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What is ‘BASE’? Here is What We Know So Far About the L2 Project Being Built by Coinbase
February 24, 2023
February 26, 2023
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This week, the publicly-traded cryptocurrency exchange Coinbase unveiled its own Ethereum layer-2 network called Base and advised the crypto community to stay tuned for the upcoming mainnet launch.

The Base chain will be home to Coinbase’s on-chain products as well as an open ecosystem for millions of new decentralized apps (dApps), said the leading cryptocurrency exchange.

“Base is an Ethereum L2 that offers a secure, low-cost, developer-friendly way for anyone, anywhere, to build decentralized apps. Our goal with Base is to make on-chain the next online and onboard 1B+ users into the crypto economy,” Coinbase said on Twitter.

Coinbase Senior Director of Engineering Jesse Pollak shared that while the platform was only announced on Thursday, a testnet for Base has actually been live since the start of the month.

“Our goal is to launch mainnet in the next few months,” he said. “This is a bet that we can help enable the next million dapps, which are going to bring in the next billion users. We think that will happen on a five- to 10-year horizon, and this is our contribution to making that happen sooner rather than later.”

The goal of Base is to bring about phase 4 of Coinbase’s ‘secret master plan,’ which is to create an open financial system and onboard the next wave of users to the crypto economy. With this move, Coinbase has become the first publicly traded company to launch an Ethereum Layer 2.

Layer 2 networks help make transactions faster and cheaper than the underlying blockchain, such as Ethereum, by processing batches of transactions on a separate chain and then sending receipts back to the mainnet.

Entering a Crowded Sector

Coinbase’s Base is just one of many Ethereum Layer 2s; others in the space include Polygon, Arbitrum, Optimism, Loopring, and Starknet, to name a few.

According to L2Beat, there is currently more than $6 billion worth of ETH on these layer 2s, which is a 17% growth from a month ago. This website tracks 26 different Ethereum scaling networks and notes that Arbitrum One accounts for the majority (53%) of the L2 market share, while Optimism has captured 31% of this segment.

However, unlike these L2s, Base will not be launching a network token, which is used on other networks to pay gas fees and incentivize development.

According to Coinbase, “tokens are not the only way to drive activity,” instead, it believes “building great products is a great way of driving activity by making things actually useful.”

Coinbase Announcement

It’s interesting to note that both Arbitrum and Optimism launched their networks without tokens initially. However, Optimism has since airdropped its governance token to early adopters of its network. This was done in order to distribute governance power to the community and fund development proposals through its DAO. There have been rumors that Arbitrum has been planning something similar for a long time, but no token has yet been released.

However, Base’s entry into the market may not be as competitive for Optimism. According to Coinbase’s announcement, Base will be “a rollup agnostic superchain powered by Optimism.”

The base will also return a portion of its transaction fee revenue to the Optimism Collective. “This move furthers the Collective’s vision for a sustainable future where Impact = Profit,” tweeted Optimism on Thursday.

Following the Coinbase announcement, Optimism’s native token, OP, recorded a jump in price. The $668 million market cap coin is up 11% in the past 24 hours and nearly 240% YTD, as per CoinGecko. Launched in May 2022, just earlier this month, OP hit an ATH of $3.19.

Earlier this month, Optimism revealed its plans to upgrade its network next month, which is a “step towards a multi-chain future.” Dubbed “Bedrock,” the upgrade aims to lower fees, increase transfer speed, and enhance compatibility with the Ethereum Virtual Machine (EVM).

To address the issues of speed and cost associated with layer-1 blockchains, Optimism uses “rollups,” which involve processing transactions on a separate chain and then settling them on the mainnet in batches.

Decentralized Over Time

The Base chain is launched with dozens of partners who have committed to building in and supporting the ecosystem. Some of these include Ethereum block explorer Etherscan, oracle network Chainlink, DeFi protocol Aave, Animoca Bands, and SushiSwap.

Coinbase said it intends for Base governance to be fully decentralized, but it won’t be that way initially. Instead, it would happen rather progressively in the years ahead.

“Coinbase is going to gradually transition into a role where we’re a contributor to Base, we provide services and products that are built on top of Base, and we are not the decision maker for everything in the Base network — that’s being done through more decentralized governance,” Pollak said.

And to best achieve its goals, Coinbase has decided to join Optimism as a core developer on the open-source OP Stack. They have also decided to keep the core team really lean so that “we can have an outsized impact if we’re building on-chain,” said Pollak.

The exchange explained in the official blog post that by leveraging Optimism’s OP Stack and collaborating with Optimism, Base will act as “an open platform that anyone can contribute to, fork, and extend to help the crypto economy scale.”

Optimism Tweet

So, Coinbase will have more control over Base at first with the vision to make Base fully permissionless eventually. And according to the announcement, Base will progress from its current Stage 0 to the next stage rollup this year alone, with the Stage 2 rollup to be achieved in 2024.

While Base will be a separate network, it will still be powered by the underlying blockchain, that is, Ethereum. It will use Ethereum’s security infrastructure, but it won’t be limited to Ethereum; rather will also provide easy and secure access to other layer 2 networks, such as Optimism, as well as other blockchains ecosystems, such as Solana, Avalanche, and Polygon.

“Base offers full EVM equivalence at a fraction of the cost and is committed to pushing forward the developer platform,” explains Coinbase’s blog post on the L2 Base.

Coinbase further plans to integrate the Base chain across its exchange, wallet, NFT marketplace, and developer products.

Along with the new chain, Coinbase also announced the launch of a Base Ecosystem Fund to support early-stage projects working with Base as long as they meet the company’s investment criteria.

COIN Gaining Strength

While in its announcement, Coinbase made it clear that it has “no plans to issue a new network token,” degen traders were quick to find an alternative.

Some degen crypto traders piled into an unrelated token called BASE following Coinbase’s layer-2 announcement. The native token of Base Protocol, BASE saw its price soar about 350% in a few hours to almost its ATH before falling down hard to its previous levels.

Some have suggested that insider trading may have occurred, as the BASE token began to move long before the Coinbase announcement.

Meanwhile, Coinbase (COIN) prices are up 16% since early last week but down 29% since early February highs. COIN is a $14.43 billion market cap stock trading at $62.36 at the time of writing.

Bearish OP Take

In 2023, along with the broad crypto market green, COIN prices also recovered, having started the year under $32. Still, the stock is nowhere near its all-time high (ATH) of $430 hit when it first started trading on Nasdaq under the COIN ticker in April 2021. The COIN stock prices have only been down since currently 85.5% off their peak.

Amidst the positive price movement, Cathie Wood’s investment management firm ARK added around $13.2 million worth of Coinbase (COIN) shares, per an investor email on Thursday.

ARK Innovation ETF (ARKK) added 181,972 shares ($11.4 million) of Coinbase. This was the fund’s biggest COIN order of the year, surpassing the $9.2 million order earlier this month. Meanwhile, 31,547 COIN shares ($1.93 million) were added to Ark’s Next Generation Internet ETF (ARKW).

These purchases came after Coinbase reported its Q4 2022 earnings this Tuesday, which beat analyst expectations.

The San Francisco-based company reported fourth-quarter net revenue of $605 million, up 5% from $590 million in the third quarter. Subscription and service revenues grew 34% to $283 million in Q4, accounting for almost 50% of Coinbase’s overall revenue in the quarter, which was primarily due to interest income that came in at $162.2 million. Transaction volume, however, fell 12% quarter over quarter to $322 million on lower overall trading volume.

In its shareholder letter, Coinbase said crypto markets have improved in Q1 2023 compared to Q4 2022, helping it generate $120 million in transaction revenue in January 2023.

However, during the company’s earnings call, CEO Brian Armstrong cautioned retail investors “not to extrapolate those results forward,” pointing out that last year revealed just how volatile the crypto market can be.

Coinbase expects increased crypto regulation globally in the coming years and anticipates benefiting from it. The company also criticized the fragmented approach of the United States to regulating crypto but continues to work towards more consistent policies.

“Policy is my top priority this year,” said Armstrong, adding that he’s been spending a lot of time in Washington, D.C. “There is a lot of excitement about the potential of this technology, and there is a lot of desire for people to have this built here in America.”

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🚨Interview with Jack McDonald CEO of Standard Custody & Trust🚨

Jack McDonald, Co-Founder of PolySign alongside Arthur Britto Timestamps for the Video listed below

Timestamps:
0:50 — Founded PolySign with Arthur Britto.
0:57 — Founding of Standard Custody.
1:01 — Ripple acquires Standard Custody.
1:20 — Why Ripple entered stablecoins and custody
1:40 — Discussion regarding Ripple and USDC
2:40 — Acquisition of prime broker Hidden Road.
3:12 — Hidden Road’s client base
4:15 — Ripple pledges $25 million
4:46 — Forward-looking commentary

OP: @ProfRipplEffect

00:06:55
👉You Will Own Nothing, And Be Happy...

"Ever notice how you don't actually own anything anymore? Your music 🎶, your movies 🎬, your cloud storage ☁—all of it is just a subscription 💳."

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"Welcome to neo-feudalism—a world where your entire life is one system update away from disappearing 👻."

00:01:06
🚨EXPLAINED: BRICS LAUNCHES A GOLD-BACKED CURRENCY: THE "UNIT" It's called the "Unit."🚨

This is a live prototype for an alternative to the US dollar in international trade.

What Is It?

A digital currency for trade between BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China, South Africa).

It's backed by a basket of their local currencies and physical gold. How It Works (Simplified):

1⃣ Step 1: The "Basket" is Created. A "Unit Reserve Basket" holds: 40% in physical gold (40 grams for the first test batch). 60% in five BRICS currencies (12% each: Real, Yuan, Rupee, Ruble, Rand).

2⃣ Step 2: Units Are Issued. On October 31, 2025, 100 Units were created. Each Unit was worth exactly 1 gram of gold.

3⃣ Step 3: Value Fluctuates with the Market. The Unit's value changes daily based on the strength of the currencies in the basket vs. gold.

By December 4, the basket's value had adjusted to 98.23 grams of gold. Therefore, 1 Unit = 0.9823g of gold.

The Goal: Trade Without Dollars. Countries could use Units to settle transactions, reducing reliance on the US dollar and keeping their gold reserves ...

00:05:36
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

🚨JUST IN: SEC ENDS 2-YEAR ONDO PROBE

The SEC has closed its investigation into $ONDO, giving Ondo Finance the green light to accelerate its U.S. tokenization expansion.

Best Brief Pep Talk for Homo Sapiens

".....the Kingdom of God is within you...." 

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https://www.facebook.com/reel/1180503997433929

Why your privacy matters:

https://www.facebook.com/share/r/1JTYg4iJzv/

Do you realize that if you are an American, your overall right to privacy is guaranteed by the Federal Constitutions as expressed by the 1st, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 9th and 14th Amendments? 

👉Did you know that you have to choose to be an American, even if you were born and raised in this country?  

Go to: https://tasa.americanstatenationals.org/

They are trying to invade your privacy by bombarding you with Electromagnetic Radiation, non-consensual scanning, non-consensual nanotech implants and non-consensual tracking. 

Have you had enough?  Good.

We just told Donald Trump and his Administration, point blank, to shut down the whole invasive "secret" program.  It's not a secret anymore. 

No matter what the Luciferians believe, and no matter what they do, the Kingdom of the True God is ...

👉Millennials & Gen-Z are Poorer Than Ever (Here's Why)

🚨 Discover the shocking truth about the millennial wealth gap and gen z financial struggles. From housing costs to student debt, learn why younger generations face unprecedented economic challenges.

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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XRP: r9pid4yrQgs6XSFWhMZ8NkxW3gkydWNyQX
XLM: GDMJF2OCHN3NNNX4T4F6POPBTXK23GTNSNQWUMIVKESTHMQM7XDYAIZT
XDC: xdcc2C02203C4f91375889d7AfADB09E207Edf809A6

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