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🌐Year-End Musings: Standing At The Dawn of Web3, by Sunny Lu🌐
January 01, 2023
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As the sun sets over Italian skies, those traversing the bridges between Rome and the Vatican may be treated to a sight beyond compare. High above the ancient towers of the cityscape, huge flocks of birds take flight, numbering in the thousands. I’ve been fortunate enough to watch them swirling and dancing up there, a tapestry of motion — swift, unpredictable, utterly beautiful. These birds, I have since learned, are starlings, and the flock they form is called a ‘murmuration’.

The decentralized order within these formations strikes me. A murmuration is a sight to behold, and demands contemplation. It is a wonder that speaks to the very essence of what it means to be alive and one of many examples of nature’s majesty.

In this organized chaos I find analogues. A murmuration is made up of hundreds of nodes, each comprising seven birds. Despite the complexity of the mass, each bird only needs to watch and react to their six nearest neighbors. There is no leader and no central authority, yet, the flock functions as a whole. I watch these decentralized organisms and feel a kinship.

Should a predator appear, the attacked node breaks off and distracts the attacker while the larger group continues on its tumbling trajectory, flight pattern unperturbed. To the untrained eye, the event seems random, but in actuality, these birds build a cohesive frame — a living mosaic made even more impressive by the lack of a central guiding hand. As I watch this living mass pirouette in the sky, my thoughts turn to Web3.0.

Web3.0 — Value Beyond The Sum of Parts

Web3.0, like the murmuration, remains a somewhat undefined grouping of topics. Some consider the concept too ephemeral and broad, lacking form. Others believe the notion to be an innate human truth, understood implicitly, waiting to be recognised by the masses. Whatever your stance, for now it remains a novel but undeniably powerful movement-in-waiting.

Web3.0 is a smorgasbord of concepts. Decentralized information and power structures, enhanced trust, truth and transparency, greater autonomy, the foundations of a new industrial era and more. Web3.0 is a paradigm shift, restructuring the foundations of the internet itself and offering a new philosophical blueprint for technologies, business and society. It is an evolutionary leap both in terms of technology and thought process, yet highly logical in its progression.

The Declaration of Internet Rights was founded on the notion of liberty, equality, dignity and uniqueness at the individual level, however, the current Internet has deviated significantly from that vision. Web3 returns to this vision, empowering citizens through data and information, embracing the idealized vision of the internet’s roots.

The evolution of the web can be broadly defined by technological epochs. In the so-called ‘Web 1.0’, the internet served the purpose of the town square announcement board. Participants were passive recipients of information, connected to messages with the primary action of “reading” and receiving information.

In Web1.0, connection is the priority and users are passive.

In Web 2.0, the internet became a shared workspace and here, participatory interaction and creation became the main feature. In this phase we bore witness to the rise of jargon such as ‘user generated content’ and watched as dominant internet-era players were born such as Google and Amazon.

The mass adoption of mobile computing tech in the early 2010s accelerated new waves of adoption and gave rise to even faster rates of development and adoption, allowing users to connect anywhere. Here, we gave rise to the notion of ‘Internet of Things’ (IoT) — always online, interconnected, allowing far greater coordination and information that painted a greater picture than was possible at the individual level.

In Web2.0, mobility is the priority and users are interactive, connecting people and entities in the name of co-creation.

To date, a lot of good has come from the internet, but not without mistakes. We have modeled the internet on the hierarchical systems that have governed society since the birth of agrarianism — top-down, centralized, overly reliant on external power structures and arbiters of truth.

Inevitably, this approach manifests inequality and inefficiency. Greed and bad-faith practices have contributed to the conditions we see today, yet, viewing it from a broader context, this passage was necessary. Sometimes we must stumble before we learn to walk. In the case of the internet, find the values we hold most dear as a society — truth, transparency, trust.

Technology is finally becoming powerful enough to break down these long-standing power structures, and deliver new trends towards the empowerment of the many. With the exponential growth in volume of web data, 2.5 quintillion bytes per day in 2020 for example, an overhaul of its architecture was inevitable. Blockchain becomes inevitable. If it wasn’t Satoshi Nakamoto who conceived Bitcoin and blockchain technology, surely, someone else would have recognised the same need for this revolution in data management.

With blockchain technology destined to become a core facet of the internet’s infrastructure, it naturally paves the way for Web 3.0. Thus, the internet will become irrevocably associated with the features of distributed ledger technology. Namely, transparency, security and immutable ownership of data and of things, something I like to phrase as “the shared collective utility of resources”.

In this new epoch, the data generated by human behavior becomes the ultimate shared resource and one of our most valuable, actionable assets.

Informational Transcendence

Participants in this new web iteration, much like the previous ones, will continue to evolve with it and at the same time, define it. This new generation of users, whether born into it or converting “old timers” like I am, become the “owners” of this new web. We can confidently say so, because we will utilize it to make individual impacts, collectively. Instead of simply being users, we participate and become partners holding accountability for each other.

Of course, I would be naive to assert that everyone will take on equal responsibility or reap equal rewards. Attaining fairness and egalitarianism is much more complicated than producing arithmetic-derived averages. But fortunately, blockchain, and the various tools born from it, will aid us in the pursuit of this vision, described accordingly:

  • A common consensus reached and adopted by willing individuals who share the same passions and goals
  • Tokens as incentives to coordinate motivation and aptitude
  • Decentralized Autonomous Organization’s (DAO) to enable collaborations within, and between, organizations more effectively, allowing all voices to be heard and voted on, without being stifled by a lack of transparency
  • NFTs will become digital identities for both people and things, serving the function accumulating data and embodying accumulated value
  • Vastly enhanced capabilities born from the combination of blockchain with technologies such as IoT, Artificial Intelligence, Machine Learning, etc.

Summarily, we can say: Web3.0 is a phygital (physical-digital) ecosystem powered by Blockchain technologies and the actions of people, collectively achieving consented goals.

People in Web3 are active stakeholders, whose mission should be treated equally and in the spirit of collaboration by all players, be they platform, corporation, association, individual, or even government body.

The priority of Web 3.0 is the focus on identifying common consensus and collaboratively executing protocols.

Slow, steady, then all-at-once

The transformation of an idea is much like the growth of a child; gradual and constant. We can easily overlook tiny changes along the journey, but then, one day, see them in their totality and gasp “when did they get so tall?!”

Slowly, quietly, then all-of-a-sudden. This is the nature of progress.

After reading my musings, I am excited to share that VeChain has been building towards something truly groundbreaking over the past few years and we’re almost ready to unveil the fruits of our labor. We’ve always been focused on the future, and we continue marching towards a blockchain-powered reality.

Our high-profile announcement coming in the next few months has the potential to solidify and positively shape the Web3 industry by offering something tangible to rally around. 2022 was undoubtedly a tough year for the space, besmirched by many-a-scandal, but we’re bucking that trend by taking revolutionary applications of technology mainstream.

We want everyone to be a part of this new digital future — to prosper, grow and benefit together. This is a rare opportunity to be a part of something truly special, to be part of VeChain’s blockchain-powered revolution. We call on our many committed members, builders, and organizers to join us on this exciting journey and to play their own role as equal actors in this web3 future.

Let’s make it happen together.

Let’s be proud of being this incredible team and finally start the future.

About The VeChain Foundation

The VeChain Foundation, headquartered in San Marino, Europe, is the non-profit organisation behind the development of VeChainThor, a world leading smart contract platform spearheading the real world adoption of blockchain technology.

By leveraging the capabilities of ‘trustless’ data (information without intermediaries), smart contracts and IoT technologies, VeChainThor has delivered solutions in a wide array of fields, and now turns its attention to arguably the greatest challenge of all — building technologies and ecosystems to drive true sustainability and digital transformation at global scale.

Visit https://www.vechain.org to learn more.

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🚹Interview with Jack McDonald CEO of Standard Custody & Trust🚹

Jack McDonald, Co-Founder of PolySign alongside Arthur Britto Timestamps for the Video listed below

Timestamps:
0:50 — Founded PolySign with Arthur Britto.
0:57 — Founding of Standard Custody.
1:01 — Ripple acquires Standard Custody.
1:20 — Why Ripple entered stablecoins and custody
1:40 — Discussion regarding Ripple and USDC
2:40 — Acquisition of prime broker Hidden Road.
3:12 — Hidden Road’s client base
4:15 — Ripple pledges $25 million
4:46 — Forward-looking commentary

OP: @ProfRipplEffect

00:06:55
👉You Will Own Nothing, And Be Happy...

"Ever notice how you don't actually own anything anymore? Your music đŸŽ¶, your movies 🎬, your cloud storage ☁—all of it is just a subscription 💳."

"You think you have things, but you only have access to things 🔑."

"Your identity lives inside a digital system đŸ’» you have no control over, and it can be flagged đŸš©, restricted đŸš«, or revoked automatically with no warning 🚹."

"In this society, you don't have freedom anymore. You just access it as long as the system recognises you 👀."

"Welcome to neo-feudalism—a world where your entire life is one system update away from disappearing đŸ‘»."

00:01:06
🚹EXPLAINED: BRICS LAUNCHES A GOLD-BACKED CURRENCY: THE "UNIT" It's called the "Unit."🚹

This is a live prototype for an alternative to the US dollar in international trade.

What Is It?

A digital currency for trade between BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa).

It's backed by a basket of their local currencies and physical gold. How It Works (Simplified):

1⃣ Step 1: The "Basket" is Created. A "Unit Reserve Basket" holds: 40% in physical gold (40 grams for the first test batch). 60% in five BRICS currencies (12% each: Real, Yuan, Rupee, Ruble, Rand).

2⃣ Step 2: Units Are Issued. On October 31, 2025, 100 Units were created. Each Unit was worth exactly 1 gram of gold.

3⃣ Step 3: Value Fluctuates with the Market. The Unit's value changes daily based on the strength of the currencies in the basket vs. gold.

By December 4, the basket's value had adjusted to 98.23 grams of gold. Therefore, 1 Unit = 0.9823g of gold.

The Goal: Trade Without Dollars. Countries could use Units to settle transactions, reducing reliance on the US dollar and keeping their gold reserves ...

00:05:36
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚹 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading
Best Brief Pep Talk for Homo Sapiens

".....the Kingdom of God is within you...." 

".....my Kingdom is of a different Age...."  

https://www.facebook.com/reel/1180503997433929

Why your privacy matters:

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1JTYg4iJzv/

Do you realize that if you are an American, your overall right to privacy is guaranteed by the Federal Constitutions as expressed by the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 9th and 14th Amendments? 

👉Did you know that you have to choose to be an American, even if you were born and raised in this country?  

Go to: https://tasa.americanstatenationals.org/

They are trying to invade your privacy by bombarding you with Electromagnetic Radiation, non-consensual scanning, non-consensual nanotech implants and non-consensual tracking. 

Have you had enough?  Good.

We just told Donald Trump and his Administration, point blank, to shut down the whole invasive "secret" program.  It's not a secret anymore. 

No matter what the Luciferians believe, and no matter what they do, the Kingdom of the True God is ...

👉Millennials & Gen-Z are Poorer Than Ever (Here's Why)

🚹 Discover the shocking truth about the millennial wealth gap and gen z financial struggles. From housing costs to student debt, learn why younger generations face unprecedented economic challenges.

🚹 SCHIFF CHALLENGES TRUMP TO ECONOMY SHOWDOWN AFTER “LOSER” SLUR 🚹

Gold-bug economist Peter Schiff threw down the gauntlet Saturday, challenging President Trump to a live debate on U.S. economic policy after Trump blasted him on Truth Social as a “Trump-hating loser” and a “jerk” for insisting inflation is still raging. The clash lit up Crypto-Twitter because Schiff—long crypto’s most vocal critic—blames Trump’s pro-Bitcoin pivot for “accelerating the dollar’s collapse” while Trump claims “prices are coming way down”.

🔑 Key Points

đŸ”č Fox Trigger – Schiff’s Fox & Friends segment warned that “the real economy is going bust” despite falling gas headlines; Trump fired back that gasoline hit 1.99 in some states and accused the show of “heading in a different direction” by booking him.

đŸ”č Debate Dare – Within hours Schiff posted: “I challenge him, or his designee, to a debate on the U.S. economy
 If I’m as wrong as he says, let him prove it,” tagging ...

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den
 the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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