📉 Analysis Of The Current Crypto Cycle (Facts) 📈
The worst cycle yet.
Surely feels this way but is it really? Let's see:
Facts (e.g. SMA200 slope) say it's still a bull market.
If facts say so, that can not be logically argued.
Every cycle, we've seen multiple 30% corrections - nothing unusual lately and rather expected.
Historic evidence implies we're yet to see final blast-off.
But it feels 180 degree opposite.
Source: @TheBirbNest
It's rare to see fear & greed 20 during late bull.
Extreme fear sustains well above past ATH (wtf).
First time I see so many OGs admit they're pissed off.
Retail is washed.
Altcoins dipped dead.
Memecoins 60% mkt cap gone.
No hype left - maybe except JD Vance I admit it's funny.
Celebrities late to the game as always.
Still they launch shit CAs no one wants to buy only to rug it literally an hour later for $100,000 (straight to jail).
Trump playing trade wars - post election gains erased.
So much uncertainty in the market.
It feels like the end.
But it isn't.
You can just stick to the facts.
Keep it simple - follow the trends (and they're up).
For accurate cycle top projections, use MVRV Z-score.
MVRV Z-Score (Market Value/Realized Value) is BTC valuation model. Z-score shows how many standard deviations a value is from the mean:
< 1 cycle lows
1 to 3.7 sustainable market
3.7 to 7 overheat warning
> 7 cycle tops
Now: 1.99.
Peak projection at current rates $315k+
That's what you're gambling for.
Survive and look up.