensus that macroeconomic catalysts, such as potential U.S. interest rate cuts and ongoing Bitcoin ETF momentum, could fuel a major altcoin rally in late 2025 if positive conditions persist.

Summary Table: Key Factors & Targets

Signal	Alt Season Trigger	Status (Aug 2025)
Altcoin Season Index (ASI)	>75	~37
Bitcoin dominance	<60%	~61–62% (near trigger)
Altcoin trading volume	Sustained surge across many alts	Rising, but not explosive
Ethereum outperformance	ETH/ BTC breakout, >$3,700	Near, ETH ~$3,500
Market narratives	AI, DeFi, meme coins, new L1 inflows	Strengthening

Bottom Line:
Most analysts agree the groundwork for altcoin season in 2025 is building. We are currently in a transition phase: if Bitcoin dominance continues to fall and the Altcoin Season Index rises above 75, a full-fledged alt season could ignite during the second half of 2025. Monitor these key indicators to stay ahead as market momentum shifts from Bitcoin into a broader range of altltcoins.

Key Factors to Consider

Technology: Look for coins with innovative solutions to existing blockchain challenges.
Adoption: Consider projects with growing partnerships and real-world use cases.
Market Position: Established coins with room for growth may offer a balance of stability and potential returns.
Tokenomics: Understanding supply dynamics can help predict potential price movements.

It's crucial to conduct thorough research before investing. The cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and past performance doesn't guarantee future results. Always invest responsibly and within your risk tolerance.

How to Win in Next Alt Season?

Capitalizing on the next altcoin season requires a strategic approach. Here's how to maximize potential gains:

Research and Diversification: Thoroughly research potential investments, analyzing both fundamentals and technical aspects to identify promising altcoins. Diversify your holdings across different projects to mitigate risk and maximize potential returns. Don't put all your eggs in one basket.
Strategic Timing: Utilize technical analysis tools like support/resistance levels and RSI to pinpoint optimal entry and exit points. Monitor market sentiment and price trends to make informed decisions. A clear entry and exit strategy is crucial for managing risk and maximizing profits during volatile periods.
Newer Projects: Consider participating in newer altcoin projects. This provides early access to potentially high-growth projects at discounted prices. Research upcoming defi projects with use cases, focusing on innovative projects with strong potential. Investing early can yield substantial returns as the project develops.

Conclusion

In summary, an altcoin season, marked by significant price increases in non-Bitcoin cryptocurrencies, may be on the horizon. This potential surge could be driven by investors seeking higher returns in smaller-cap cryptocurrencies, technological advancements in altcoin projects, increased blockchain adoption, and the transition of projects from speculative ventures to real-world applications.

Remember, while the potential for significant gains exists during an altcoin season, the cryptocurrency market remains highly volatile. Always invest responsibly.

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