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🚨Introducing the Theta 2025📅 Roadmap🚨
January 10, 2025
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2024 was the most exciting year yet for the Theta ecosystem, as we saw more adoption than ever of Theta among academia, the crypto community, and the corporate world. The key milestone of the past year was undoubtedly the release of Theta EdgeCloud, the first hybrid cloud computing platform built on a fully distributed edge architecture powered by Theta edge network. Launched in May 2024, EdgeCloud’s debut has been a smashing success, with nearly 20 marquee customers onboarding including the NHL’s Vegas Golden Knights, FlyQuest esports, University of Oregon, Seoul National University, Liner, JamCoding and more.

June 2024 saw the release of the Elite Booster upgrade (Edge Node v5.0.2) empowering users to earn even more TFUEL and partner TNT-20 tokens for performing GPU-intensive AI and video tasks. This release greatly increased edge node earnings and enabled all edge node operators to participate in next-gen AI, video and computing jobs on EdgeCloud.

These upgrades coincided with the strong growth in Theta edge network, with more than 20k daily active Edge Nodes across the world and over 30k monthly active nodes. We expect the edge network to continue to expand in 2025 in order to support the increasing number of EdgeCloud customers, and to that end in September 2024 we launched Theta Edge Node for Android devices running calibration jobs with mobile optimized AI object detection algorithms. Over the course of the year, the daily Metachain transactions on Theta network also increased by over 50% and is now approaching 350k transactions per day, driven primarily by our subchain partners Lavita, POGS, Passaways, Grove, Replay, Bullit and others.

In the next year, we envision Theta customers utilizing EdgeCloud, RAG chatbot and AI agents across academia, enterprises, professional sports, esports gaming to begin exploring and deploying their own custom subchains to support transaction intensive, blockchain enabled AI applications, GenAI text-to-video, text-to-3D, LLM chatbots and AI agents. This will be supported by the beta release of the Theta AI Agents platform in the first half of 2025.

Theta’s 2024 roadmap was significant, but we’re proud of the progress Theta made in achieving and even exceeding it. In H1, the EdgeCloud rollout was successful with cloud hosted nodes up and running, a suite of popular GenAI and LLMs, and a host of new partners onboarded in enterprise and academia. EdgeCloud also began offering Agentic AI as a service, empowering businesses with cutting-edge AI capabilities with its first Agentic AI product, the RAG (Retrieval Augmented Generation) Chatbot. Later in the year, persistent storage was added to meet EdgeCloud AI customer needs. The Elite+ Booster feature was rolled out for Elite Edge Nodes, and Studio-level DRM was added to Theta Video API. TDROP was also extended to use as part of OpenTheta marketplace. Though the vast majority of these milestones were hit on schedule, there were a few items on the roadmap that were delayed and pushed back for various reasons. For example, Theta Video API (TVA) was made part of the broader EdgeCloud platform, so the next major update to TVA will come as EdgeCloud itself fully rolls out in 2025. Support for EdgeCloud job prioritization will also come in a 2025 EdgeCloud update, as well as support for users running their own EdgeCloud nodes in data centers or their own personal cloud infrastructure. But aside from these revisions, the 2024 roadmap was largely achieved and we intend on the same for 2025.

Building on these successes, Theta development is pushing forward with an ambitious roadmap for 2025 and beyond. The team is now focused on the next main milestone, the beta release of the hybrid edge cloud architecture on June 25, 2025. This major release will support seamless job orchestration and optimization of compute-intensive workloads across cloud-based GPUs and Theta’s distributed edge nodes run by our community. The hybrid architecture will enable the platform to essentially run any computation jobs that can be “containerized” from AI, video encoding/transcoding, 3D rendering workloads, to GPU-intensive financial modeling, scientific drug research jobs and more.

The main challenge is that edge nodes are heterogeneous with differing specs, capabilities and geo-distributed with about ⅓ in North America, ⅓ in EMEA and the remainder in the rest of the world. These consumer grade GPUs including NVIDIA 3090s, 4090s and the newly announced 5000 RTX series have limited VRAM with various CPU configurations, and not always on which pose technical hurdles. The job orchestration and containerization layer must be intelligent and optimized for the target node with auto failover. The goal over time is to support AI inference including GenAI text-to-image, image-to-image, video transcoding, AI object detection, 3D rendering, chatbots and other AI agent workloads that can be spliced and completed in tandem.

H1 2025 Roadmap

The first half of 2025 will be focused on launching EdgeCloud’s hybrid cloud edge architecture in June and expanding the fast-growing edge network in anticipation of continued demand from customers. This critical EdgeCloud release will fully support a distributed edge architecture across devices, geographies and configurations, the ability to prioritize and opt-out of particular job types, and get analytics of jobs completed. A developer API interface will also be released, building on Theta dev community like previous hackathon winner Thetaform to give developers the tools they need to efficiently develop on EdgeCloud.

Other key features will roll out in response to demand from current EdgeCloud customers, like persistent storage, GPU node upgrades, and on-demand API access to AI models. These features, alongside a beta of the AI Agents platform, will automate the use of AI models with on-chain autonomous interactions to enable a myriad of use cases and lead to continued customer adoption in target key sectors of academia, private enterprise, professional sports and esports.

  1. Hybrid Edge Cloud Architecture (BETA)
  • Hybrid cloud edge computing for AI and video powered by edge network
  • Jobs and payload marketplace, jobs supply & demand optimization
  • Developer API interface

2. EdgeCloud Key Features by Customer Request

  • Persistent storage for AI model training
  • GPU node v2 update including GPU instance start-stop
  • On-demand model API

3. AI Agents on EdgeCloud (BETA)

  • Further enhancing RAG Chatbot with online search and SQL analysis capabilities
  • AI Agent Builder which allows users to build AI Agents that can intelligently leverage external tools

4. Continued Global Customer Adoption in key industries

  • Academia, enterprises, professional sports, esports, gaming, other entertainment
  • Extend GenAI, video and AI agent use cases

H2 2025 Roadmap

This year we’ll also be expanding the Theta Hackathon to an in-person event with significant ongoing support for the top Theta ecosystem projects. Following the successful template of collaboration with the Vegas Golden Knights, we’re in discussion with several prominent pro sports and esports teams looking to EdgeCloud for their AI strategy with the opportunity to launch subchains to support their business use cases. Third-party platforms are also looking at integrating TDROP as a user engagement token, starting with OpenTheta and with more coming online in 2025. More importantly, we’re also evaluating and potentially re-branding TDROP to extend its utility to AI Agents, RAG Chatbots and other consumer facing AI and video AI applications built on EdgeCloud. Finally, 2025 will be capped with the full release of EdgeCloud’s hybrid edge-cloud architecture, including intelligent job orchestration and optimization, and full support for Linux, Windows, and Mac. This full fledged version of EdgeCloud will represent the world’s most powerful aggregation of decentralized global compute, enabling the use cases of today and tomorrow in AI, video, 3D rendering, GPU-intensive financial modeling, scientific research and more.

  1. Theta Hackathon
  • Focus on EdgeCloud AI, video, and compute use cases
  • Ongoing support of successful community dev projects

2. AI Agents on EdgeCloud (BETA)

  • AI Agent Builder to support AI Agents with crypto wallets access and capable of interacting with on-chain smart contracts

3. EdgeCloud Key Features by Customer Request

  • RAG Chatbot improvements
  • AI Agents improvements
  • Customer dashboard metrics and tracking
  • Subchain deployments to existing EdgeCloud customers

4. Extend TDROP utility

  • 3rd party partner marketplaces
  • New use cases to power AI agents, RAG chatbots, and other AI apps

5. Full Release Hybrid Edge Cloud Architecture

  • Intelligent job orchestration, optimization layer
  • Updated edge node client software
  • Support for Linux, Windows, and Mac

Conclusion:

The Theta roadmap is always evolving and will continue to be updated along the way as new business opportunities and products emerge, but this overview is a blueprint for what to expect in Theta’s development in 2025. The network will continue to grow to meet new use cases with the help of the community running Edge Nodes, developing ecosystem projects, and collectively building Theta’s future.

 

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⚠️ MAJOR CONFIRMATION DIRECTLY FROM SWIFT ⚠️

‼️MAJOR CONFIRMATION DIRECTLY FROM SWIFT: “WE ARE UPGRADING ISO 20022 DATA FIELDS TO INCLUDE DIGITAL ASSET TRANSACTIONS VIA APIs”‼️

Listen closely.👂👇

Op: Smqkedqg

00:01:31
The EU moved the Digital Euro for the ECB forward (CBDC)

The EU moved the Digital Euro for the ECB forward yesterday on Dec 24 2025, just before Xmas

Same playbook as 1913, when the Federal Reserve Act was passed while Congress & the public were preparing for Xmas.

Monetary reform passes when no one’s watching 👁

00:01:42
Any Of This Sound Familiar?

This is their playbook!

00:02:32
👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

Custom AI assistants that print money in your sleep? 🔜

The future of Crypto x AI is about to go crazy.

👉 Here’s what you need to know:

💠 'Based Agent' enables creation of custom AI agents
💠 Users set up personalized agents in < 3 minutes
💠 Equipped w/ crypto wallet and on-chain functions
💠 Capable of completing trades, swaps, and staking
💠 Integrates with Coinbase’s SDK, OpenAI, & Replit

👉 What this means for the future of Crypto:

1. Open Access: Democratized access to advanced trading
2. Automated Txns: Complex trades + streamlined on-chain activity
3. AI Dominance: Est ~80% of crypto 👉txns done by AI agents by 2025

🚨 I personally wouldn't bet against Brian Armstrong and Jesse Pollak.

👉 Coinbase just launched an AI agent for Crypto Trading

🔥 UPDATE: The biggest potential IPOs in 2026 could be major market events.

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$80 SHFE Silver. 🚨 A $8.13 spread vs COMEX

This isn’t a breakout.
This is a statement.

Chinese SHFE silver at $80.
COMEX at $71.87.
Spread: $8.13 never seen in history.
That’s not volatility.
That’s paper losing control of physical pricing.

Banksters are cooked.

An $8 spread is nearly impossible to manage.

A true Christmas gift from China. 🎄

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ELON IS BUILDING ENCYCLOPEDIA GALACTICA TO SAVE HUMAN KNOWLEDGE

Elon says this is one of xAI’s most important projects yet.

It starts as Grokipedia, but the real goal is Encyclopedia Galactica.

  • The name will officially become Encyclopedia Galactica once the project has earned it, even just slightly

  • It is designed as a massive open source repository of all knowledge about the Universe

  • Anyone can access it, with no gatekeepers, no paywalls, and no centralized control

  • xAI plans to create many copies and distribute them periodically across the solar system

  • Copies could be placed on Earth, the Moon, Mars, and deep space to preserve knowledge

  • The purpose is survival level redundancy in case civilization collapses or slips into barbarism

  • The project explicitly takes inspiration from the destruction of the Library of Alexandria

This is not about AI chats.

It’s about memory.

If humanity fails, Galactica is meant to remember.

Source: @xAI, @grok, @elonmusk

...

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Stellar CEO Reveals Where Real Opportunity Lies in Crypto Market: Details

In a recent tweet, Stellar Development Foundation (SDF) CEO and Executive Director Denelle Dixon defines what "real opportunity" is in blockchain as a new financial future beckons.

The SDF CEO was reacting to a recent Bloomberg report on Bank of New York Mellon Corp (BNY), Nasdaq, S&P Global and iCapital participation in a new $50 million investment round by Digital Asset Holdings. This comes as some of Wall Street’s biggest names embrace the technology that underpins cryptocurrencies to handle traditional assets.

Reacting to this development, Stellar Foundation CEO Denelle Dixon stated that every blockchain investment is a bet on a different financial future. Dixon added that seeing banks explore blockchain technology validates what has been known over the years.

Real opportunity defined

While Wall Street’s biggest names betting on blockchain might be one of the most significant adoption milestones in the digital asset market, Dixon defines what real opportunity is and what it is not.

According to the SDF executive director, real opportunity is not replicating old systems on new rails but rather building open networks that fundamentally expand global finance participation.

"But the real opportunity isn’t replicating old systems on new rails—it’s building open networks that fundamentally expand who gets to participate in global finance. That’s the opportunity," Dixon tweeted.

At the Meridian 2025 event, Stellar outlined its long-term privacy strategy, committing to investing in critical privacy infrastructure and building foundational cryptographic capabilities.

Stellar eyes privacy upgrade

A new protocol upgrade is on the horizon for the Stellar network: X-Ray, which lays the groundwork for developers to build privacy applications on Stellar using zero-knowledge (ZK) cryptography.

The protocol timeline testnet vote is anticipated for Jan. 7, 2026, while the mainnet vote is expected for Jan. 22, 2026.

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XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network

XDC Network's acquisition of Contour Network marks a silent shift to connect the digital trade infrastructure to real-time, tokenized settlement rails.

In a world where cross-border payments still take days and trap trillions in idle liquidity, integrating Contour’s trade workflows with XDC Network Blockchains' ISO 20022 financial messaging standard to bridge TradFi and Web3 in Trade Finance.

The Current State of Cross-Border Trade Settlements

Cross-border payments remain one of the most inefficient parts of global finance. For decades, companies have inter-dependency with banks and their correspondent banks across the world, forcing them to maintain trillions of dollars in pre-funded nostro and vostro balances — the capital that sits idle while transactions crawl across borders.

Traditional settlement is slow, often 1–5 days, and often with ~2-3% in FX and conversion fees. For every hour a corporation can’t access its own cash increases the cost of financing, tightens liquidity that could be used for other purposes, which in turn slows economic activity.

Before SWIFT, payments were fully manual. Intermediary banks maintained ledgers, and reconciliation across multiple institutions limited speed and volume.

SWIFT reshaped global payments by introducing a secure, standardized messaging infrastructure through ISO 20022 - which quickly became the language of money for 11,000+ institutions in 200 countries.

But SWIFT only fixed the messaging — not the movement. Actual value still moves through slow, capital-intensive correspondent chains.

Regulated and Compliant Stablecoin such as USDC (Circle) solves the part SWIFT never could: instant, on-chain settlement.

Stablecoin Settlement revamping Trade and Tokenization

Stablecoin such as USDC is a digital token pegged to the US Dollar, still the most widely used currency for trade, enabling the movement of funds instantly 24*7 globally - transparently, instantly, and without the need for any intermediaries and the need to lock in trillions of dollars of idle cash.

Tokenized settlement replaces multi-day reconciliation with on-chain finality, reducing:

  • Dependency on intermediaries
  • Operational friction
  • Trillions locked in idle liquidity

For corporates trapped in long working capital cycles, this is transformative.

Digital dollars like USDC make the process simple:

Fiat → Stablecoin → On-Chain Transfer → Fiat

This hybrid model is already widely used across remittances, payouts, and treasury flows.

But one critical piece of global commerce is still lagging:

👉 Trade finance.

The Missing link is still Trade Finance Infrastructure.

While payments innovation has raced ahead, trade finance infrastructure hasn’t kept up. Document flows, letters of credit, and supply-chain financing remain siloed, paper-heavy, and operationally outdated.

This is exactly where the next breakthrough will happen - and why the recent XDC Network acquisition of Contour is a silent revolution.

It transforms to a new era of trade-driven liquidity through an end-to-end digital trade from shipping docs to payment confirmation – one infrastructure that powers all.

The breakthrough won’t come from payments alone — it will come from connecting trade finance to real-time settlement rails.

The XDC + Contour Shift: A Silent Revolution

  • Contour already connects global banks and corporates through digital LCs and digitized trade workflows.
  • XDC Blockchain brings a settlement layer built for speed, tokenization, and institutional-grade interoperability and ISO 20022 messaging compatibility

Contour’s digital letter of credit workflows will be integrated with XDC’s blockchain network to streamline trade documentation and settlement.

Together, they form the first end-to-end digital trade finance network linking:

Documentation → Validation → Settlement all under a single infrastructure.

XDC Ventures (XVC.TECH) is launching a Stable-Coin Lab to work with financial institutions on regulated stablecoin pilots for trade to deepen institutional trade-finance integration through launch of pilots with banks and corporates for regulated stable-coin issuance and settlement.

The Bottom Line

Payments alone won’t transform Global Trade Finance — Trade finance + Tokenized Settlement will.

This is the shift happening underway XDC Network's acquisition of Contour is the quiet catalyst.

Learn how trade finance is being revolutionised:

https://www.reuters.com/press-releases/xdc-ventures-acquires-contour-network-launches-stablecoin-lab-trade-finance-2025-10-22/

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Inside The Deal That Made Polymarket’s Founder One Of The Youngest Billionaires On Earth🌍

One year ago, the FBI raided Polymarket founder Shayne Coplan’s apartment. Now, the college dropout is a billionaire at age 27.

In July, Jeffrey Sprecher, the 70-year-old billionaire CEO of Intercontinental Exchange, the parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, sat at Manhatta, an upscale restaurant in the financial district overlooking the sprawling New York City skyline from the 60th floor. As a sommelier weaved through tables pouring wine, in walked Shayne Coplan—in a T-shirt and jeans, clutching a plastic water bottle and a paper bag with a bagel he’d picked up en route. Sprecher chuckles as he recalls his first impression of the boyish, eccentric entrepreneur: “An old bald guy that works at the New York Stock Exchange, where we require that you wear a suit and tie, next to a mop-headed guy in a T-shirt that's 27.” But Sprecher was fascinated by Polymarket, Coplan’s blockchain-based prediction market, and after dinner, he made his move: “I asked Shayne if he would consider selling us his company.”

Prediction markets like Polymarket let thousands of ordinary people bet on future events—the unemployment rate, say, or when BitCoin will hit an all-time high. In aggregate, prediction market bets have proven to be something of a crystal ball with the wisdom of the crowd often proving itself more prescient than expert opinion. For instance, Polymarket punters predicted that Trump would prevail in the 2024 presidential election, when many national pundits were sure that Kamala Harris would win.

Coplan initially turned down Sprecher’s buyout offer. But discussions led to negotiations and eventually a deal. In October, Intercontinental announced it had invested $2 billion for an up to 25% stake in the company, bringing the young solo founder the balance he was looking for. “We're consumer, we’re viral, we're culture. They’re finance, they’re headless and they’re infrastructure,” Coplan tells Forbes in a recent interview.

At the same time, Coplan announced investments from other billionaires including Figma’s Dylan Field, Zynga’s Mark Pincus, Uber’s Travis Kalanick and hedge fund manager Glenn Dubin. A longtime Red Hot Chili Peppers fan, Coplan even convinced lead singer Anthony Kiedis to invest after a mutual acquaintance brought the musician to Coplan’s apartment one day. “He's buzzing my door, and I’m like, ‘holy shit,'” Coplan recalls, his bright blue eyes widening. “I love their music. A lot of the inspiration [for my work] comes from the music that I listen to.”

Thanks to the deals, Polymarket’s valuation quickly shot to $9 billion, making the 2025 Under 30 alum the world’s youngest self-made billionaire, with an estimated 11% stake worth $1 billion. His reign was short: twenty days later, he was overtaken as the youngest by the three 22-year-old founders of AI startup Mercor.

Young entrepreneurs are minting ten-figure fortunes faster than ever. In addition to the Mercor trio and Coplan, 15 other Under 30 alumni—including ScaleAI cofounder Lucy Guo, Reddit’s Steve Huffman and Cursor’s cofounders—became billionaires this year, while Guo’s cofounder Alexandr Wang and Robinhood’s Vlad Tenev (both former Under 30 honorees) regained their billionaire status after having fallen out of the ranks.

The budding billionaire has long been fascinated by markets and tech. When he was just 14, Coplan emailed the regional Securities and Exchange Commission office to ask how to create new marketplaces. “I did not get a response, but it’s a really funny email,” he says, grinning playfully as he thinks of his younger self. “It just shows that this stuff takes over a decade of percolating in your mind.”

Two years later, Coplan showed up at the offices of internet startup Genius uninvited after multiple emails of his asking for an internship went ignored. At age 16—at least a decade younger than anyone in that office—he secured his first job after making a memorable impression with his “wild curls” and “encyclopedic knowledge of billionaire tech entrepreneurs.” “If he chooses to become a tech entrepreneur, which seems likely, I have no doubt that we’ll be seeing his name again in the press before long,” Chris Glazek, his manager at the time, wrote in Coplan’s college recommendation letter.

Coplan went on to study computer science at NYU, but dropped out in 2017 to work on various crypto projects that never took off. In 2020, he founded Polymarket to create a solution to the “rampant misinformation” he saw in the world: The company’s first market allowed users to bet on when New York City would reopen amid the pandemic. He soon expanded into elections and pop culture happenings, among other events.

But it didn’t take long for the company to butt heads with regulators. In January 2022, Polymarket paid a $1.4 million fine to the Commodity Futures Trading Commission for offering unregistered markets. It was also ordered to block all U.S. users, but activity on Polymarket skyrocketed particularly during the 2024 U.S. presidential election, with bets totaling $3.6 billion. A week after the election, the FBI raided Coplan's apartment and seized his devices as part of an investigation into a possible violation of this agreement. Shortly after, Coplan posted on his X account that he saw the raid as “a last-ditch effort” from the Biden administration “to go after companies they deem to be associated with political opponents.”

In July, the Department of Justice and CFTC dropped the investigations—after which Sprecher reached out to Coplan for dinner—and less than a week later, Polymarket announced it had acquired CFTC-licensed derivatives exchange QCX to prepare for a compliant U.S. launch. QCX applied to be a federally-registered exchange in 2022—an application that was left dormant for three years before receiving approval less than two weeks before the acquisition was announced. When asked about the timing of the deal, Coplan points to CFTC acting chairwoman Caroline Pham, who President Trump tapped to lead the agency in January. “Caroline deserves a lot of credit for getting every single license that had been paused for no reason approved, as acting chairwoman in less than a year,” he says. Coplan had realized an acquisition might be the only way for Polymarket to legally operate in the U.S. as early as 2021 due to the lengthy federal approval process, a source familiar with the deal told Forbes.

Just two months after the acquisition and days after Donald Trump Jr. joined Polymarket’s advisory board, the company received federal approval to launch in the U.S. (Trump Jr. has also served as a strategic advisor to Polymarket’s main competitor Kalshi since January.)

Polymarket’s rapid rise has drawn critics. Dennis Kelleher, co-founder and CEO of Washington-based financial advocacy group Better Markets, told Forbes in an email that the current administration’s deregulation around prediction markets has unlocked a regulatory “loophole” to enable “unregulated gambling” under the CFTC, “which has zero expertise, capacity or resources to regulate and police these markets.” Kelleher added that with backing from the Trump family “who are directly trying to profit on this new gambling den… the massive deregulation and crypto hysteria will almost certainly end badly for the American people.”

Investors and businesses are scrambling to seize the moment of deregulation. “We had opportunities to invest in events markets earlier, but there was a lot of risk,” Sprecher says, listing the regulatory changes in favor of crypto and prediction markets under the current administration. “This was the moment to invest if we wanted to still be early in the space.”

In the last few months, Trump’s Truth Social and sportsbook FanDuel, as well as cryptocurrency exchanges Crypto.com, Coinbase and Gemini all announced their own plans to offer prediction markets. Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev said prediction markets, which were integrated into its platform in March, were helping drive record activity for the retail brokerage in its third quarter earnings call.

“People are starting to realize right now that the opportunities are endless,” says Dubin, the billionaire hedge fund veteran who invested in Polymarket earlier this year. He points to sports betting companies, which have been regulated by states as gambling activity and taxed accordingly. States like New York can tax up to 51% of sportsbooks’ revenue, but federally-regulated prediction markets can bypass state laws, avoiding taxes and operating in all 50 states. With the realization that prediction markets could upend the sports betting industry—which brought in $13.7 billion in revenue in 2024—businesses are quickly jumping on board despite pushback from state gambling regulators. In October, both Polymarket and Kalshi secured partnerships with sportsbook PrizePicks and the National Hockey League, and Polymarket announced exclusive partnerships with sportsbook DraftKings and the Ultimate Fighting Championship.

The disruption won’t be limited to sports betting. Alongside its investment, Intercontinental’s tens of thousands of institutional clients including large hedge funds and over 750 third-party providers of data will soon have access to Polymarket data, as it gets integrated into Intercontinental’s products such as indices to better inform investment decisions. It also hopes to work with Polymarket to work on initiatives around tokenization—or converting financial assets into digital tokens on blockchain technology—to allow traders on Intercontinental’s exchanges to trade more flexibly at all hours of the day, Sprecher says. What’s more, in November, Google Finance announced it would integrate Polymarket and Kalshi data into its search results, while Yahoo Finance also announced an exclusive partnership with Polymarket.

Despite flashy investors, partnerships and a record $2.4 billion of trading volume in November, Polymarket has yet to launch in the U.S. or turn a profit. Coplan and his investors have hinted at ways the company could make money one day—selling its data, charging fees to users, launching a cryptocurrency token (similar to Ethereum or Bitcoin)—but decline to confirm any specifics. For now, the only thing that’s certain is the bet Coplan is making on himself. “Going for it and having it not pan out is an infinitely better outcome than living your life as a what if,” he says.

Standing across from the New York Stock Exchange building, Coplan tilts his head up as he watches a massive banner with Polymarket’s logo get hoisted onto the exterior of the building. It’s been five years since founding. One year since the FBI raid. He’s taking it all in. “Against all odds,” the bright blue banner reads, rippling in the wind alongside three American flags protruding from the building.

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